Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
House Republicans on Thursday approved a $95 billion budget resolution that would create a pathway for legislation funding military operations in Iran, intelligence and agriculture assistance, and a decade-long push to enact a federal voter ID regime. The measure, passed on a party-line vote in a House budget committee, is intended to be brought to…
Marex Solutions CEO Nilesh Jethwa cautioned that global markets may not be fully accounting for the potential consequences of a very strong El Nino. He told clients that attention in financial markets has been drawn to the Middle East conflict and technology sector valuations, limiting proper assessment of weather-driven disruption. Jethwa warned t…
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid warned that inflation remains widespread across goods and services and should not be assumed temporary. Speaking at an economics forum in Nebraska, Schmid said current inflation running at about twice the Fed's 2% target is troubling, noted recent oil-driven softness in data may be fleeting, and def…
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid said inflation remains elevated across many categories and is the central concern for monetary policy given a steady labor market. Speaking at an economics forum in Nebraska, Schmid warned against assuming recent inflationary bursts are temporary, noted the uncertain persistence of energy price reli…
A White House technical assistant who has operated President Trump's teleprompter since 2016 is in discussions with federal regulators over more than $100,000 in alleged gains on the prediction market Kalshi, according to reports. The staffer, Gabriel Perez, is accused of wagering on the very words he loaded into the teleprompter and exploiting pri…
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan publicly called for a modest rise in short-term interest rates, saying inflation remains too high and the outlook for a return to the Fed's 2% goal is uncertain. Speaking from Houston, Logan warned that current monetary policy appears insufficient to restrain the economy and highlighted risks from renewe…
German 10-year bond yields edged up to 3.135% on Thursday, the highest level since May 20, narrowing the spread with U.S. 10-year Treasuries to its tightest in a month. The uptick in euro zone yields this week coincided with intensified fighting in the Gulf and higher energy prices, even as cooler U.S. inflation data restrained movement in Treasury…
The Federal Reserve's internal watchdog found that the central bank's protections for proprietary economic information are insufficient, citing weaknesses in risk identification, insider controls, training and information sharing. The Office of Inspector General urged the Board to adopt nine recommendations to better define critical assets and eval…
Central Bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso said Nigeria's prolonged slowdown in inflation supports the case for eventual interest-rate reductions, but he warned that recent external shocks have unsettled that progress and prompted policymakers to take a cautious approach ahead of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on July 20-21.
Germany's chemical industry reported falling output and revenue in the first half of 2026 and faces a downgraded full-year outlook, with the VCI warning that recent inventory-driven relief linked to Middle East tensions will not reverse deeper structural problems such as high costs, falling sales and strong global competition.
France and Morocco have launched a call for expressions of interest in a planned electricity interconnection intended to bring renewable power from Morocco to France, French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu said following a high-level meeting in Rabat. The initiative is part of a broader package of economic cooperation aimed at knitting companies a…
The International Monetary Fund said its staff completed a visit to Dhaka and will hold discussions on the parameters of a new programme in the coming months. The IMF projects Bangladesh's growth to slow to 3.5% in fiscal 2027 and fall below 3% over the medium term, and urged stronger revenue mobilisation, subsidy rationalisation, tight monetary an…
France's government outlined plans to restrict most public spending growth in 2027 as debt interest and defense outlays consume larger shares of the state budget. Total state and agency spending is set at €708.4 billion, with ministers ordered to keep most departmental increases below inflation. Rising debt service and mandated defense spending lea…
Bond investors are asking for higher compensation to finance Middle Eastern sovereigns after renewed tensions between the US and Iran. JPMorgan indexes show the average regional sovereign risk premium has climbed by about 20 basis points to 402 basis points over Treasury yields since a recent warning from the US president that a ceasefire may be "o…
A Reuters poll of 74 economists finds unanimous expectation that the European Central Bank will keep its deposit rate at 2.25% on July 23, while a growing majority anticipates a second rate increase this year in September due to a resurgence in energy prices that risks intensifying inflation pressures.
Hedge funds increased bearish bets against manufacturing stocks in June, driven by concerns that renewed hostilities around the Strait of Hormuz will lift oil, insurance and freight costs and squeeze manufacturers dependent on imported components. Hazeltree data covering 600 asset managers and 16,000 global stocks shows manufacturing names were the…
The World Cup final will feature Argentina and Spain, both wearing Adidas gear, eliminating Nike from the tournament's culminating match. Adidas stands to gain substantial global visibility after sponsoring 14 national teams, while none of Nike's 12 teams reached the final. The outcome underscores divergent commercial trajectories: Adidas has gaine…
Leveraged exchange-traded funds - products that seek to multiply daily returns using derivatives and borrowed capital - have surged in popularity around AI-related hardware names. Single-stock leveraged ETFs tracking giants such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have drawn massive retail and institutional flows, producing daily rebalancing that a…
The Bank of Korea increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on Thursday. The move largely matched market expectations, as headline inflation reached 3.2% year-over-year in June and core inflation rose to 2.5%. Fuel and transport price inflation remain elevated but have shown signs of stabilization. Officials signaled that further tighte…
U.S. equity futures were largely flat as investors weighed a softer-than-expected June inflation print against a fresh wave of corporate results. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a record quarterly profit, reinforcing strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, while Apple won regulatory approval to roll out on-device AI feature…
Data posted on the government budget portal indicate Russia’s federal spending for 2026 could exceed the budget law by roughly 1 trillion roubles, raising the projected deficit to 4.83 trillion roubles. Revenues are unchanged in the portal’s figures, leaving the larger shortfall to be financed amid an already elevated deficit this year and question…
Euro-area government bond yields rose after renewed fighting in the Gulf heightened concerns about energy prices, pushing Germany's 10-year yield to its highest level since May 20. At the same time, cooler-than-expected US consumer and producer inflation readings have limited upward pressure on US Treasury yields, narrowing the spread between Germa…
A sharp pullback in Asian chipmakers has injected volatility into regional markets, with South Korea’s KOSPI seeing large intra-day swings after steep drops in major suppliers. The sell-off has revived debate over whether massive AI-related capital expenditure can generate sufficient profits. Markets now focus on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing …
The United States will levy a 25% tariff on certain imports from Brazil after a year-long Section 301 investigation concluded that Brazilian policies unfairly restricted U.S. commerce. The move, directed by President Donald Trump and announced by U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, follows unsuccessful negotiations on a range of issues and le…
A growing number of Chinese households are falling behind on loans even as authorities encourage borrowing to lift domestic demand. Consumer defaults have reached unprecedented levels, with banks tightening lending standards and using loan restructurings to avoid immediate non-performing classifications. The trend poses risks for lenders concentrat…
