Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,070 total articles

UAE warns expanded U.S.-Iran military clash would intensify regional tensions

UAE warns expanded U.S.-Iran military clash would intensify regional tensions

The United Arab Emirates cautions that any further military engagement between the United States and Iran would complicate an already fragile regional environment. Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE president, told reporters the potential for Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz would set a dangerous precedent with broad implications f…

Stocks Face a Test as Earnings Season Winds Down and Yields Climb

Stocks Face a Test as Earnings Season Winds Down and Yields Climb

U.S. equities that rallied on an unusually strong earnings season may encounter renewed volatility as the reporting window closes and attention shifts back to macro risks. Persistent inflation worries, a jump in long-term Treasury yields and energy price spikes tied to conflict concerns are elevating the chance that interest rates expectations coul…

BofA Predicts RBNZ Will Pause on May 27 as Inflation Risks Rise

BofA Predicts RBNZ Will Pause on May 27 as Inflation Risks Rise

Bank of America expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to keep the official cash rate at 2.25% at its May 27 meeting, while revising the near-term OCR track upward to reflect upside inflation risks. The bank forecasts a terminal rate around 3.2%, notably below current market hawkishness, and says the RBNZ is likely to discuss pre-emptive tightenin…

Pakistan Seeks Breakthrough in U.S.-Iran Negotiations as Oil Markets React

Pakistan Seeks Breakthrough in U.S.-Iran Negotiations as Oil Markets React

Pakistan’s interior minister met with Iran’s foreign minister as Islamabad relayed the latest U.S. message and pressed to bridge remaining gaps in talks aimed at ending a two-month-old war. Officials on both sides described some progress, but disputes over enriched uranium and the status of the Strait of Hormuz have complicated prospects. Oil price…

EU Faces Stagflationary Pressures from Energy Shock, Ministers Urge Fiscal Caution

EU Faces Stagflationary Pressures from Energy Shock, Ministers Urge Fiscal Caution

European finance ministers warn the bloc is experiencing stagflationary dynamics driven by a surge in energy prices tied to the Iran war. The European Commission forecasts slower growth and rising inflation for the euro zone, and ministers urged governments to limit support to targeted, temporary measures to protect vulnerable households without tr…

Markets on Edge as War, Inflation and AI Rework the Outlook

Markets on Edge as War, Inflation and AI Rework the Outlook

Global financial markets are being driven by geopolitical developments as the Iran war nears the end of its third month without resolution. Central banks from Israel to South Africa prepare for policy meetings, while inflation readings place extra scrutiny on U.S. and Japanese policymakers. At the same time, the growing role of artificial intellige…

Cost pressures erode Starmer’s early mandate as household unease mounts

Cost pressures erode Starmer’s early mandate as household unease mounts

Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces mounting public dissatisfaction as the cost of living remains a central concern for households. Despite a large parliamentary majority won in 2024, Labour’s popularity has slumped and economic sentiment has deteriorated amid persistent inflation, higher interest rates and recent energy-driven price pressures. Gover…

UK April borrowing rises to £24.3bn, topping economists' forecasts

UK April borrowing rises to £24.3bn, topping economists' forecasts

Britain recorded a £24.3 billion public sector deficit in April, the second-highest April borrowing on record and larger than economists had expected. Official figures show the month marked the start of the financial year with borrowing above a poll-based forecast. Fiscal forecasters had projected a reduction in borrowing by 2026/27, but recent geo…

Japan Signals Caution on Debt Levels for Proposed Supplementary Budget

Japan Signals Caution on Debt Levels for Proposed Supplementary Budget

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama indicated on Friday that the government intends to prioritize fiscal restraint by avoiding an excessive dependence on new debt if a supplementary budget is implemented. This stance comes following instructions from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who recently directed her cabinet to evaluate the necessity o…

Japanese Core Inflation Hits Four-Year Low Amid Subsidy Effects

Japanese Core Inflation Hits Four-Year Low Amid Subsidy Effects

Japan's core consumer price index (CPI) experienced a notable deceleration in April, recording a 1.4% year-on-year increase. This figure represents the slowest annual growth rate for the metric since March 2022. The slowdown was driven significantly by the impact of government subsidies related to school tuition. This performance fell below the med…

UAW Demands Stricter Labor Provisions in Upcoming USMCA Negotiations

UAW Demands Stricter Labor Provisions in Upcoming USMCA Negotiations

United Auto Workers (UAW) leadership has issued a formal call for more rigorous labor regulations and manufacturing requirements within the framework of upcoming North American trade negotiations. As the United States prepares to engage in discussions with Mexico and Canada regarding the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the union is pushing fo…

Kevin Warsh Set for Federal Reserve Chairmanship Swearing-In This Friday

Kevin Warsh Set for Federal Reserve Chairmanship Swearing-In This Friday

President Donald Trump is scheduled to officially swear in Kevin Warsh as the new chair of the Federal Reserve this coming Friday at the White House. The announcement, made by the Trump administration on Thursday, marks a significant transition for the nation's central bank. Warsh, who is 56 years old, received confirmation for the position followi…

GOP Senators Walk Away from ICE Funding Vote Over Trump-Backed Additions

GOP Senators Walk Away from ICE Funding Vote Over Trump-Backed Additions

Senate Republicans abruptly halted a scheduled vote on an ICE funding bill after objections to President Donald Trump’s requests for a $1.8 billion fund for victims of government "weaponization" and $1 billion for a White House ballroom. The dispute delayed a broader $72 billion package to finance an expanded migrant deportation program, with leade…