Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

6,527 total articles

Wall Street banks post strong Q2 profits as dealmaking and trading surge

Wall Street banks post strong Q2 profits as dealmaking and trading surge

Major U.S. banks reported robust second-quarter earnings driven by booming investment banking fees and heightened trading revenue. Large IPOs and megadeals — including roles in a roughly $86 billion initial public offering — helped push investment banking revenue to its highest levels since 2021. Executives cautioned that geopolitical tensions, lof…

Traders Shift Odds Toward No July Fed Rate Hike After Cooler June Inflation

Traders Shift Odds Toward No July Fed Rate Hike After Cooler June Inflation

Recent U.S. inflation data for June showed a slower rise in consumer prices than in May, prompting traders to scale back expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase at its late-July meeting. Core inflation held steady month-to-month, while oil market tensions and comments from Fed officials continue to shape expectations for policy decisions la…

EASA renews and tightens advisory, tells carriers to steer clear of Gulf airspace

EASA renews and tightens advisory, tells carriers to steer clear of Gulf airspace

The European Union Aviation Safety Agency has reinstated and reinforced guidance urging airlines to avoid the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and the area over the Gulf of Oman, citing elevated risk as tensions between the United States and Iran escalate. The advisory, effective until July 29, follows recent missile exc…

U.S. Consumer Inflation Eases More Than Forecast in June, but Uncertainty Remains

U.S. Consumer Inflation Eases More Than Forecast in June, but Uncertainty Remains

U.S. consumer inflation moderated in June, with the Consumer Price Index rising 3.5% year-on-year and falling 0.4% on the month. The decline was driven mainly by lower gasoline prices amid a brief ceasefire in the Middle East that later collapsed. Core CPI eased to 2.6% year-on-year and was unchanged month-to-month. The data is unlikely to eliminat…

Australia to Create Central Office for AI Policy and Standards

Australia to Create Central Office for AI Policy and Standards

The Australian government will set up an Office of AI inside the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet to coordinate development of AI standards across federal agencies. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will announce the plan in Sydney, saying the move replaces a patchwork, sector-by-sector approach and mirrors previous coordinated responses …

Australia to centralise AI regulation with new Office of AI in PM's department

Australia to centralise AI regulation with new Office of AI in PM's department

The Australian government will establish an Office of AI inside the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet to coordinate national AI standards and policy across ministries. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is set to unveil the initiative in a major Sydney address, arguing for a unified approach to AI similar to past coordinated responses to ot…

U.S. Consumer Inflation Sees Sharp Monthly Drop in June, Led by Lower Gas Prices

U.S. Consumer Inflation Sees Sharp Monthly Drop in June, Led by Lower Gas Prices

Headline U.S. consumer inflation fell 0.4% month-on-month in June, the biggest single-month decline since April 2020, driven in part by lower gasoline prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged in June after a 0.2% increase in May. On a year-over-year basis, headline CPI rose 3.5% and core CPI increased 2.6%, both softer than e…

Citi Posts 45% Rise in Quarterly Profit as Trading and Deal Fees Surge

Citi Posts 45% Rise in Quarterly Profit as Trading and Deal Fees Surge

Citigroup reported a 45% increase in second-quarter net income and recorded its strongest quarterly revenue in ten years, driven by a spike in trading revenue amid market volatility and a jump in investment banking fees. The bank posted $5.8 billion in net income on $24.8 billion in revenue, with notable gains across equities trading, investment ba…

KPMG Australia Weighs Deep Cost Cuts as Whistleblower Fallout Continues

KPMG Australia Weighs Deep Cost Cuts as Whistleblower Fallout Continues

KPMG Australia is reportedly preparing significant workforce reductions and cuts to partner compensation as it responds to fallout from a whistleblower scandal. The firm has acknowledged missteps handling the complaint, launched another internal probe, and faces a formal regulatory investigation alongside broader scrutiny of audit firms. Potential …

