Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,050 total articles
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said artificial intelligence has the potential to lower inflation over a five- to 10-year horizon, but she emphasized that this possibility is not material to current monetary policy decisions. Daly told a Bloomberg Tech audience that monetary policy operates on roughly a 12-month timeframe, AI-driv…
Speaking in St Petersburg, President Vladimir Putin said U.S. President Donald Trump asked Russia to consider concessions to help reach a peace agreement with Ukraine. Putin said Russia possesses sufficient resources to meet its military aims yet is open to a negotiated resolution provided Ukraine offers reciprocal compromises. He described Russia'…
Russian President Vladimir Putin told journalists that Russia and China will shortly conclude new energy agreements that he said will be beneficial for the global energy market. He gave no additional particulars on the nature or timing of the deals. Putin also noted continued cooperation with China in the military sphere and described the bilateral…
President Donald Trump plans to invoke the Defense Production Act to allocate nearly $700 million to the U.S. coal sector, officials say. The funds are intended for upgrades at more than a dozen coal-fired power plants, financing for two new coal plants and support for construction of a West Coast coal export terminal. The administration frames the…
Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston concludes that the Federal Reserve can put greater weight on inflation when responding to oil price shocks because shifts in U.S. energy use and production have altered the link between oil shocks and employment. The report finds oil price surges now have a smaller effect on inflation and can even su…
A Federal Reserve Bank of Boston study argues that structural changes in U.S. energy use and production mean the Federal Reserve can concentrate monetary policy on inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East oil price shock rather than on employment impacts. The paper finds oil shocks now have a more muted effect on overall employment and …
Partners Group reported increased withdrawal requests across several funds, including a Delaware-based vehicle where repurchase requests exceeded the quarterly 5% limit. Blackstone capped redemptions at its flagship private credit fund after a jump in redemption demands. The moves highlight mounting liquidity pressure in evergreen private credit st…
The Canadian government announced a comprehensive artificial intelligence strategy called AI for All that targets $200 billion in economic growth and pairs direct funding with equity investments in AI startups over the next five years. The plan sets adoption, jobs and training targets, includes a public AI supercomputer and sovereign compute invest…
The New York Federal Reserve's Global Supply Chain Pressure Index fell slightly in May to 1.77 from 1.82 in April, but remains at levels comparable to the latter part of 2022. The Fed bank ties ongoing supply disruptions to the U.S.-backed war with Iran and the effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, which has constrained flows of oil and other…
The International Monetary Fund is holding discussions with Venezuelan authorities about launching an Article IV consultation, IMF communications director Julie Kozack said at a Washington press briefing. The fund has not carried out its regular annual review of Venezuela's economy since 2004. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva recently met…
The federal government unveiled a national artificial intelligence strategy designed to add 250,000 jobs by 2031 and lift GDP through wider AI adoption. The plan includes a C$500 million Canadian Tech Growth Fund, C$500 million in Business Development Bank of Canada support for SMEs, and C$50 million for AI risk monitoring, alongside proposed consu…
The International Monetary Fund recommended a cautious approach to U.S. interest-rate policy ahead of the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh, saying persistent upside inflation risks from energy price shocks and growing pass-through of higher tariff costs have prompted a further delay in its forecast for inflation to retu…
The Bipartisan Policy Center projects the U.S. Treasury could need to employ extraordinary accounting steps as early as next year to prevent a default. The report estimates the statutory debt limit will be reached between late winter and mid-summer of 2027, after which the Treasury may have an additional six to nine months of flexibility before a d…
Senate Republicans will confront the disposition of President Trump’s sidelined $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund during a prolonged voting session that precedes a decision on a $70 billion bill to finance U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol. Democrats plan an amendment to eliminate the fund, while some Republicans are p…
June 4 (Reuters) - John Bolton, a former U.S. national security adviser and vocal critic of President Donald Trump, is reported to be preparing to plead guilty to a charge related to the retention of sensitive national security documents and to pay a fine exceeding $2 million. Court filings indicate a scheduled appearance on June 26 to enter a new …
The European Union has reiterated that a prospective trade agreement with the United States must conform to the Turnberry parameters, which set a 15% all-inclusive tariff ceiling, EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said after an OECD ministerial meeting. His remarks come amid a U.S. proposal to levy tariffs of up to 12.5% on imports from 60 count…
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday unanimously backed the Securities and Exchange Commission’s ability to recover illegal profits through disgorgement, sustaining a lower-court ruling in a case brought by defendant Ongkaruck Sripetch. The decision leaves intact long-standing judicial and statutory foundations for disgorgement and resolves a central…
The International Atomic Energy Agency has told member states that Iran must promptly provide information on its enriched uranium following military strikes on its nuclear sites in June 2025. A confidential IAEA report says the agency has not received required information, has been denied access to most facilities except Bushehr, and cannot verify …
Mexico's finance minister signaled that the country's economy could surpass the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's (OECD) most recent growth forecast, citing an upcoming public investment programme focused on infrastructure and government steps to control inflation. The OECD projects 0.8% growth for 2026 and 1.8% for 2027, whi…
Wolfe Research strategist Tobin Marcus says the effective U.S. tariff burden on imports has eased sharply this year, providing an under-the-radar boost to growth alongside AI-driven capital spending and consumer tax cuts. Marcus cautions, however, that a recent administration proposal to restore permanent tariffs under Section 301 - including a rat…
Options activity this week shows sizable bets that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will rise into the mid-4% range by late July. Two large August put purchases target levels consistent with yields near 4.65% and 4.7%, with one trade showing a substantial increase in open interest that market participants interpret as newly established risk.
Discovery Global Holdings, a unit of Warner Bros. Discovery, arranged new seven-year term loans totaling $13 billion and 1.72 billion, and used the proceeds together with existing cash to fully retire a $15 billion non-investment grade leveraged bridge loan dated June 26, 2025. The dollar loans carry a choice of Term SOFR plus 2.50% or base rate p…
The Czech National Bank increased the countercyclical capital buffer by 25 basis points to 1.5%, effective July 1, 2027, pointing to sustained growth in lending, higher household and corporate indebtedness, and rising apartment prices as reasons for the change. Mortgage lending rules and the systemic risk buffer remain unchanged.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has revoked federal certification for Hawaii's Medicaid Fraud Control Unit, cutting about $3 million in annual funding after the unit failed to secure criminal indictments or convictions between 2022 and 2025. The decision, communicated by HHS Inspector General March Bell, raises the prospect of broa…
The Kenya Bankers Association is urging the central bank to raise interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting to rein in accelerating inflation. KBA’s center for research highlighted that higher global oil prices have pushed headline inflation to 6.7% in May from 5.6% in April, placing it close to the central bank’s 2.5% to 7.5% target range ceil…
