Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,099 total articles

Tinubu Rejects Reversal of Economic Reforms Despite Election Pressure

Tinubu Rejects Reversal of Economic Reforms Despite Election Pressure

President Bola Tinubu said he will not roll back economic reforms instituted since taking office in 2023, rejecting suggestions that political dynamics ahead of January elections would force a policy U-turn. Speaking at the Africa CEO Forum, Tinubu defended the removal of fuel subsidies and the liberalization of the naira as difficult but necessary…

Trump Signals Large China Farm Purchases but Leaves Details Unclear

Trump Signals Large China Farm Purchases but Leaves Details Unclear

President Donald Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that American farmers should be pleased with trade outcomes from his state visit to Beijing, saying China will be buying "billions of dollars" of soybeans. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer qualified the expectation as "double-digit billions" in U.S. agricultural purchases over the n…

Romania holds key rate at 6.5% as inflation stays in double digits

Romania holds key rate at 6.5% as inflation stays in double digits

The National Bank of Romania maintained its benchmark interest rate at 6.5%, the highest in the European Union, as the country confronts double-digit inflation and a worsening recession. The central bank adopted an updated inflation forecast that points to stronger-than-expected inflation in the second quarter - driven by fuel price rises and gover…

Finnish president says US will keep NATO presence despite recent tensions

Finnish president says US will keep NATO presence despite recent tensions

Speaking at the Lithuania-Finland Business Forum in Vilnius, Finnish President Alexander Stubb argued the United States will retain its NATO presence because of strategic interests in Europe, pointing to the proximity of Russian nuclear forces. His comments came alongside remarks from Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda and after reports of recent…

Italy Revises April Inflation Lower; HICP Shows 2.8% Annual Gain

Italy Revises April Inflation Lower; HICP Shows 2.8% Annual Gain

Revised figures from Italy's national statistics agency ISTAT show consumer prices rose by 1.6% month-on-month in April and 2.8% year-on-year, down from earlier estimates. The main domestic price index and core inflation figures present a mixed picture of slowing underlying price pressures alongside an overall acceleration from March.

Rising U.S. Debt May Limit Warsh’s Plan to Shrink the Fed’s Footprint

Rising U.S. Debt May Limit Warsh’s Plan to Shrink the Fed’s Footprint

Kevin Warsh, newly confirmed as Federal Reserve chair, has advocated reducing the central bank’s market footprint and reverting to more conventional policy tools. Analysts warn that growing federal deficits, a declining convenience yield on U.S. Treasuries and persistent demand for liquidity could restrict how far the Fed can shrink its balance she…

Powell’s Lasting Mark May Be His Outreach to Congress, Not Just Rate Moves

Powell’s Lasting Mark May Be His Outreach to Congress, Not Just Rate Moves

As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure comes to an end on Friday, his eight years at the helm are remembered for emergency rate cuts and bond purchases during the COVID-19 crisis, an unusually rapid tightening to combat post-pandemic inflation, two major shifts in the Fed's policy framework, and a persistent effort to cultivate relations w…

U.S. Stock Futures Slip as Treasury Yields Jump on Middle East Inflation Fears

U.S. Stock Futures Slip as Treasury Yields Jump on Middle East Inflation Fears

Futures tied to the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell more than 1% as yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed to 4.54%, the highest level since early June 2025. Investors reacted to mounting signs of economic fallout from the Iran war, while Brent crude neared $109 a barrel amid a closed Strait of Hormuz. The move raised the odds of a Federal Reserve rate incre…

Barrel of Uncertainty: Oil, Bonds and Earnings Set to Define the Week Ahead

Barrel of Uncertainty: Oil, Bonds and Earnings Set to Define the Week Ahead

The unresolved conflict in Iran, which is entering its 12th week, is exerting growing pressure on the global economy through higher oil prices and market volatility. Policymakers and finance chiefs from the G7 will convene with energy security, critical mineral supply chains and recent bond-market turmoil on the agenda. Corporate earnings, led by N…

BOJ flags systemic vulnerabilities from growth of investment fund activity

BOJ flags systemic vulnerabilities from growth of investment fund activity

The Bank of Japan warned that investment funds, while important providers of risk capital, can create pressures for the wider financial system if their activity intensifies. In a speech posted on the BOJ website, executive director Kazushige Kamiyama noted the rising presence of foreign hedge funds and private equity firms in Japan and highlighted …

Carry trades resurging as G10 rate gaps widen and volatility stays low

Carry trades resurging as G10 rate gaps widen and volatility stays low

The traditional carry trade - buying higher-yielding developed-market currencies and funding them with low-yielders - has delivered its strongest returns in years as sizable interest-rate differences among G10 economies combine with subdued currency volatility. The yen has not acted as a reliable safe-haven amid the Iran war, and hedging flows from…

Yield Surge Dampens Equity Momentum as Global Risks Mount

Yield Surge Dampens Equity Momentum as Global Risks Mount

Bond markets are signaling rising inflation and renewed rate-hike risk, undermining recent equity gains. Strong moves in yields and soft Treasury demand coincided with broad Asian losses, shipping constraints through the Strait of Hormuz and higher oil prices, prompting investors to reprice central bank policy expectations.

GE Aerospace Chief Larry Culp Seen at China’s State Planning Headquarters

GE Aerospace Chief Larry Culp Seen at China’s State Planning Headquarters

GE Aerospace CEO Larry Culp was observed leaving a meeting at the National Development and Reform Commission in Beijing on May 15. His visit comes amid reports that China agreed to purchase 200 Boeing jets after talks between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. As Boeing's main engine supplier, GE Aerospace could gain from the …

Rising Energy Costs and Input Pressures Signal New Wave of Inflation in Japan

Rising Energy Costs and Input Pressures Signal New Wave of Inflation in Japan

The Bank of Japan has indicated that the nation may enter a period of widespread price increases starting around the summer months. This potential inflationary wave is driven by various businesses, including those in the food production sector and hot spring operators, seeking to offset escalating energy expenses stemming from conflicts in the Midd…

Japan's Economic Recovery Expected to Continue Through First Quarter

Japan's Economic Recovery Expected to Continue Through First Quarter

Projections for the Japanese economy indicate a second consecutive quarter of growth during the January-March period. According to a survey of 17 economists, real gross domestic product (GDP) is anticipated to expand at an annualized rate of 1.7%. This follows a 1.3% expansion recorded in the October-December quarter. On a non-annualized basis, the…

Trump Signals Diminishing Patience with Iran Amid Ongoing Regional Conflict

Trump Signals Diminishing Patience with Iran Amid Ongoing Regional Conflict

In a recent televised interview on Fox News' "Hannity" program, U.S. President Donald Trump expressed that his patience regarding the situation with Iran is reaching its limit. During the Thursday night broadcast, the President issued a call for Tehran to enter into a formal agreement with Washington. While emphasizing the need for a deal, Trump of…

Fed Governor Warns Against Reducing Liquidity Rules to Shrink Balance Sheet

Fed Governor Warns Against Reducing Liquidity Rules to Shrink Balance Sheet

Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr has issued a cautionary stance regarding recent discussions aimed at reducing the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. Speaking at an event held by the Money Marketeers of New York University, Barr contended that attempting to shrink the central bank's 'footprint' by lowering liquidity requirements is a…