Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
U.S. long-term government bond yields jumped on Tuesday, with the 30-year Treasury reaching its highest point since 2007. Market anxiety over stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations, a constrained Strait of Hormuz pushing oil above $90 a barrel, and rising fiscal issuance combined to drive the move, even as softer U.S. economic data has trimmed expectations…
Official UK labour market figures for the second quarter show softer earnings momentum in the private sector, a decline in job vacancies to the lowest level in more than five years, and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.9%. Overall annual pay growth excluding bonuses came in at 3.5%, while the Bank of England monitors the potential inflationary e…
Brazil’s central bank governor, Gabriel Galipolo, said demand in the country is growing faster than supply across multiple areas, arguing this justifies maintaining restrictive interest rates. Speaking at an event hosted by Santander Brasil, Galipolo cited the current account deficit and inflation for goods and services that cannot be imported as s…
Canada's annual consumer price inflation rose to 3.0% in July, slightly above market expectations, lifted mainly by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices and higher costs for travel tours. Monthly CPI increased 0.5%. Core inflation measures remained close to 2%, leaving the Bank of Canada’s policy rate outlook largely unchanged.
Economists at the European Central Bank warned that equity valuations, particularly in the United States, are near historical peaks and that past technology-driven booms tied to excitement about artificial intelligence often culminate in sharp corrections. The ECB team outlines two economic explanations - a 'rational' channel tied to shifting uncer…
Emergency liquidity facilities and market interventions by central banks have helped prevent bouts of forced selling in government and corporate bond markets. But by creating an expectation of intervention, these backstops can reduce perceived risk, making it easier for highly leveraged investors to finance trades that compress government yields - …
China is moving to accelerate regulations that require systematic collection, dismantling and material recovery for electric-vehicle batteries, wind turbines and solar panels, with the goal of establishing a closed-loop recycling framework across the renewable-energy supply chain before 2030. Officials said the measures will be part of a circular-e…
Recurring heatwaves across Europe are sapping customer footfall and worker productivity, particularly in hospitality, agriculture and manufacturing, while traditional insurance frequently fails to cover the resulting indirect operational losses. Estimates show recent heat episodes have exacted tens of billions in economic damage but only generated …
A Spanish F/A-18 fighter, operating under NATO’s air-policing mission, engaged and destroyed a drone that entered Romanian airspace from Moldova early on Sunday, Romanian defence authorities said. Wreckage fell in an uninhabited area without causing injuries. The interception is the fourth such shoot-down in Romania this year amid repeated incursio…
Ukrainian authorities report one injury and multiple fires after a Russian missile strike targeted Kyiv early Sunday, with defense systems engaged and falling debris causing structural damage across northern and central sectors. Officials continue to evaluate the operational impact while air-raid alerts dictate shelter protocols for local populatio…
Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon killed at least 11 people, including three children, in the deadliest escalation since a truce took effect in June. Lebanese authorities report 19 wounded. Israel says it struck Hezbollah infrastructure in retaliation for an attack that wounded three Israeli soldiers and that a Hezbollah commander was killed. …
A ship operated by the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company was struck while passing through the Strait of Hormuz, the company said, the third such incident involving an ADNOC vessel in fewer than seven days. No injuries were reported and authorities said the situation was controlled. The episode amplifies security worries for a chokepoint that handled a…
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51.0 in early August from 55.2 in July, driven in part by concerns over rising living costs linked to a Middle East conflict. The decline cut across political and demographic groups, with Republicans posting an especially large monthly drop. One-year inflation expectations rose to 4.3%, …
Canadian government bond yields declined on Thursday while the Canadian dollar held near a two-month high after U.S. producer price data showed easing inflationary pressure. A government source reported progress in trade talks with the United States and noted Washington sought a deal before an August 19 tariff deadline.
Argentina's consumer prices increased 2.1% in July, slightly above June's 1.9% and marginally higher than analyst expectations. Annual inflation rose to 33.8% from 33.5%. Service sectors tied to winter holidays, including recreation, restaurants and hotels, accounted for the largest upward pressure while clothing and footwear recorded a minor decli…
A wide majority of economists surveyed expect the European Central Bank to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% in September and then hold policy steady through at least mid-2027. Persistent high energy costs linked to the prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict have kept oil prices roughly 25% above pre-conflict levels, contributing to euro zon…
Brazil’s National Data Protection Authority (ANPD) ordered Discord to suspend its "Go Live" livestreaming feature, citing failures to protect children and teenagers from content that promotes violence, self-harm and suicide. The agency granted Discord three business days to show it has adequate safeguards and warned of fines up to 50 million reais …
A very large crude carrier was observed at Ju'aymah, part of Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura export complex, marking the first recorded presence of a supertanker at the Persian Gulf terminal in nearly a month. Satellite imagery shows the ship at a single-point mooring capable of loading about 2 million barrels, while other tankers have been seen at nearb…
China’s central bank said it will keep policy appropriately loose and stand ready to introduce practical measures when necessary, while not explicitly committing to cuts in policy rates or the reserve-requirement ratio. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) pledged to use existing tools, plan additional steps, step up counter-cyclical adjustment and wo…
U.S. stock futures moved modestly higher ahead of July consumer price index data that may influence Federal Reserve rate decisions. Cloud compute provider CoreWeave reported record revenue for a fifth consecutive quarter and a large increase in backlog and customer commitments, sending its shares sharply higher despite elevated capital spending and…
Fixed-income strategists polled in early August continue to project a decline in U.S. Treasury yields over the next 12 months, forecasting the 10-year to fall from near 4.73% to about 4.34% in a year. However, most respondents say it is more likely actual yields will come in higher than their three-month forecasts, reflecting persistent inflation c…
U.S. equity futures traded near flat as investors awaited key inflation data and parsed developments on the Iran conflict and AI infrastructure deals. Rising oil prices and higher Treasury yields weighed on sentiment. Separately, Anthropic is reported to have signed a multi-year capacity deal with Riot Platforms, while Intel completed an upsized $2…
European equities made a small gain as energy shares climbed amid persistent Middle East tensions that kept oil prices elevated. Market participants are poised for a clutch of economic releases later this week, including euro zone employment, euro zone GDP and U.S. consumer price data, for guidance on inflation and interest rate direction.
The Bank of Japan appears to be on the cusp of tightening policy, yet growing political friction over higher Japanese government bond yields is increasing pressure on the central bank to support the market. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s fiscal plans and allied officials’ comments have elevated yields, stirred concern about Japan’s debt-servicing …
European equities were largely unchanged on Aug 10 as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz kept crude prices firm. The STOXX 600 held near 660.12 at 0715 GMT after a record close the previous week, while markets prepared for key euro zone employment and U.S. inflation releases amid a fading earnings season.
