Foreign exchange markets and global currency movements.
Coverage of currency markets including major pairs, central bank actions, interest-rate differentials, and geopolitical influences. This section highlights trends in FX markets that impact global trade, inflation, and cross-asset correlations.
514 total articles
Hedge funds have increased bearish positions on the U.S. dollar through April 10, according to Morgan Stanley's proprietary trading model, reversing a March surge driven by safe-haven demand. The Bloomberg dollar index rose 2.4% in March but has since fallen 1.8% in April amid talks between the U.S. and Iran to resolve a six-week conflict. Morgan S…
UBS projects the Hungarian forint will strengthen to about 355-360 per euro in coming months after the Tisza party won a constitutional majority. The bank cites a smoother transition, potential unlocking of EU transfers, and balance‑of‑payments effects as drivers of appreciation, while outlining scenarios that could send EUR/HUF as low as 340 by ye…
Sterling slipped on Wednesday as the dollar found support and investors grew more cautious about the likelihood of a smooth geopolitical de-escalation. GBP/USD was down 0.1% at 1.3563, while EUR/USD eased 0.05% to 1.1791. Market positioning and central bank commentary, together with upcoming signals such as the Fed's Beige Book, are keeping currenc…
Asian currencies traded in a narrow range as investors awaited additional signals from ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire discussions. The U.S. dollar ticked higher in Asian hours after a seven-day decline, following softer-than-expected producer price inflation data that eased some concerns about persistent inflation. Key regional moves were modest: the …
Bank of Japan officials are likely to raise their inflation projection for the current fiscal year to account for a roughly 50% jump in oil prices since the start of the US-Iran war, and may lower growth forecasts as the Middle East conflict continues to cloud the outlook. The yen strengthened slightly after the report, and the BOJ will release an …
Sterling climbed on Tuesday alongside gains in the euro after the dollar came under pressure as markets increasingly priced in a de-escalation in Middle East tensions. Oil's retreat from earlier supply-fear-driven gains removed a support for the greenback, while investors awaited remarks from European and Bank of England officials that could influe…
Most Asian currencies strengthened modestly while the U.S. dollar eased after Washington began blockading Iranian vessels and ports in an effort to pressure Tehran toward a ceasefire. Traders are closely watching U.S. producer price inflation data for further signals on interest rates. China reported a much larger-than-expected contraction in its t…
The British pound slipped on Monday as the dollar strengthened following news that U.S.-Iran peace talks in Islamabad did not produce a lasting ceasefire. GBP/USD traded near 1.3416, down roughly 0.3%, while EUR/USD also eased. Higher oil prices and a possible U.S. naval blockade on Iranian exports underpinned the dollar, with ING analysts warning …
Most Asian currencies fell on Monday while the U.S. dollar drew safe-haven demand after peace talks between Washington and Tehran failed and U.S. officials moved to impose a blockade on Iranian ports. The moves were compounded by last week’s U.S. consumer inflation data, which increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates…
The U.S. dollar strengthened to its strongest level in a week in Asian trading as talks between the United States and Iran broke down and the U.S. Navy moved to implement a blockade of Iranian ports. The U.S. dollar index rose as much as 0.5% to 99.187, while major risk-sensitive currencies weakened. U.S. authorities said the blockade would begin a…
The U.S. dollar climbed in early Asia-Pacific trade after marathon negotiations between Washington and Tehran concluded without a peace deal, extending market uncertainty into a seventh week. U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. Navy would begin blockading the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit point, a move tied in reporting to higher o…
Citi's research indicates that when Brent crude trades above $80 per barrel and is above its 200-day moving average, the USD/JPY exchange rate rarely falls below its own 200-day moving average. The relationship shifts when crude is in the $60 to $80 range and depending on whether oil is above or below its 200-day average. Citi also notes current ex…
Sterling was steady near its best level of the week on Friday, trading around 1.3420 as markets prepared for a pivotal U.S. inflation print that could alter expectations for Federal Reserve policy and the dollar’s short-term trajectory. The pound has recovered strongly from earlier weakness this week, but analysts warn much of the positive news may…
Most Asian currencies edged lower on Friday but were positioned to post weekly gains as investors weighed an uncertain temporary truce between the U.S. and Iran and awaited U.S. March CPI data. The US Dollar Index ticked up slightly during Asian hours but was on track for a weekly decline. China saw factory-gate prices return to growth while consum…
UBS identifies month-end rebalancing by Swiss investors and a deteriorating stance from the Swiss National Bank as contributors to recent franc weakness versus the U.S. dollar. The bank expects those timing-sensitive flows to wane, keeps a bullish view on the franc and reiterates an end-Q2 EUR/CHF target of 0.90, while noting changes in the real ef…
UBS has raised its short-term outlook for the euro against the krona, targeting EUR/SEK at 11.20 by the end of the second quarter and advising long positions. The move follows Sweden's flash March inflation print for CPIF excluding energy of 1.1% year-over-year, which fell short of both the Riksbank and market consensus of 1.5%. UBS projects furthe…
Sterling softened on Thursday, trading around $1.3392 after signs that a ceasefire involving Iran may be fragile lifted demand for the U.S. dollar and curtailed earlier risk-driven gains. Markets remain caught between optimism tied to reports of negotiations and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the renewed caution that follows indications the…
Most Asian currencies held largely steady on Thursday following sharp gains a day earlier, as traders weighed whether a recently announced U.S.-Iran ceasefire could hold amid renewed military activity in the region. The dollar eased slightly, oil rebounded, and attention shifted to upcoming U.S. inflation data for signals on Federal Reserve policy.
The U.S. dollar steadied in early trading after a broad decline, as market participants weighed a fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. Key currency pairs moved marginally, while shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted and regional fighting in Lebanon continued to cast doubt on the truce's durability. Oil …
Sterling remained firm near $1.3432 on Wednesday, extending a 1.26% rise from the prior session after Iran announced a two-week ceasefire and agreed to safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The development triggered a broad risk-on response, pressuring the dollar, lifting equities, and steepening yield curves. Market participants have started …
Bank of America remains constructive on cross-yen pairs, highlighting a preference for the Australian dollar against the Japanese yen. The firm's commodities team projects an average Brent price of $92 per barrel in 2026, assuming the Iran-related conflict ends in April, and notes that higher oil prices and lower volatility are likely to weigh on t…
Most Asian currencies strengthened on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar weakened and risk appetite improved after U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to a temporary ceasefire with Iran. The move eased worries about disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and helped push several regional pairs lower against the greenback. New Zealand’s centra…
At the opening of Asian trade, the U.S. dollar weakened to a two-week low and a range of currencies strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The announcement, made shortly before a deadline tied to the Strait of Hormuz, pushed markets into a risk-on stance and coincided with gains in major…
Bank of America strategists maintain a near-term bearish stance on the euro, projecting EUR/USD at 1.14 by the end of the second quarter. The team cites the ongoing Iran conflict and sustained high energy prices as drivers of upward inflation pressure in the euro area, prompting revisions to CPI forecasts and changing expectations for ECB and Fed p…
Sterling weakened against the dollar on Tuesday, trading near $1.3234 by 03:50 ET and extending recent declines amid elevated demand for the U.S. currency driven by geopolitical uncertainty and supportive domestic data. Markets await a White House deadline linked to the U.S.-Iran situation, minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee and March i…
