Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,192 total articles
U.S. Vice President JD Vance has expressed concern over the United Kingdom's recent political volatility, asserting that the nation has suffered from prolonged leadership failures. Following Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s announcement to resign after just two years in office, Vance highlighted the unprecedented frequency of leadership changes as evi…
The Trump administration has introduced a sweeping plan to dismantle 702 federal regulations across various agencies, signaling an aggressive push toward deregulation. This initiative, which builds upon hundreds of rules already addressed this fiscal year, is projected to yield up to $1.5 trillion in economic savings. Central to the strategy is the…
Goldman Sachs has raised its near- and medium-term forecasts for the dollar against the yen, pointing to higher-for-longer U.S. yields, limited U.S. recession risk, fiscal pressures in Japan and only incremental moves from the Bank of Japan as reasons the yen will likely remain under pressure. The bank now expects USD/JPY to reach 162 in three mont…
Goldman Sachs has adjusted its currency projections, lowering its euro forecasts and raising its dollar-yen path, arguing that an AI-driven capex surge and an energy supply shortfall have combined to lift the relative appeal of U.S. assets. Those developments, the bank says, have altered rate differentials in the dollar's favor and reduced pressure…
French officials have warned that failure to pass a new finance bill could deepen fiscal pressures and spark renewed political instability. The government is seeking support to reduce the budget deficit to below 5% of GDP by 2027, while cautioning that without a fresh budget the deficit could reach 6.5% as current spending rolls over. The debate un…
Bank of America observes that foreign exchange intervention, though infrequent among major economies, can have outsized effects on global markets, central bank reserves and U.S. Treasury trading. Recent activity in the Japanese yen and Swiss franc illustrate how official action, including coordinated operations and verbal guidance, can influence in…
Germany's cooperative and savings banks are expanding access to cryptocurrency trading by integrating digital-asset platforms into local banking services. Cooperative banks have begun using a DZ Bank-built platform offering Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and Cardano, while DekaBank plans a phased rollout of a similar service for savings banks later th…
President Donald Trump delivered a Fourth of July address at Mount Rushmore as part of the nation's 250th-anniversary events, using the speech to spotlight his administration's priorities and urge congressional action on the Save America Act. The event in South Dakota included an aerial arrival on a donated Air Force One, was attended by Senate Maj…
China has put forward draft changes to its E-Commerce Law that would extend regulatory reach beyond online marketplaces and merchants to encompass platform governance and businesses operating across multiple sectors. Released for public consultation by the State Administration for Market Regulation and the Ministry of Commerce, the proposal would a…
European NATO allies have substantially replaced military assets the United States removed from its contingency plans for a potential European conflict, according to Sir John Stringer, the alliance's Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe. Speaking ahead of the upcoming NATO summit in Ankara, Stringer characterized the transition as a demonstration…
Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, is poised to become the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom following the resignation of Keir Starmer. According to a Wall Street Journal report, Burnham’s transition to the premiership is expected to occur without a formal leadership contest, potentially as early as July 20. This development mar…
Iran has initiated multi-day funeral ceremonies for former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who died during a joint U.S.-Israeli military operation earlier this year. The ceremonies, which are expected to draw millions of attendees, are taking place against a backdrop of continued regional instability. Despite a recent ceasefire between Iran and Israel…
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a firm statement of central bank independence and inflation targeting during a panel at the European Central Bank’s annual policy forum in Sintra, Portugal. Addressing questions regarding political influence and monetary policy direction, Warsh emphasized that the Fed will maintain its 2% inflation obj…
Russian military authorities announced on Friday that their forces have secured full control over Kostiantynivka, a critical defensive node in eastern Ukraine. The claim, delivered by General Valery Gerasimov during a visit from President Vladimir Putin to a forward command post, suggests a strategic shift in the broader campaign to consolidate Mos…
Katalyst Space Technologies launched a half-ton robotic spacecraft named LINK on July 3 to rendezvous with the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory and boost the crippled satellite into a higher orbit. Built in nine months under a $30 million NASA contract, LINK aims to grasp Swift with robot arms and tow it to roughly 373 miles above Earth, potentially …
Bank of America European equities strategists warn that an improving macro backdrop in Europe - including German fiscal stimulus, easing inflation and softer ECB rhetoric - may not translate into higher stock prices because valuations already reflect ideal conditions and AI-related capex expectations could be challenged.
Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at a central bankers' panel in Sintra and a June U.S. jobs report that showed fewer hires than expected have not resolved uncertainty over the Fed's next policy move. Barclays analysts say their central view is for an extended hold on rates, conditional on inflation, activity, and labor market trends …
A poll of 39 foreign exchange analysts conducted June 26 to July 1 finds the Canadian dollar is now expected to strengthen less versus the U.S. dollar over the next year than was projected a month earlier, as uncertainty around revisions to the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and soft domestic growth reduce the likelihood of Bank of Canada rat…
Barclays expects the European Central Bank to deliver a second interest-rate increase this year at its September meeting. The bank's strategists note that while headline inflation in the euro area has eased and oil prices have retreated, signs of cost-push pressures in selling price expectations leave scope for further tightening.
Barclays estimates Britain will still need to identify about £4.7 billion in the 2026 budget to fully pay for recently announced increases in defence spending. The bank finds that planned cuts to capital budgets across government departments cover roughly £11.3 billion of a pledged £15 billion rise over the next four fiscal years, leaving a residua…
As the U.S. market opens the second half of 2026, investors are parsing minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting and early earnings reports from Delta Air Lines and PepsiCo to assess whether the stock rally, driven largely by technology and semiconductors, can broaden. Recent weakness among big tech names has introduced uncertainty, while …
President Javier Milei has proposed legislation to recognize companies that rely centrally on artificial intelligence, an initiative that has drawn both enthusiasm and critique. While the bill would mark Argentina as one of the first jurisdictions to formally create an "automated company" category, the draft still requires human administrators to o…
In the week ending July 1, global equity funds saw increased net inflows as investors added technology stocks following a market pullback. Technology funds recovered strongly, while global bond and money market vehicles continued to draw substantial capital. Emerging market equities and precious metals recorded outflows.
Photos published by Iranian state media show Gen. Ahmad Vahidi attending funeral preparations for the slain former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and sitting beside what is believed to be the casket. Vahidi's return is notable given his reported role in shaping Iran's hardline negotiating posture and his reported ties to the new Supreme Lead…
With headline economic releases sparse and major central bank votes not on the docket, markets will instead focus on the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes - the first under new chair Kevin Warsh - a consequential NATO summit in Turkey, and continued volatility in oil markets. Corporate earnings from major U.S. companies will provide early sign…
