Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,192 total articles
A Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey of businesses in the Mid-Atlantic region found that nearly half of firms which have paid tariffs still intend to raise prices further to offset those costs. While just under a third expect price increases within six months, a separate group plans to implement higher prices beyond that horizon. The Fed's eco…
Euro zone government bond yields climbed on Wednesday to their highest levels in a month after U.S. President Donald Trump said he believed the interim agreement to end the war with Iran was over. The remarks, together with reported strikes and retaliatory actions in the Gulf and a U.S. revocation of an Iranian oil licence, sent oil sharply higher …
U.S. President Donald Trump said the memorandum of understanding that had framed a ceasefire with Iran "was over" after the two sides exchanged attacks overnight, comments that sent oil prices sharply higher and pressured stocks and government bonds. Oil rose about 5% to $78 a barrel, European equities fell roughly 1.1%, the dollar strengthened and…
Revised government data show U.S. wholesale inventories rose just 0.1% in May, down from a previously reported 0.3% gain. The smaller uptick could limit the contribution of restocking to second-quarter GDP growth even as imports climbed and specific technology categories saw notable inventory increases.
In Ankara at the close of a NATO summit attended by both leaders, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said she does not regret having invested political capital in fostering a close relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, despite recent public criticisms and social media barbs between the two.
Poland's central bank updated its macroeconomic projections, increasing projected inflation ranges for 2026 through 2028 while lowering GDP growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027. The bank said it could intervene in the foreign exchange market and emphasized that future policy moves will be guided by incoming data. It identified fiscal policy and wage …
OpenAI plans to release GPT-5.6 on Thursday after postponing the launch because of U.S. government concerns about national security risks posed by more powerful AI systems. The roll-out occurs as competition heightens across the AI sector, with developers racing to boost performance, lower costs and broaden enterprise features. Chinese firms are no…
The International Monetary Fund has nudged its projection for global economic growth in 2026 down to 3.0%, citing continued risks from the war in the Middle East, rising trade fragmentation and the potential for market corrections tied to artificial intelligence. The IMF expects growth to recover to 3.4% in 2027, while raising its forecast for 2026…
The International Monetary Fund trimmed its projection for global GDP growth in 2026 to 3.0%, citing persistent risks from the Middle East conflict, the prospect of trade fragmentation and the possibility of corrections in enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. The fund raised its 2026 headline inflation forecast, left the U.S. growth outlook u…
The National Bank of Poland left its main policy rate at 3.75% on Wednesday, maintaining a cautious stance despite inflation easing to 2.5% in June. Officials pointed to geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East and the potential for faster price rises after a fuel-price cap expires as reasons to delay any change in policy.
The National Bank of Romania left its key interest rate unchanged at 6.5% on Wednesday, aligning with market expectations as inflation remains elevated and the economy is in contraction. The bank projects headline inflation will ease to 5.5% by year-end but does not expect a return to the 1.5%-3.5% target band until the third quarter of 2027. Offic…
Blue Origin is preparing to take external investment for the first time, pursuing a $10 billion funding round that values the company at $130 billion before the new capital. The raise would include a lead commitment and contributions from the company's founder, and is intended to support heavy near-term spending and strategic positioning in lunar p…
Bangladesh has convened an inter-ministerial panel to assess a proposal for the country's first sovereign bond issuance in international markets. Officials say the review will cover feasibility, structure and timing; a successful debut could diversify financing away from domestic banks and concessional multilateral loans and set a global pricing be…
China's central bank said it is confronting a persistent mismatch of ample supply and insufficient demand and will keep monetary conditions appropriately loose while stepping up financial support to bolster domestic consumption. The People’s Bank of China described the wider economy as generally stable and improving after a second-quarter monetary …
South Korea has reopened international markets sooner than planned with a euro-denominated dual-tranche offering to rebuild foreign-currency reserves that were tapped to defend the won. The government is marketing three-year and seven-year foreign-exchange stabilization notes with guidance around 14 basis points and 32 basis points over mid-swaps, …
Airbus on Tuesday published its 2026-2045 Global Market Forecast, projecting that annual passenger volumes will climb to roughly 10 billion by 2045. The plan anticipates 3.9% yearly passenger traffic growth, driven by global GDP expansion, urban population increases and a swelling middle class. Over the next two decades Airbus estimates a requireme…
Hungary reported a 424 billion forint budget surplus in June, the biggest monthly surplus since December 2010, while the cash-flow based deficit for January-June reached 3.38 trillion forint. The new government has taken measures including a spending freeze as it prepares a revised deficit target and a budget amendment ahead of next year’s planning…
The European Commission has called on the United States to abide by the terms of a joint EU-U.S. statement after President Donald Trump instructed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to sever trade ties with Spain. Trump made the directive during remarks in Ankara, criticizing Madrid’s role in NATO while expressing frustration with allies over support…
The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has directed carriers to avoid flying through the airspace of Iran, Iraq and Lebanon, citing elevated tensions and the risk of further military action following a new round of strikes between the U.S. and Iran. The advisory is in force until August 31 and replaces a prior cautionary notice covering s…
The Philippines' budget planning committee has established a GDP growth target range of 5.0% to 6.0% for 2027-2030. The committee flagged elevated inflation this year as a potential drag on household consumption and investment, set a stepped-down inflation path from 2026 through 2030, and outlined an exchange rate assumption and a multi-year defici…
The Federal Reserve’s minutes for the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be released Wednesday and could reveal more about the internal debate at the first policy session led by Chairman Kevin Warsh. Key uncertainties include whether Warsh will curtail the level of detail in the minutes after having removed forward guidance and t…
A wave of foreign investor selling has driven record turnover in India's five-year overnight index swap (OIS) market, as positions anticipating aggressive, front-loaded rate hikes are being reversed. The flurry of activity pushed five-year OIS notional volume to 253 billion rupees on Wednesday, and coincided with a drop in the five-year OIS rate an…
President Trump directed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to cut off all trade with Spain while standing beside NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte ahead of the Ankara summit, prompting a sharp drop in Spain's IBEX 35 index. The episode highlights widening transatlantic strains, fresh defence procurement commitments and diplomatic uncertainty ahead o…
Iranian military authorities announced strikes on U.S. military locations in Kuwait and Bahrain and said they had downed a U.S. MQ-9 drone, describing the actions as retaliation for recent American strikes on sites in southern Iran and the U.S. decision to revoke a sanctions waiver on Iranian oil. U.S. Central Command reported strikes on more than …
U.S. stock futures fell as fresh exchanges of strikes between the U.S. and Iran in the Persian Gulf raised doubts over a recently signed interim peace framework and the recovery of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The flare-up pushed Brent and WTI prices higher and lifted government bond yields. Investors are also awaiting minutes from …
