Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
Canada's trade surplus shrank to C$769 million in July as exports of energy and metal products declined and imports rose. The reading comes weeks before Washington implemented 50% new tariffs last month, which officials and analysts say will pose additional challenges for exporters in the months ahead.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said there is a chance of reaching an agreement to end the war in Ukraine, speaking at an economic forum in Russia's far east. Kyiv's foreign minister said he expects a revived political and diplomatic phase of negotiations. Both leaders, however, flagged obstacles tied to recent military actions, and market respons…
A Reuters poll of 32 foreign exchange analysts conducted Aug. 31-Sept. 2 found the Canadian dollar is forecast to slip slightly in the coming three months before strengthening over the next year if the trade conflict with the United States is settled. The Bank of Canada left its policy rate on hold at 2.25% while noting tariffs are unlikely to have…
The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) says criminal exploitation of informal, non-bank settlement systems - including hawala and other similar service providers (HOSSPs) - is now a widespread international challenge. A new FATF report, compiled with input from member states, documents that these channels are processing proceeds from a broader set …
S&P Global Ratings warned that China’s onshore bond market shows an unusually high concentration of top-tier credit ratings, including cases where foreign issuers rated below investment grade internationally receive AAA scores when issuing panda bonds. Regulators have begun pressuring rating agencies to rebalance ratings, prompting downgrades and w…
Speaking at an economic forum in Vladivostok, President Vladimir Putin said the recent rise in Russia's budget deficit - up 40% from January to July to 2.8% of GDP - does not constitute a critical threat to the economy and can be managed. He cited the country's low level of national debt and government loan programs for businesses. The statement co…
U.S. equity futures traded with little conviction on Thursday as firming oil prices and concerns of a widening conflict in the Middle East kept traders cautious. Treasury yields eased modestly while corporate results produced mixed reactions, with Broadcom slipping after a soft revenue outlook and Snowflake jumping on a strong revenue forecast. Mar…
Citi expects the Central Bank of Turkey to leave its policy rate unchanged in September amid rising inflation expectations and weakening GDP growth forecasts. Recent survey results indicate a continued decline in growth outlook and a rebound in short-term inflation expectations, while longer-term inflation measures have also edged higher. The combi…
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CNBC the Trump administration is considering a set of targeted tariffs on foreign-made semiconductors and related technology, and that companies could avoid those duties by committing to build more chip capacity in the United States. The administration has been discussing the move publicly while details on the…
India's services sector saw a modest pickup in August, with the HSBC-S&P Global Services PMI rising to 54.1 from 53.3 in July. Despite the improvement, demand indicators remained weak by historical standards, keeping overall activity near a more than four-year low. Firms increased hiring at the fastest pace in 15 months and passed on higher costs t…
Global bond markets steadied after recent volatility, with yields in the United States and Japan edging down. Elevated oil prices above $90 a barrel, driven by escalations in strikes between the U.S. and Iran, have kept inflation concerns front and center and lifted the odds that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points this month. K…
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book indicates modest gains in U.S. economic activity, a slight uptick in employment and moderate increases in prices across regions. Policymakers will consider these qualitative readings alongside hard data ahead of their September 15-16 meeting, amid elevated uncertainty from energy price moves and international…
The Federal Reserve’s Office of Inspector General says the central bank should bolster safeguards to prevent the transmission of confidential, nonpublic information to directors serving on the boards of the Fed’s 12 regional reserve banks. The watchdog found examples of board members getting briefings before or immediately after policy meetings and…
Anthropic on Wednesday published blueprints for retailers to construct shopper and merchant agents on its Claude platform. The templates are designed for retail, travel and ticketing companies and cover features such as preference-based product recommendations and adding items to shopping carts. Anthropic highlighted early partner results showing s…
India’s statistics secretary defended the country’s recently reported 7.8% GDP growth for the April-June quarter and the sizeable adjustments to prior quarters, saying changes reflect a revamped GDP series, more granular price inputs and additional data sources. Critics and opposition figures have questioned the revisions, arguing they make the lat…
Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard met with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on the sidelines of a G20 innovation meeting in Chapel Hill to press for progress on U.S. tariffs affecting cars, steel and aluminum. The discussion also covered bilateral trade and regional technological innovation as the two countries continue negotiations tie…
Bank of America says reports that the U.S. will take control of Venezuelan oil reserves represent a significant change in policy. The proposed 25-year arrangement, reportedly covering 17 fields and involving a Department of Defense partnership with Alejandro Betancourt's NABEP, would give the United States effective control of 65 billion barrels of…
An examination of regulatory filings from 44 U.S. business development companies finds private-credit portfolio fair values moved further below reported cost in the first half of 2026. While some stabilization surfaced in the second quarter after larger early-year markdowns, several BDCs recorded concentrated losses tied to a small group of borrowe…
New York Fed President John Williams told CNBC that recent increases in long-term U.S. bond yields are a manifestation of a strong economy - driven in part by large investments in AI, data centers and broader technology - rather than a market response to renewed inflation concerns. Williams emphasized the Federal Reserve's responsibility for return…
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Tuesday that recent increases in long-term bond yields reflect a robust U.S. economy and strong investment demand—particularly in technology and AI—rather than fresh inflationary pressures. Speaking to CNBC, Williams said inflation expectations remain contained, the labor market is stead…
China's central bank governor told the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting that Beijing does not intentionally aim for a trade surplus and will pursue greater domestic demand alongside continued openness. The governor attributed worsening global trade imbalances to rising protectionism, the broad application of national securit…
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium that higher interest rates may be required to tame inflation have created pressure for action at the Fed’s September 15-16 meeting. A decision to raise rates would reinforce the Fed’s independence but could hand political ammunition to Democrats ahead of the November congr…
In the first 19 months of the current presidential term the national debt has exceeded $40 trillion even as the administration pledged to reduce the size of government and rein in long-term deficits. Federal outlays have continued to grow, a costly foreign conflict has entered an extended stalemate, and borrowing costs have risen as yields on U.S. …
A European Central Bank blog post warns that large U.S. technology firms are increasing their issuance in the euro zone bond market to finance substantial AI investments. While their current outstanding stock in the region is modest, their share of new issuance is significant and could constrain investor capacity, raise borrowing costs for other is…
Japanese 10-year government bond yields topped 3% for the first time since 1996, prompting a measurable pullback by domestic investors from overseas sovereign debt. While there is no evidence of a rapid sell-off of Japan's $2.4 trillion foreign bond holdings, official flows and market feedback point to a steady reallocation toward domestic fixed in…
