Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,100 total articles

Yardeni: Fed Rate Cut in 2026 Now Unlikely as Inflation and Labor Strengthen

Yardeni: Fed Rate Cut in 2026 Now Unlikely as Inflation and Labor Strengthen

Yardeni Research says the Federal Reserve's tilt toward easing is becoming harder to justify and may soon be replaced by a tightening orientation. The firm argues a 2026 rate cut is "essentially off the table," citing renewed inflation momentum, five consecutive years above the Fed's 2% goal, inflationary pressures from AI infrastructure investment…

Kremlin Confirms Putin Will Make Near-Term Visit to China as Preparations Complete

Kremlin Confirms Putin Will Make Near-Term Visit to China as Preparations Complete

The Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin is set to travel to China soon, with Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov saying preparations for the visit have been completed. The trip will add to a long record of meetings between Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping; the two last met in Beijing in September. The announcement coincides wi…

China Expresses Interest in More U.S. Oil, White House Says

China Expresses Interest in More U.S. Oil, White House Says

A White House readout of a leadership summit published Thursday states that President Xi Jinping told President Donald Trump China is interested in buying more U.S. oil as a way to reduce dependence on shipments that pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Chinese state media made no mention of the oil discussions, and China’s foreign ministry has not i…

China’s April lending unexpectedly contracts, spotlighting weak domestic demand

China’s April lending unexpectedly contracts, spotlighting weak domestic demand

China recorded a contraction in new yuan loans in April, with lending shrinking by 10 billion yuan—the first monthly decline since July 2025. The shortfall came amid seasonal front-loading of credit, soft domestic demand tied to a prolonged property slump and fragile private-sector confidence, even as broader monetary aggregates continued to grow.

Starmer Confronts Rising Leadership Challenge as Party Figures Press for Change

Starmer Confronts Rising Leadership Challenge as Party Figures Press for Change

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is facing mounting pressure from within his own party after a difficult set of local election results. Reports that his health minister may resign to mount a leadership bid, and a public call for reflection from his former deputy, have intensified scrutiny on his future. The government says it will press on, whil…

UK Confirms Overhaul of Money Market Fund Rules to Boost Liquidity

UK Confirms Overhaul of Money Market Fund Rules to Boost Liquidity

The British government has affirmed plans to change the regulatory framework for money market funds, mandating higher liquidity holdings and measures to ease asset sales during episodes of market stress. The reforms follow regulatory work since the March 2020 market dislocation and a 2023 consultation, and the new regime is expected to be in place …

Analysts See Romania’s Central Bank Pausing on Rates as Inflation Forecasts Rise

Analysts See Romania’s Central Bank Pausing on Rates as Inflation Forecasts Rise

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the National Bank of Romania to maintain its policy rate at 6.50% at the May 15 meeting. The bank is likely to raise its inflation projection, which should produce a hawkish press-conference tone while dropping explicit forward guidance. Rate increases are judged unlikely; liquidity tools and exchange-rate dy…

Markets Tick Higher as Beijing Summit and AI Investments Shape Risk Sentiment

Markets Tick Higher as Beijing Summit and AI Investments Shape Risk Sentiment

U.S. equity futures rose as investors balanced renewed enthusiasm for artificial intelligence against a high-profile summit between President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping. Oil prices remain elevated above $100 a barrel as markets await any Iran-related outcomes from the talks. Cisco announced a large restructuring focused on AI, while the U.…

UK house price falls deepen in April as borrowing costs damp demand

UK house price falls deepen in April as borrowing costs damp demand

A Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) industry survey shows British house prices falling more steeply in April, driven by elevated borrowing costs that have cooled buyer activity. Forward-looking measures point to further near-term softness, with notable regional divergence between the South and the North and continued pressure in the l…

Thailand’s Q1 Growth Eases as Tourism Falters Despite Strong Tech Exports

Thailand’s Q1 Growth Eases as Tourism Falters Despite Strong Tech Exports

A recent poll of economists indicates Thailand’s economy likely expanded 2.2% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, slowing from 2.5% in the previous quarter, with seasonally adjusted quarterly growth estimated at just 0.1%. The slowdown reflects softer domestic spending and a pronounced tourism downturn linked to regional flight disruptions, …

BOJ board member Masu urges prompt rate increases if growth holds

BOJ board member Masu urges prompt rate increases if growth holds

Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said the central bank should move to raise interest rates as soon as possible provided there are no clear signs of an economic slowdown. Though he voted to keep rates unchanged at the April meeting, Masu warned that energy and chemical price rises linked to the Iran war could feed into persistent inflation a…

AI rally keeps markets buoyant as Trump-Xi summit dominates headlines

AI rally keeps markets buoyant as Trump-Xi summit dominates headlines

Global markets remain driven by a record-setting rally focused on artificial intelligence, even as investors contend with persistent inflation risks, oil trading above $100 a barrel and stalled efforts to end the Iran war. A high-profile summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping in Beijing has so far produced few specifics, …

U.S. Dollar Strengthens Amid Rising Inflation Data and Geopolitical Tensions

U.S. Dollar Strengthens Amid Rising Inflation Data and Geopolitical Tensions

The U.S. dollar found upward momentum on Thursday, supported by climbing Treasury yields and safe-haven demand stemming from Middle East tensions. As investors adjust their expectations for Federal Reserve policy following recent inflationary signals, the global currency market remains focused on a high-stakes meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Ji…

Market Resilience Amidst Inflationary Surges and Geopolitical Tension

Market Resilience Amidst Inflationary Surges and Geopolitical Tension

Despite a significant jump in U.S. producer price inflation and a corresponding rise in bond yields, equity markets showed notable resilience on Wednesday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both achieved new record highs as investors turned their attention toward the upcoming summit in Beijing between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping. This mark…

New Zealand Housing Market Faces Downward Pressure as Living Costs Intensify

New Zealand Housing Market Faces Downward Pressure as Living Costs Intensify

The New Zealand residential property market experienced a decline in April, according to the latest figures from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ). Median house prices saw a seasonal adjustment downward, reflecting the impact of rising expenses on consumer behavior. While most regions remained relatively steady and general market con…

UAE Rejects Reports of Unannounced Netanyahu Visit

UAE Rejects Reports of Unannounced Netanyahu Visit

The United Arab Emirates foreign ministry on Wednesday dismissed reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited the country during the ongoing war with Iran. The denial followed an earlier statement from Netanyahu’s office saying he had traveled to the UAE and met the Emirati president. The UAE ministry described any claims of unann…

Loonie Logs Sixth Straight Daily Decline as BoC Minutes Signal Patience

Loonie Logs Sixth Straight Daily Decline as BoC Minutes Signal Patience

The Canadian dollar fell for a sixth consecutive session against the U.S. dollar as the greenback strengthened broadly and minutes from the Bank of Canada’s latest policy meeting indicated policymakers were prepared to remain on hold. The currency traded around 1.3705 per U.S. dollar, while developments in oil prices, Canadian labour market data an…