Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
China's manufacturing sector is expected to register a marginal expansion in June, driven primarily by robust demand for high-tech exports linked to the global artificial intelligence surge. However, the economy faces headwinds from sluggish domestic consumption, fading inventory stockpiling by overseas buyers, and upcoming trade policy shifts. Whi…
The Japanese government is preparing to formalize a long-term economic framework aimed at boosting annual real economic growth to exceed 1%. This target represents a significant shift from the recent average of 0.4%, supported by projected public and private investment reaching 370 trillion yen. The plan also emphasizes nominal growth above 3% and …
The U.S. dollar is advancing toward its strongest monthly performance in nearly a year, driven by geopolitical instability in the Gulf region and anticipation of key American labor data. This momentum is shaping investor expectations around Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and influencing currency valuations globally.
Asian stock markets exhibited mixed movements as diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran led to a cessation of recent hostilities, casting a temporary shadow over an interim peace agreement. Simultaneously, oil prices experienced an uptick due to lingering uncertainties, and the US dollar remained strong near a one-year peak. Addition…
Andy Burnham, the Labour lawmaker anticipated to succeed Keir Starmer as British prime minister, is set to present his governance agenda on Monday. His platform centres on decentralising authority from London to the regions, coupled with a decade-long initiative focused on reindustrialisation, housing development, infrastructure enhancement, and ut…
U.S. equity benchmarks closed a broadly positive first half of the year, but market focus has turned to this week’s payrolls report and its implications for near-term Federal Reserve policy. Volatility in technology and semiconductor stocks, a recent jump in inflation readings, and shifting rate-hike odds are combining to keep traders cautious ahea…
Bank of America has revised up its global growth outlook after a tentative improvement in Middle East tensions reduced energy market pressure. The bank trimmed its inflation projections but nonetheless expects the Federal Reserve to deliver 75 basis points of additional hikes this year beginning in September, citing resilient U.S. labor market dyna…
The Bank for International Settlements' Annual Economic Report warns that a confluence of pressures - elevated public debt, persistent financial vulnerabilities and uncertainties around the sustainability of the current AI-led investment surge - are amplifying global risks. The BIS cautions that renewed inflationary pressures, tighter fiscal positi…
Bank of America continues to recommend a long U.S. dollar stance into the third quarter, arguing that stronger U.S. growth, the prospect of additional Federal Reserve rate increases and sustained AI-driven investment will keep the greenback supported. The bank has lowered its EUR/USD forecasts and adjusted its view on the Japanese yen, now favoring…
A renewed proposal to sell UK retail bonds earmarked for defence spending is attracting attention as political leadership could change and policymakers seek new ways to fund the armed forces. Backers in parliament and the City say the bonds - potentially tax-favoured and government-backed - could raise at least A310 billion in year one and broaden …
Tencent Holdings is testing a mobile application, TenPayGo, aimed at enabling overseas visitors to make electronic payments and access travel-related services across China. The app bundles payment functionality with features for travel, dining, and shopping and is currently in limited internal testing. The trial coincides with a rebound in internat…
Google has limited Meta's access to its Gemini AI models after Meta sought more computing capacity than Google could supply, prompting Meta to push staff to use AI tokens more efficiently and delaying some internal AI initiatives. The capacity gap also affected other Google customers to a lesser degree, while Google Cloud reported $20 billion in fi…
The European Parliament approved its stance on the digital euro, a development UBS says keeps the project aligned with a potential public launch in 2029. The vote removes a significant legislative obstacle and sets the stage for inter-institutional talks this year. Under the current schedule, a formal ECB decision could arrive in late 2026 if legis…
Treasurer Jim Chalmers told Bloomberg that headline inflation in Australia is now expected to peak at about 4.25% mid-year, below the 5% projection in the federal budget. He attributed the improved outlook to lower oil prices and developments in Middle East peace talks, while warning that inflation remains above the government's preferred level and…
Germany's export-driven economic model is encountering significant headwinds from weakening global trade dynamics, rising protectionist measures, and intensifying competition from China. Economists project that the country's gross domestic product will expand by 1% or less this year, marking a continuation of a period of subdued growth that has per…
The long-held belief that global investors were systematically reducing exposure to U.S. assets due to currency debasement fears appears to be losing validity. Recent market data and economic indicators suggest a reversal in this trend, with the U.S. dollar strengthening against major global currencies. This shift is driven by a combination of ease…
The United States and Mexico have jointly inaugurated a new production facility in southern Mexico dedicated to manufacturing sterile flies designed to combat the reemergence of the New World screwworm. This parasite, which has infested cattle wounds and triggered thousands of cases in Mexico since 2024, recently made its first appearance in U.S. d…
The UK government has confirmed an investment exceeding £500 million to modernize its elite Commando Force, prioritizing the acquisition of high-speed watercraft, lethal strike drones, and expanded amphibious transport vessels. This strategic allocation is part of a broader effort to adapt to an increasingly complex global security landscape and st…
The World Bank has approved $1.1 billion in emergency financing for Bangladesh to help the country manage the economic fallout from higher food, fuel and fertilizer prices linked to the conflict in the Middle East. The package allocates $300 million for fertilizer imports ahead of rice planting seasons and $713 million for a mix of social support, …
European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel warned that, even with recent declines in oil prices following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, inflation risks remain biased to the upside. Speaking at the Petersberger Summer Dialogue in Germany, she emphasized that energy costs are likely to stay elevated as transit through the Strait of Hormu…
Bolivia announced it will abandon its 15-year fixed exchange-rate regime and adopt a flexible system, a policy change designed to address severe dollar scarcity, shore up external competitiveness and restore macroeconomic stability. The central bank will manage the transition after the government issued a decree citing the need to strengthen macroe…
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh enters a consequential week as the U.S. Supreme Court readies a potential decision on the legality of President Donald Trump’s attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, and Warsh prepares to appear at the European Central Bank’s annual forum in Sintra. A ruling that protects Cook from at-will removal would reduce p…
Ukraine announced an overnight strike on a military manufacturing site in Russia’s Volgograd region using domestically produced FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles. Kyiv identified the target as the Titan-Barrikady plant, which supplies artillery systems, missile launcher parts and other equipment to the Russian armed forces. Russian authorities confirme…
Andy Burnham has emerged as the frontrunner to replace Keir Starmer as leader of the UK Labour Party, with the leadership contest set to begin on July 9. He has not yet published a cabinet line-up or a detailed policy platform. Investors are monitoring his stance on the government's fiscal framework after reports he privately supports Chancellor Ra…
Deutsche Bank's ten-year assessment of the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union finds the economy about 4% smaller than it would have been, with employment down and consumer prices modestly higher. Using a synthetic control comparison, the bank traces much of the divergence to the post-pandemic period and the implementation of the …