Britain and EU Finalize Treaty to Streamline Gibraltar Border Crossings

Britain and EU Finalize Treaty to Streamline Gibraltar Border Crossings

A treaty signed in Brussels on Tuesday by senior British, EU, Spanish and Gibraltar officials formalizes arrangements intended to simplify movements across the Gibraltar-Spain frontier. The agreement allows Gibraltar residents to use residence cards to enter Spain without passport stamps, permits Spanish citizens to cross with a government ID card,…

Goldman Sachs Posts Sharp Profit Gain as Trading and Dealmaking Surge

Goldman Sachs Posts Sharp Profit Gain as Trading and Dealmaking Surge

Goldman Sachs reported a substantial rise in second-quarter profit, driven by a surge in equities trading amid geopolitical-driven volatility and a rebound in corporate deal activity. Strong performance across equities and fixed income, plus higher investment banking fees and resilient asset and wealth management revenue, combined to push quarterly…

DeepSeek reopens fundraising talks weeks after first close, FT says

DeepSeek reopens fundraising talks weeks after first close, FT says

DeepSeek has held early discussions with prospective backers about launching a new financing round that would put the company at about $71 billion pre-deal, roughly one month after completing its first major funding round that raised about $7 billion at a $52 billion valuation, the Financial Times reported. The company did not immediately respond t…

Warsh Heads to Capitol Hill as Early Moves Signal Distance From Trump

Warsh Heads to Capitol Hill as Early Moves Signal Distance From Trump

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will testify before Congress over two days as he lays out his initial thinking on monetary policy and the economy. His early actions - including task force appointments and staffing choices - have been read by some observers as creating distance from President Donald Trump, even as questions remain about whether Wa…

BoE Governor Flags Financial Stability Risks After US-Iran Escalation

BoE Governor Flags Financial Stability Risks After US-Iran Escalation

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told lawmakers that while the UK banking system remains resilient, the breakdown in talks and renewed attacks between the United States and Iran have elevated financial stability risks. Bailey said he had assessed the conflict risk at the lower end of the BoE’s scenario range when he voted last month in favor …

Kyrgyzstan halts exports of gasoline, diesel and oil as Russian supplies falter

Kyrgyzstan halts exports of gasoline, diesel and oil as Russian supplies falter

Kyrgyzstan has suspended all exports of gasoline, diesel and crude oil after supply disruptions from Russia produced acute shortages. The measure is temporary and will remain in place until domestic availability is judged sufficient. The move follows steep declines in Russian rail shipments of jet fuel and gasoline into Central Asia and Afghanistan…

Bank of America Sees Bank of Canada Pausing at 2.25% but Flags Hawkish Risk

Bank of America Sees Bank of Canada Pausing at 2.25% but Flags Hawkish Risk

Bank of America anticipates the Bank of Canada will keep its policy rate at 2.25% at the July 15 meeting, while warning that inflation running above target could prompt a hawkish signal. The bank notes modest improvements in Canadian activity and the labour market, ongoing trade uncertainty, market pricing that favors a pause, and upside risk to ra…

Markets Brace as Earnings, Inflation Data and Iran Tensions Converge

Markets Brace as Earnings, Inflation Data and Iran Tensions Converge

U.S. stock futures opened mixed as investors weighed renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, the start of second-quarter bank earnings and a key inflation reading. Washington's export restrictions have prompted Nvidia to narrow its list of authorized Asian buyers for AI chips, while the U.S. military and administration have taken additional measures aimed at p…

Markets on Edge as Earnings, CPI and Middle East Tensions Converge

Markets on Edge as Earnings, CPI and Middle East Tensions Converge

U.S. stock futures showed mixed movement as investors entered a pivotal week shaped by major bank earnings, a closely watched Consumer Price Index report and congressional testimony from the new Federal Reserve chair. Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions after a fresh round of strikes and a reinstated naval blockade kept risk sentiment fragile, while tigh…

European equities retreat as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities rattle markets

European equities retreat as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities rattle markets

European stocks opened lower amid renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, with the STOXX 600 down 0.4% as energy prices climbed and travel names fell. Market participants examined quarterly results from companies including BP and Ericsson for signs of near-term corporate strain. Higher Brent crude and specific corporate earnings updates shaped intraday moves.