Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,075 total articles

Fitch Keeps Alberta at AA, Cites Oil Windfall and Strong Cash Buffers

Fitch Keeps Alberta at AA, Cites Oil Windfall and Strong Cash Buffers

Fitch Ratings confirmed the Province of Alberta's Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings at AA with a Stable Outlook and upheld related bond and short-term ratings. The decision reflects a combination of a high-midrange risk profile, an aa financial profile, and a one-notch uplift tied to expected temporary federal support. Fit…

Fuel-driven gap in inflation outlook widens between income groups

Fuel-driven gap in inflation outlook widens between income groups

The University of Michigan's latest consumer survey, released Friday, shows overall sentiment at a record low while five-year inflation expectations have risen. The data reveal a widening split in expectations by income: lower- and middle-income households report substantially higher inflation concerns as gasoline prices weigh more heavily on their…

Lula Edges Ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro in Latest Datafolha Survey

Lula Edges Ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro in Latest Datafolha Survey

A Datafolha survey released Friday indicates President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has pulled ahead of opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in head-to-head polling for this year's presidential contest, reversing a tie recorded in mid-May. The poll also shows Lula leading a separate runoff against Michelle Bolsonaro and maintaining a lead in first-roun…

Kevin Warsh Takes the Helm at the Federal Reserve in White House Ceremony

Kevin Warsh Takes the Helm at the Federal Reserve in White House Ceremony

Kevin Warsh was officially sworn in as chair of the Federal Reserve in a ceremony led by President Donald Trump. He assumes the role as U.S. inflation is feeling pressure from rising oil and gasoline prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict, and as market participants push up expectations for rate hikes. President Trump publicly said he want…

Argentina in talks with international banks to push repo maturities beyond 2027

Argentina in talks with international banks to push repo maturities beyond 2027

Argentine officials are negotiating with major global banks to extend the maturities of repurchase agreements signed since 2025, aiming to consolidate multiple repo loans into a single instrument worth at least $5 billion with a 2028-or-later maturity. Bank sources say the transaction could be completed within a month but remains unfinished and wit…

EU industry chief urges firms to cut China exposure, warns businesses are lagging

EU industry chief urges firms to cut China exposure, warns businesses are lagging

European Commission industry official Stephane Sejourne criticized European businesses for not doing enough to reduce their reliance on China, urging quicker diversification of supply chains. Commission leaders and national officials say firms are underestimating geopolitical and supply-chain risks despite new economic security guidance and ongoing…

Fed Governor Waller Rejects Near-Term Rate Cut Talk, Flags Inflation Expectations

Fed Governor Waller Rejects Near-Term Rate Cut Talk, Flags Inflation Expectations

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday that talking about monetary policy easing in the near term is inappropriate given inflation remaining above the Fed's target and a stabilizing labor market. He emphasized the importance of monitoring inflation expectations over different horizons, prefers market-based gauges for those expec…

Waller Urges Fed to Remove 'Easing Bias' as Inflation Broadens

Waller Urges Fed to Remove 'Easing Bias' as Inflation Broadens

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller told an economic forum in Frankfurt that the central bank should strip language signaling an easing bias from its policy statement, arguing that doing so would clarify that rate cuts are no more likely than increases. He said the central bank should keep the policy rate in place until inflation decisively…

CMA CGM to Run Dry Ports in Adra and Aleppo Under New Syrian Agreement

CMA CGM to Run Dry Ports in Adra and Aleppo Under New Syrian Agreement

Syria's General Authority for Borders and Customs has signed an agreement with French shipping group CMA CGM to manage and operate two dry ports in the free zones of Adra and Aleppo, a move announced by state media. The arrangement coincides with the launch of a trial freight train connecting Latakia port to Adra following a 14-year halt, and follo…

Mexico GDP Contracts 0.6% in Q1 as Manufacturing, Agriculture and Services Weaken

Mexico GDP Contracts 0.6% in Q1 as Manufacturing, Agriculture and Services Weaken

Mexico’s economy shrank 0.6% in the first quarter versus the previous three months, according to final data from the national statistics institute. The outcome was less severe than an earlier preliminary reading and economist median forecasts. Year-on-year GDP rose 0.2%, but activity was pulled down by declines in agriculture, manufacturing and ser…

Portugal's Budget Balance Jeopardized as Winter Storms Cost State €2 Billion

Portugal's Budget Balance Jeopardized as Winter Storms Cost State €2 Billion

Portugal faces a steep fiscal challenge after severe January and February storms inflicted an estimated €2 billion blow to public finances, roughly 0.6% of GDP, the Economy Minister said. The government had recently signaled an intention to deliver a balanced budget, but the minister acknowledged that the storm costs have made that target extremely…

Canadian Retail Sales Rise 0.9% in March as Fuel Spending Surges

Canadian Retail Sales Rise 0.9% in March as Fuel Spending Surges

Canada's retail sales climbed 0.9% to $72.7 billion in March, led by a sharp increase at gasoline stations and fuel vendors. Excluding fuel and motor vehicles, core retail activity edged down, and provincial results varied with Ontario and Alberta posting gains while Quebec declined. Retail volumes rose in the first quarter even as March volumes fe…

Setting Expectations for a Warsh Fed: His Own Words as a Guide

Setting Expectations for a Warsh Fed: His Own Words as a Guide

In testimony delivered during his nomination process, Kevin Warsh laid out a clear view of monetary policy rooted in the idea that inflation is a policy choice. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s post-crisis balance sheet expansion, rejected forward guidance as a practice, and argued for a more robust and rapid correction when policy errors occur.…

Investors Pause Eight-Week Equity Buying Spree as Long-Term Yields Spike

Investors Pause Eight-Week Equity Buying Spree as Long-Term Yields Spike

Global equity funds experienced their first weekly net outflow in nine weeks during the period ending May 20, as investors reacted to higher long-term borrowing costs and renewed inflation worries tied to uncertainty over the Middle East. Data covering 28,926 funds show money rotated into bond funds and gold, while flows varied across regions and s…