Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
Fund manager confidence has climbed to its highest point since February, driven by optimism on economic growth, AI-related capital expenditure and the prospect of easier U.S. monetary policy, according to Bank of America’s July Global Fund Manager Survey. Cash allocations fell to an "uber-low" 3.6%, a level that triggers BofA’s contrarian sell sign…
Japan's cabinet is set to include a footnote in its final economic blueprint that cites a legal clause safeguarding the Bank of Japan's independence in setting monetary policy, TV Tokyo reported. The document will also urge the BOJ to guide policy appropriately "to achieve stable price rises," language intended to make explicit that the government …
Asian equities fell sharply and Brent crude pushed toward $85 a barrel as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh prepares to testify before Congress over two days. Markets are parsing hawkish signals from Fed officials, escalating U.S.-Iran military actions and a potential U.S. levy on ships using the Strait of Hormuz. Chinese export strength and c…
Forecasts indicate U.S. consumer inflation likely moderated in June, primarily because gasoline retreated from multi-year highs. Even with that easing, core inflation pressures and geopolitical developments leave monetary policy options open for the Federal Reserve. Economists expect the Consumer Price Index to show a 3.8% year-on-year rise for Jun…
Australian consumer sentiment posted a modest uptick in July, supported by cooling fuel costs and a deceleration in interest rate anxiety. Despite the seasonal improvement, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index remains firmly entrenched in pessimistic territory, reflecting sustained strain on household balance sheets and lingerin…
Canada’s Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) alerted major financial institutions in late April that Anthropic’s Claude Mythos and similar advanced AI models could shorten the time available to identify and address cybersecurity vulnerabilities. The regulator sent guidance to CTOs, CISOs and CROs, emphasized a technology-n…
The U.S. Treasury reported that large customs duty refunds linked to President Trump’s tariff program pushed the June federal budget into a $120 billion deficit, reversing a $27 billion surplus in the prior-year month. Lower receipts, higher outlays and a rise in interest payments on public debt contributed to the swing. For the fiscal year to date…
Bondholders in Senegal’s sovereign debt have initiated preliminary, informal talks about assembling an ad hoc creditor group should the government move forward with a debt rework, according to reports citing people familiar with the situation. A number of large asset managers have been involved in the conversations, which remain at a nascent stage.…
Ship movements through the Strait of Hormuz have dropped sharply over the past week after a series of attacks on commercial vessels and renewed military exchanges between the U.S. and Iran. Trade intelligence firm Kpler reports a steep decline in vessel counts on the southern (Omani) route, while more ships are moving through Iranian territorial wa…
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller told reporters he would treat an additional uptick in inflation as a decisive signal after several months of rising readings, while a decline in the next report would require multiple similar readings to be judged a sustained trend. He reiterated the strength and stability of labor-market indicators, warn…
European Union foreign ministers failed to reach consensus on a 21st sanctions package targeting Russia, with principal disputes over limits on transporting Russian liquefied natural gas and provisions related to Austria's Raiffeisen Bank International AG. Delegates were also unable to agree on freezing the EU's floating price cap on Russian oil, a…
Shipping records compiled Monday by Bloomberg indicate Iran exported at least 57 million barrels of crude oil during an interval between two U.S. naval blockades after an interim accord eased restrictions and suspended sanctions. Exports averaged about 2.2 million barrels per day, though actual flows may be larger due to Iran's past concealment of …
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller told the New York Association for Business Economics that a continued rise in core personal consumption expenditures could force the Fed to tighten policy soon. Core PCE rose from 3.0% in December 2025 to 3.4% in May, a trend Waller said began in January and quickened after disruptions to petroleum produc…
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank may have to raise interest rates in the near term if upcoming data show inflation remaining well above the 2% goal. Delivering prepared remarks to the New York Association for Business Economics, Waller said the Fed stands at a crossroads and will be guided by new information beginni…
U.S. government bond yields rose on Monday after a sharp escalation in military actions between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher. Exchanges of missile and drone strikes and a dispute over control of the Strait of Hormuz followed Iran's weekend announcement that it had closed the waterway, prompting a renewed U.S. naval posture an…
Euro-area government bond yields rose on Monday after military exchanges between U.S. and Iranian forces and Tehran's announcement that it had again closed the Strait of Hormuz. The surge in oil prices pushed Brent above pre-war levels and lifted shorter- and longer-term German yields, while money markets adjusted expectations for European Central …
A federal judge has voided the settlement between President Donald Trump and the Internal Revenue Service that granted extensive tax protections to the president and his companies and once proposed a nearly $1.8 billion government fund to compensate alleged victims of government 'weaponization.' The judge concluded the parties were not sufficiently…
Venezuela faces a potentially massive sovereign debt restructuring. The government has said it would complete a comprehensive debt assessment by the end of June; investors expect that assessment this month. Publicly available estimates range widely, and the composition of creditors - from bondholders and oil-backed Chinese creditors to multilateral…
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the National Credit Union Administration issued guidance advising financial institutions to assess elevated credit risk when borrowers derive income from employment for which they lack legal authorization. The nonbinding guidance reiterates existing obligat…
Three federal banking overseers have issued guidance urging lenders to treat income from unauthorized employment as a potential indicator of elevated credit risk, noting repayment may be less reliable if employment ends or if the borrower faces removal from the United States. The guidance is nonbinding and is intended to help implement a presidenti…
Bangladesh and the International Monetary Fund have settled on a broad framework for a replacement lending programme, with reforms to be rolled out in stages to reflect the country's difficult economic circumstances, Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury said. Detailed negotiations on policy conditions remain pending, with the next round of…
A recent poll of 40 economists indicates Brazil's economy is set to expand modestly through next year despite political uncertainty around the October presidential vote. Crop losses tied to El Niño and an expanding primary deficit are expected to weigh on growth and public finances, while inflation forecasts were nudged higher and policymakers are …
JPMorgan economist Fatih Akcelik warns that elevated inflation momentum in Turkey means policymakers should be careful with rate reductions in the second half of the year. The bank forecasts inflation reaching 29% by the end of 2026 and highlights several external and domestic factors that will determine the inflation path and external balance.
Chinese Premier Li Qiang urged a broader, objective appraisal of the country’s economic condition and called for stepped-up counter-cyclical policy adjustments to bolster momentum as signs point to slowing growth. His remarks, delivered at a meeting with experts and entrepreneurs and reported by state broadcaster CCTV, come ahead of the government'…
The United Arab Emirates informed OPEC that its crude production rose by 80% in June to 3.8 million barrels per day, following Abu Dhabi's decision to leave the producer group effective May 1. The increase, which traders say helped create a surplus in Asia and prompted Saudi discounting, precedes a later escalation in tensions between the US and Ir…
