Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,192 total articles
India's services sector saw a modest pickup in August, with the HSBC-S&P Global Services PMI rising to 54.1 from 53.3 in July. Despite the improvement, demand indicators remained weak by historical standards, keeping overall activity near a more than four-year low. Firms increased hiring at the fastest pace in 15 months and passed on higher costs t…
Global bond markets steadied after recent volatility, with yields in the United States and Japan edging down. Elevated oil prices above $90 a barrel, driven by escalations in strikes between the U.S. and Iran, have kept inflation concerns front and center and lifted the odds that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points this month. K…
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book indicates modest gains in U.S. economic activity, a slight uptick in employment and moderate increases in prices across regions. Policymakers will consider these qualitative readings alongside hard data ahead of their September 15-16 meeting, amid elevated uncertainty from energy price moves and international…
The Federal Reserve’s Office of Inspector General says the central bank should bolster safeguards to prevent the transmission of confidential, nonpublic information to directors serving on the boards of the Fed’s 12 regional reserve banks. The watchdog found examples of board members getting briefings before or immediately after policy meetings and…
Anthropic on Wednesday published blueprints for retailers to construct shopper and merchant agents on its Claude platform. The templates are designed for retail, travel and ticketing companies and cover features such as preference-based product recommendations and adding items to shopping carts. Anthropic highlighted early partner results showing s…
India’s statistics secretary defended the country’s recently reported 7.8% GDP growth for the April-June quarter and the sizeable adjustments to prior quarters, saying changes reflect a revamped GDP series, more granular price inputs and additional data sources. Critics and opposition figures have questioned the revisions, arguing they make the lat…
Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard met with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on the sidelines of a G20 innovation meeting in Chapel Hill to press for progress on U.S. tariffs affecting cars, steel and aluminum. The discussion also covered bilateral trade and regional technological innovation as the two countries continue negotiations tie…
Bank of America says reports that the U.S. will take control of Venezuelan oil reserves represent a significant change in policy. The proposed 25-year arrangement, reportedly covering 17 fields and involving a Department of Defense partnership with Alejandro Betancourt's NABEP, would give the United States effective control of 65 billion barrels of…
An examination of regulatory filings from 44 U.S. business development companies finds private-credit portfolio fair values moved further below reported cost in the first half of 2026. While some stabilization surfaced in the second quarter after larger early-year markdowns, several BDCs recorded concentrated losses tied to a small group of borrowe…
New York Fed President John Williams told CNBC that recent increases in long-term U.S. bond yields are a manifestation of a strong economy - driven in part by large investments in AI, data centers and broader technology - rather than a market response to renewed inflation concerns. Williams emphasized the Federal Reserve's responsibility for return…
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Tuesday that recent increases in long-term bond yields reflect a robust U.S. economy and strong investment demand—particularly in technology and AI—rather than fresh inflationary pressures. Speaking to CNBC, Williams said inflation expectations remain contained, the labor market is stead…
China's central bank governor told the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting that Beijing does not intentionally aim for a trade surplus and will pursue greater domestic demand alongside continued openness. The governor attributed worsening global trade imbalances to rising protectionism, the broad application of national securit…
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium that higher interest rates may be required to tame inflation have created pressure for action at the Fed’s September 15-16 meeting. A decision to raise rates would reinforce the Fed’s independence but could hand political ammunition to Democrats ahead of the November congr…
In the first 19 months of the current presidential term the national debt has exceeded $40 trillion even as the administration pledged to reduce the size of government and rein in long-term deficits. Federal outlays have continued to grow, a costly foreign conflict has entered an extended stalemate, and borrowing costs have risen as yields on U.S. …
A European Central Bank blog post warns that large U.S. technology firms are increasing their issuance in the euro zone bond market to finance substantial AI investments. While their current outstanding stock in the region is modest, their share of new issuance is significant and could constrain investor capacity, raise borrowing costs for other is…
Japanese 10-year government bond yields topped 3% for the first time since 1996, prompting a measurable pullback by domestic investors from overseas sovereign debt. While there is no evidence of a rapid sell-off of Japan's $2.4 trillion foreign bond holdings, official flows and market feedback point to a steady reallocation toward domestic fixed in…
U.S. equity futures were largely unchanged as investors balanced rising expectations for interest rates with renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities and a global surge in government bond yields. Market attention is focused on upcoming U.S. economic releases - including the ADP payrolls report, factory orders and the Federal Reserve's Beige Book - and a Bank …
Long-term U.S. Treasury yields are unlikely to fall in the near term as a combination of rising term premium, heavy supply from governments and high-quality corporates, and a shift toward more rate-sensitive buyers constrains demand. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent faces structural market headwinds that go beyond tactical tools, with investors inc…
Renewed exchanges between the U.S. and Iran and a jump in oil prices have driven the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield to an intraday peak of 4.8122%, its strongest level in nearly three years, while Japanese 10-year yields have climbed to heights not seen in about 30 years. The disruption compounds fiscal worries for bond markets, prompts hawkish talk f…
The United States and Iran exchanged a series of strikes on Tuesday, the most intense fighting between the two since late-July, centered on the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM said it struck Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) air-defense, radar and naval targets after recent IRGC actions against commercial shipping and U.S. service members. Iranian…
A broad selloff in global sovereign debt is driving borrowing costs to levels not seen in decades, as geopolitical tensions, sticky inflation, and aggressive corporate financing for artificial intelligence projects strain capital markets. Rising yields are reshaping mortgage pricing, government spending capacity, and long-term investment planning a…
The U.S. dollar maintained its upward trajectory on Wednesday as renewed military confrontations in the Middle East triggered higher energy costs and renewed inflation anxieties. Despite recent economic indicators falling short of forecasts, capital flows are increasingly aligning with expectations of Federal Reserve tightening, supported by surgin…
Brazilian federal lawmakers have finalized a legislative package designed to reduce fiscal friction for digital infrastructure development. By removing specific federal levies on specialized technology hardware, the measure aims to lower procurement costs and accelerate domestic data center deployment ahead of executive ratification.
OpenAI announced on Sept 1 that an internally tested model named Astra exhibits capabilities well beyond those of the most advanced publicly available OpenAI model, GPT-5.6 Sol. The company said Astra's elevated performance means it will be developed and released with additional safety layers. The disclosure follows a separate incident in which Ope…
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said the United States must stop posturing and engage seriously if trade negotiations are to restart. Ottawa halted a negotiation over a pact intended to prevent additional U.S. tariffs on August 21, 2026, citing unacceptable last-minute U.S. demands. Tensions have been amplified by public comments and actions fr…
