Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
Bank of America Global Research cautions that ongoing oil-price volatility, driven by shipping disruptions and geopolitical tensions, risks embedding itself into core inflation after five years of inflation running above targets. The report argues that downward-rigid prices in broader goods and services mean supply-driven energy shocks may no longe…
BCA Research expects China’s economic momentum to deteriorate over the next six to nine months as weak borrowing demand, an ongoing property downturn and moderating export support blunt the effects of accelerated fiscal outlays. Policymakers are likely to push measures already authorised rather than introduce a wide-ranging stimulus at the late-Jul…
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation has agreed to a $16 billion lease and leaseback deal for its crude oil pipeline network with Blackstone, KKR and Brookfield. The pact, dubbed Project Peregrine, will create a joint venture for 20.5 years in which the three investors hold 49% and Kuwait Oil Company retains a 51% controlling stake. The transaction is expe…
Andy Burnham has appointed John Healey as Chancellor of the Exchequer. Citi analysts judge the move broadly positive for markets, but the incoming government faces limited fiscal headroom and competing demands from defence and domestic commitments. Key questions for investors will be whether Healey can reconcile tougher fiscal signals with funding …
President Donald Trump said talks with Tehran are ongoing and suggested a planned "massive" strike may not be necessary as Iran shows greater seriousness in negotiations. At the same time, he kept U.S. forces "locked and loaded." Tehran rejected U.S. pressure while diplomatic exchanges with Russia and China took place. Military incidents at sea and…
Liberty Justice Center brought a lawsuit Friday in the Court of International Trade contesting President Trump's recently announced tariffs of 10% to 12.5% on several major trading partners. The group says the duties exceed the authority granted under the Trade Act of 1974 and represent an effort to restore a broader tariff policy previously struck…
Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said the United States will lift the 35% tariffs on Serbian goods, cutting the rate to zero effective Friday evening. The tariffs, imposed last year, hit mainly small and medium-sized firms across several sectors. Vucic also indicated the rate could later be set between 10% and 12%, and said the change should help…
Two American small businesses have filed suit in the U.S. trade court in New York challenging President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs on goods from 60 trading partners. The plaintiffs argue the tariffs exceed the president’s legal authority, contend that the policy lacks required country-specific findings on forced labor, and say the action attempt…
European government bond yields fell on Friday following a session where they reached multi-year highs, as oil prices eased back from the $100-per-barrel threshold. Germany's 10-year yield dropped modestly, while markets weighed the inflationary implications of recent energy-driven price swings and fresh U.S. tariffs.
European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane described the recent inflation overshoot as medium-sized and said the ECB will steer price growth from about 3% back to 2% over roughly the next year, while monitoring energy costs for potential second-round price or wage effects. The institution left rates unchanged on Thursday but signalled furthe…
European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane said the ECB will guide inflation from its current reading of roughly 3% back to the 2% target over the course of about a year. Lane made the remarks during a podium discussion in Donegal, Ireland, and emphasized that achieving the 2% target is the ECB's primary responsibility. Economists expect inf…
Escalation of conflict in the Middle East pushed oil toward $100 a barrel and sent U.S. Treasury yields higher, prompting investors to reassess whether the rise in rates and commodity costs could erode the stock market's gains. While equities have so far absorbed the shock, analysts warn that further moves in yields or oil could undermine valuation…
Sales of newly built U.S. single-family homes rose 1.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 628,000 units, snapping a two-month decline. Elevated mortgage rates, a cooling median price and broader inflation pressures tied to recent geopolitical developments continue to constrain demand and keep potential buyers sidelined.
New single-family home sales in the United States increased 1.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 628,000 units after two months of declines, according to the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau. Despite the monthly gain, sales were down 5.6% from June a year earlier and the median new home price fell 2.7% year over year to $398,300.…
The Bank of Russia cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 14% even as inflation accelerated following Ukrainian drone attacks on oil refineries and an e-commerce warehouse. The central bank also pared its growth projection for the year to a range between zero and 1% and lifted its 2026 inflation forecast to 6-7%, citing a notable rise in fuel…
The Bank of Japan is widely expected to hold its policy rate at 1% at the July 30-31 meeting after raising borrowing costs by 25 basis points in June. Forecasters anticipate an upward revision to fiscal 2026 GDP growth, a slight downward tweak to core inflation forecasts because of energy subsidies, and continued anchoring of long-term price expect…
A July 21-24 poll of 70 economists finds unanimous expectation that the Bank of England will keep its policy rate at 3.75% on Thursday and likely maintain it through much of 2026 as inflation remains above target. A temporary dip in June inflation to 2.6% followed a brief easing of conflict in the Gulf and lower fuel prices, but renewed hostilities…
A sharp repricing in U.S. Treasury markets has driven two-, 10- and 30-year yields to their highest levels in years. Market reactions to rising oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty around Iran, and solid U.S. economic data are combining with Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's decision to reduce forward guidance, producing rapid shifts in expect…
Anduril is discussing a new financing round that could peg its valuation at roughly $100 billion, placing the California-based defense technology company in the vicinity of large defense contractors. The talks include proposals for a two-step funding arrangement tied to performance benchmarks; Anduril says no decisions have been made.
Brent crude climbed above $100 a barrel after Iran-backed Houthi rebels struck Saudi vessels in the Red Sea, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to about 4.7% - its highest level since January 2025 - amid concerns that higher energy prices will keep inflation elevated. Market participants are weighing strained global oil inventories, damaged…
U.S. equity markets enter a testing week with a Federal Reserve policy meeting and a heavy slate of corporate earnings, led by technology firms heavily invested in artificial intelligence. Recent sharp declines in Alphabet and Tesla following earnings have soured market sentiment, while rising oil prices and elevated Treasury yields raise questions…
The Bank of England's Decision Maker Panel for the three months to July indicates firms expect lower price and wage increases over the next 12 months compared with June. Price growth expectations eased to 3.9% from 4.1%, while year-ahead wage growth expectations fell to 3.4%. The survey notes a temporary fall in energy prices following a ceasefire …
A European Central Bank quarterly exchange with 76 large non-financial companies operating in the euro area found that many firms are unable to transfer recent fuel-cost increases to end consumers. While input prices and transport costs have risen - notably petrochemicals by 20-30% - consumer-facing businesses report little adjustment to retail pri…
A European Central Bank survey found that euro area inflation expectations have been largely stable over the past three months, with price growth expected to fall sharply next year and to reach the ECB's 2% target in 2028. The survey kept this year's inflation projection at 2.7%, raised the 2027 forecast to 2.2% and trimmed economic growth estimate…
Renewed Gulf hostilities have driven Brent crude back to $100 a barrel, pushed European gas and government bond yields higher, and reignited concerns about stagflation - the coexistence of elevated inflation and sluggish growth. Trade frictions, including fresh U.S. tariffs on goods from 60 trading partners, add to the uncertainty facing households…
