Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,581 total articles
Morgan Stanley projects additional upside for Venezuelan sovereign bonds and PDVSA securities after a U.S. Treasury license permits Venezuela to retain legal and financial advisers. The bank highlights the license as a first step toward restructuring while warning that actual negotiations remain barred and future progress hinges on economic and ins…
The White House is considering an executive order that would mandate testing for artificial intelligence models before they are released to the public, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said. The contemplated framework would impose pre-release evaluations similar in spirit to Food and Drug Administration drug approvals and could appl…
In April, Russia's federal oil tax collections climbed to their strongest level in six months as crude markets rallied amid the war in Iran. Finance Ministry figures, as interpreted in Bloomberg calculations, show April oil taxes at 707.1 billion rubles, with total oil and gas receipts near 856 billion rubles. The Urals benchmark averaged $77 per b…
U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the Trump administration intends to raise China's ongoing energy purchases from Iran during President Trump's upcoming meeting with President Xi Jinping in Beijing. While Washington hopes the exchange will not derail broader talks or potential agreements, officials view the matter as a point of concern …
The U.S. Treasury announced a $125 billion issuance of notes and bonds to refund about $83.3 billion of privately-held securities maturing on May 15, while raising roughly $41.7 billion in fresh cash. The package comprises a $58 billion 3-year note, a $42 billion 10-year note and a $25 billion 30-year bond, with auctions set the week of May 11 and …
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington on Thursday to discuss tariffs and cooperation against organized crime, and Brazil says it is prepared to address U.S. concerns about its instant payments system Pix and deforestation rates, Finance Minister Dario Durigan said.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he remains committed to maintaining strong transatlantic relations even as he publicly disagrees with U.S. President Donald Trump over the conduct of the Iran war. Speaking to public broadcaster ZDF, Merz signaled he will continue to raise his views directly with Trump, noting the two leaders remain in regular …
Brazilian Finance Minister Dario Durigan said President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington on Thursday to discuss tariffs and cooperation on organized crime. Durigan told state broadcaster EBC that Brazil is preparing for constructive talks and is ready to respond to U.S. inquiries about the Pix instant pa…
BCA Research says that although the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has not yet pushed the global economy into recession, seven factors have so far mitigated the shock. Chief Strategist Peter Berezin cautions that the risk of recession would rise significantly if the strait stays closed into June. BCA is currently neutral on global equities but wil…
DeepSeek, a Chinese large language model developer, is reportedly preparing its first external fundraising round that could value the company as high as $50 billion. Discussions are said to include China’s 60-billion-yuan national artificial intelligence fund and private technology investors, with the start-up possibly aiming to raise $3 billion to…
A May 1-6 poll of foreign exchange strategists finds the U.S. dollar poised to remain range-bound in the near term, with short-term direction tied to developments in the U.S.-Israel war with Iran and disruptions to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. While the dollar rallied early in the conflict on short-covering and safe-haven flows, most gai…
Banca Generali raised its 2026 net interest income guidance, citing expected interest rate increases during the year. The private bank posted stronger first-quarter earnings and healthy net inflows, and has submitted a binding bid to buy a majority stake in Investlinx, an Irish ETF platform managing about 240 million euros.
Egypt's annual consumer inflation fell to 14.9% in April from 15.2% in March, while monthly inflation slowed to 1.1% from 3.2%. The weaker monthly print reduces near-term odds of a rate hike at the central bank's May 21 policy meeting, even as the economy faces imported energy costs, a softer pound and capital outflows tied to the Iran war.
A study prepared for China’s Chamber of Commerce to the EU estimates that proposed EU cybersecurity rules phasing out equipment from so-called "high-risk" suppliers across 18 critical sectors would cost the bloc 367.8 billion euros ($432.83 billion) between 2026 and 2030. Germany would shoulder the largest share, with projected losses of 170.8 bill…
Egypt's urban consumer price inflation dropped to 14.9% year on year in April from 15.2% in March, according to official statistics from CAPMAS. On a monthly basis, overall prices rose 1.1% in April while food and beverage costs fell 0.7% month on month but remained 6.7% higher than a year earlier. Analysts had expected inflation to rise, citing re…
Central banks largely paused policy easing in April as the Iran war drove oil prices higher and pushed inflation expectations up. Six banks that oversee the 10 most traded currencies left rates unchanged, while some emerging market authorities moved cautiously amid currency weakness and surprise inflation readings.
Israel has agreed to transfer jet fuel to Germany after a recent request from Berlin, the Israeli energy ministry said Wednesday. The ministry said shipments will be coordinated with refineries but did not specify volumes or timing. Officials also said Israel will evaluate options for assisting with natural gas supplies. The decision was cleared by…
Kevin Warsh argues in a forthcoming book that the Federal Reserve's long-standing practice of recording and eventually publishing full transcripts of its policy meetings dampens open debate among officials. Drawing on work he carried out for the Bank of England and remarks made in a 2023 interview, Warsh proposes turning off recording for initial r…
European Central Bank board member Piero Cipollone said the likelihood of an ECB rate increase has grown as inflation remains elevated and upside risks persist. Inflation reached 3% in April, and while negotiated wage data have not shown a jump in pay demands, Cipollone warned that shifts in longer-term expectations or a rapid rise in wages could f…
U.S. stock futures pushed higher after President Donald Trump said he would suspend a U.S. operation to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and indicated progress toward a peace arrangement with Iran. Brent crude fell but remained above $100 a barrel. Advanced Micro Devices reported a sharp rise in profit and revenue driven by demand for AI-related data ce…
With UniCredit formally launching a 37 billion euro takeover of Commerzbank and having accumulated close to a 30% stake, some figures in Berlin are exploring whether state-owned KfW could be used to expand Germany’s existing 12% share. The move would aim to create a large enough holding to obstruct a full takeover, a plan that faces political and f…
Global equity benchmarks rose to fresh records after major Asian markets reopened from holidays, propelled by a jump in semiconductor shares in Seoul and strong services data from China. Samsung Electronics surged, pushing the KOSPI above 7,000 and lifting MSCI global and emerging market indices. Oil fell for a second day after remarks from the U.S…
A private-sector purchasing managers' survey showed China's services activity expanded at a quicker clip in April, with new domestic business the main driver. The reading diverged from an official survey that signaled a return to contraction. Export demand softened further and firms faced rising input costs tied to higher oil, fuel and freight pric…
The U.S. dollar weakened against most major peers after Washington signalled potential progress toward a comprehensive agreement with Iran. Comments from U.S. officials and a temporary pause in a naval escort operation helped drive oil prices lower, while the yen drifted toward levels that have previously attracted intervention from Tokyo. Markets …
President Donald Trump announced a temporary pause in Project Freedom, the operation intended to reopen commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz, saying a deal with Iran was close and "great progress" had been made toward a "complete and final agreement." He added the naval blockade of Iran will continue. The pause comes after Iranian milita…
