Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
The European Central Bank met with commercial banks to outline growing threats from recent advances in artificial intelligence and will send a 'dear CEO letter' asking firms to adopt proactive, long-term measures. ECB supervisory vice chair Frank Elderson warned that AI can accelerate cyberattacks and turn small vulnerabilities into systemic threat…
A Reuters poll of 80 economists finds the European Central Bank is expected to lift its deposit rate to 2.25% on June 11, with the majority forecasting at least one more 25-basis-point move later in the year. Elevated headline and core inflation, driven in part by higher energy prices linked to the Iran war, are weighing on policy decisions even as…
UBS expects the European Central Bank to respond to a recent uptick in inflation with short-term policy rate increases, followed by rate reductions in 2027 once the energy-driven inflation shock dissipates. The bank cites stronger input-cost pressures and faster selling-price inflation as reasons for near-term hawkishness, but points to weakening a…
Senior economists at the European Central Bank cautioned that the current inflation shock in the euro area is not necessarily more benign than the episode in 2022. While several conditions - including weaker household demand, a softer labour market and tighter fiscal and monetary settings - point to lower upside risks, the shock's heavy reliance on…
U.S. equity futures were largely flat as investors balanced strong enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and another run of record closes against renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran and a downgraded global growth outlook from the OECD. Brent crude climbed above $97 a barrel as concerns over disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz persist. In tr…
A senior European Parliament trade official warned that additional U.S. duties on EU imports would be intolerable, rejecting U.S. findings that the EU has failed to stem trade in forced labour goods. The dispute centers on proposed 10% or 12.5% duties from the U.S. Trade Representative on imports from 60 economies, and whether any new levies would …
The OECD has downgraded its global growth forecast sharply, citing the economic fallout from the U.S.-Iran war and disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz. Its June Economic Outlook outlines a baseline that assumes a rapid peace agreement and easing energy-price pressures by mid-year, and a much bleaker scenario if shipping and energy disruptions persi…
European shares slipped modestly on June 3 as renewed hostilities in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher and reduced hopes of an imminent peace deal. The STOXX 600 fell 0.1% to 624.32 by 0805 GMT. Brent crude rose about 2% after the U.S. military said it thwarted Iranian missile attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait and other regional targets. Comments f…
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development says the global economy’s path depends on the duration of the war in the Middle East. A short conflict would see energy supplies normalise and a modest slowdown in growth; prolonged disruption could sharply reduce growth, push inflation higher and prompt central banks to tighten policy furth…
India's services sector expanded at its fastest monthly pace in six months in May, driven by stronger domestic demand. The HSBC India Services PMI rose to 59.8 from 58.8 in April. New business reached its highest level since November 2025, while export orders rose only marginally and business sentiment cooled for a second month.
Shares tied to artificial intelligence advanced Asian equities to fresh highs despite renewed Gulf hostilities. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang singled out Marvell Technology as the next potential trillion-dollar company, sending its stock soaring more than 30%. Market attention also turned to memory peers that have vaulted in value, SpaceX's planned IPO p…
A government source and local media reported that Pakistan’s federal budget is unlikely to be tabled on June 5, with the presentation potentially moved to June 10. Officials cited outstanding discussions with the International Monetary Fund over fiscal space, including provincial transfers to federal spending. The June 5 parliamentary session will …
The administration of President Donald Trump has introduced a proposal for significant new tariffs aimed at imports from 60 different economies. This move follows investigations by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) which determined that certain trading partners have failed to prevent the entry of goods produced via forced labor, an…
The Japanese yen has experienced significant weakness, briefly breaching the 160 per dollar mark during early trading sessions. This movement represents the first time the currency has touched this level since April 30, effectively erasing the progress made by previous massive foreign exchange interventions. As market participants await a scheduled…
Global markets experienced a period of intense divergence on Wednesday as escalating military conflict in the Middle East drove energy prices upward and pressured currency levels, even as the artificial intelligence sector continued to fuel bullish sentiment across Asian stock exchanges. While oil futures saw significant gains following reports of …
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is scheduled to deliver a critical speech on Wednesday that is expected to provide insight into the central bank's potential trajectory for interest rate adjustments. The address comes at a period of heightened economic sensitivity, as escalating fuel expenses stemming from the Iran war continue to apply upward pre…
In a recent strategic assessment, Goldman Sachs has adjusted its regional equity outlook, signaling a strong preference for North Asian markets. The investment bank's analysts are leaning into regions characterized by robust earnings growth, specifically highlighting Taiwan and South Korea. This shift comes as the market experiences a significant p…
Military tensions between the United States and Iran have intensified following a series of direct strikes exchanged across the Middle East. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) reported on Tuesday evening that it successfully intercepted a wave of Iranian missile and drone attacks directed at Kuwait and Bahrain. In response to these incursions, CENTCOM …
China's prolonged real estate downturn has moved beyond developers to strike the property services sector. Management firms are facing a crisis as homeowners refuse to pay administrative fees due to falling property values or financial hardship. This lack of revenue is forcing major providers to withdraw from contracts, leaving residential compound…
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has officially commenced his four-year term, signaling a dual approach of maintaining core institutional traditions while pursuing an ambitious reform agenda. In a memorandum addressed to the central bank's workforce of over 20,000 employees, Warsh emphasized that his primary objective is to ensure monetary poli…
The Trump administration has officially decided to abandon a planned $1.8 billion fund intended to combat what it termed the 'weaponization' of legal processes. The decision comes after significant political friction from both sides of the aisle. During testimony before the House Appropriations subcommittee responsible for overseeing the Justice De…
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has taken significant steps to intervene in the military promotion process, impacting several branches of the armed forces. According to reports citing current and former U.S. officials, the Defense Secretary has blocked the appointments of nine Air Force colonels and caused delays for at least two dozen other senior …
A recent survey conducted by UKG, an AI-driven platform specializing in workforce management and HR, indicates that the upcoming soccer World Cup may pose a significant economic challenge for global employers. As the tournament prepares to run from June 11 to July 19, businesses face the prospect of substantial productivity losses driven by shifts …
Global equity markets surged to record levels on Tuesday, driven by relative stability in geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran and a general sense of calm across bond and currency markets. While much of the market narrative remains focused on mega-cap technology companies, there has been a notable shift toward small-cap stocks and non-te…
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has engaged two external policy advisers, Paul Winfree and Daniel Heil, to assist with analysis and planning as he begins his chairmanship. Both advisers have roots in conservative policy networks and professional experience in areas that fall largely outside the Fed's core responsibilities of monetary policy an…
