Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
The Bank for International Settlements highlights risks to the sustainability of massive AI-related capital spending even as investors and some large tech backers treat the buildout as durable. Soaring chipmaker performance and outsized capex forecasts from hyperscalers have lifted earnings expectations, but the BIS warns of supply constraints, ove…
A survey by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) of 90 public investors overseeing about $10 trillion found that, for the first time, a larger share of central banks plan to reduce dollar allocations than increase them over the next decade. Respondents signalled growing interest in diversification - notably in gold, certai…
Global markets opened the new quarter with buying activity as traders positioned ahead of next-day settlement. Oil has returned to pre-conflict levels despite the largest recorded supply shock, while bond markets remain calm and continue to price modest U.S. rate rises tied to strong growth. AI-driven rallies have powered steep gains in Asian equit…
A faster-than-expected retreat in oil prices over the past week has reduced near-term pressure on European Central Bank policymakers to follow up June's rate increase with another hike in July. Four sources with direct knowledge of ECB discussions said the speed of the decline, combined with higher-than-anticipated supply from some producers and so…
The U.S. Department of Education is finalizing a major shift in federal student loan policy, mandating that higher education institutions demonstrate measurable earnings growth for their graduates to retain access to the Direct Loan program. This change marks a significant escalation in the Trump administration's efforts to hold colleges accountabl…
Asian stock markets are concluding a record-breaking second quarter characterized by exceptional equity performance and significant currency fluctuations. While major benchmarks in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan have surged, a strengthening U.S. dollar has pressured the yen to a four-decade low and dragged gold prices lower. Despite the robust rall…
The Reserve Bank of Australia indicated a willingness to implement additional interest rate increases to combat ongoing inflationary pressures, according to the minutes from its June policy meeting. Despite holding rates at 4.35% during the meeting, the central bank emphasized that it remains prepared to take further action if necessary to ensure s…
China’s manufacturing sector expanded for the first time in several months in June, lifted by robust demand for AI-related hardware and semiconductor equipment. Despite this improvement, domestic consumption remains subdued and the property market continues to weigh on overall economic momentum. The divergence between strong exports in advanced ele…
The Japanese yen has plunged to a 40-year low against the U.S. dollar, reaching 162.27 in early trading, sparking intense speculation about imminent foreign exchange intervention by Tokyo. This decline marks the second consecutive quarter of significant depreciation for the yen and extends a broader downward trend that began in 2022. While Japanese…
U.S. President Donald Trump issued a stern directive on Monday evening calling for immediate reductions in gasoline prices at the pump. With crude oil rates declining following a preliminary peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, the President warned retailers against price gouging and outlined specific price targets. The demand for lower fuel …
A recent survey indicates that global financial institutions are increasingly prioritizing South Korea for expansion while adopting a more cautious stance toward China and India. This shift reflects a broader trend of firms scaling businesses and broadening product offerings in a more select group of markets across the Asia-Pacific region.
British retail inflation held steady in June as seasonal demand and favorable agricultural conditions significantly reduced food price growth, according to the latest survey from the British Retail Consortium. While overall shop price increases remained flat year-over-year, the cooling in food costs highlights the impact of weather-driven supply dy…
A bipartisan coalition of Democratic-led states has initiated legal action to halt the enforcement of federal work requirements for Medicaid recipients. The lawsuit contends that the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has improperly narrowed statutory exemptions, potentially forcing medically frail individuals to navigate complex admini…
The U.S. Supreme Court has concluded a highly consequential term, delivering rulings that redefine the boundaries of presidential authority, civil rights, and federal regulatory power. Key decisions include limiting President Trump's power to dismiss Federal Reserve officials, upholding state control over mail-in ballots, and curbing the reach of f…
U.S. equity markets posted significant gains on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching a new all-time closing high. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite also advanced, snapping a five-day losing streak. The rally was primarily driven by signs of de-escalation in the Middle East, following a U.S.-Iran truce that halted recent militar…
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the euro zone has built greater resilience to economic shocks, which has made it easier for the bank to raise interest rates without provoking financial stress. Speaking at the ECB forum on Central Banking, Lagarde warned the currency bloc will likely face more inflation shocks in coming years …
Speaking in Sintra, Christine Lagarde said the euro area has bolstered its capacity to absorb economic shocks, which reduces the risk that rate hikes will trigger financial stress. The ECB's expanded toolkit, better cross-border banking frameworks and improved data and forecasting allow policymakers to distinguish between transitory price swings an…
Mexico's central bank on June 29, 2026 published rules enabling it to buy certain local government securities to support money-market liquidity. The move is explicitly framed as a contingency backstop rather than broad stimulus, arriving after recent rating actions by Moody's and an S&P outlook downgrade. Market responses included a rise in the iSh…
Economists warn that upcoming methodology revisions by the Bureau of Economic Analysis to how certain services and software prices are calculated could reduce the headline year-over-year reading for May's core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index. The BEA will implement the changes with its annual GDP revisions on September 30, and the rev…
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will change how it measures prices for certain services, a move economists say is likely to reduce the May reading of core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation. The updates, covering portfolio management and investment advice, legal services, and computer software and accessories, will be incorporat…
Serbia will roll out a benefits package worth roughly €600 million that will reach over 3 million people, including one-time cash payments totaling €377 million to 1.66 million pensioners. President Aleksandar Vucic said the measures target lower-income pensioners with payments in dollar-equivalent bands and that the spending will not require new b…
A U.S. federal judge issued a preliminary injunction preventing an Indiana law from taking effect that would have forced proxy advisory firms to produce written financial analyses when their recommendations diverge from company management. The ruling marks the third recent federal setback for state-level measures aimed at curbing the influence of I…
European and Chinese trade officials agreed to a timetable aiming for tangible progress by October on a range of trade frictions, including a rising EU trade deficit with China, export controls and intellectual property concerns. The two sides will establish a joint mechanism to monitor sudden surges in trade flows, while officials acknowledged the…
The Brazilian government unveiled a debt renegotiation initiative for borrowers who are up to date on payments or only lightly overdue. The plan allows replacement of higher-cost credit with cheaper loans, using federal guarantees for refinanced amounts up to 15,000 reais per lender and interest capped at 1.99% per month. The move follows an earlie…
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that President Donald Trump may not immediately remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook while she challenges allegations that prompted his effort to dismiss her. The 5-4 decision found the administration did not provide required notice or an opportunity to respond; the court did not decide whether the underlying alleg…
