Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
A joint survey by Citi and YouGov found that British public expectations for future inflation eased in June. Long-run expectations fell to 3.9% from 4.0% in May, while expectations for the year ahead dropped to 3.8% from 4.7%. Citi economist Callum McLaren-Stewart said the decline reduces the risk of expectations becoming deanchored and noted the m…
Germany’s draft budget for 2027 has been completed after Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil and cabinet colleagues agreed on ministry allocations and measures to eliminate an initial €21 billion shortfall. The gap was closed in part by drawing on a €9.7 billion reserve, and the cabinet is scheduled to approve the government draft on July 6. Officials …
Polymarket reported to CNBC that its annualized revenue has exceeded $1 billion as trading activity reached record levels. The platform's international service registered all-time-high volumes driven by engagement with the FIFA World Cup, while the U.S. platform saw daily trading climb from roughly $50 million in mid-May to more than $200 million b…
Morgan Stanley reiterated its baseline call that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates through the end of the year, but cautioned that a drop in the unemployment rate below 4.0% or sustained higher inflation readings could force policymakers to consider additional rate hikes. Analyst Michael Gapen cited recent data, lower oil pri…
Marlene Amstad, president of Swiss market regulator FINMA and chair of an international supervisory technology forum, said regulators and banks must accelerate adoption of new technology to close gaps that AI is exposing in financial systems. FINMA has helped create a forum within the International Organization of Securities Commissions to promote …
A Reuters poll of economists taken June 23-25 shows a growing consensus that the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain its benchmark policy rate through the end of the year, even as financial markets price in two increases. With inflation running above 4%, solid economic growth and a resilient labor market, economists point to a split Fed and evolving…
U.S. equity markets are closing a strong first half of 2026, but investor attention has shifted to next week’s jobs report, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish posture on inflation, and outsized moves in semiconductor stocks. Economic data and corporate earnings will influence short-term rate expectations and market volatility as oil prices retreat amid …
Futures tied to the Nasdaq fell as semiconductor stocks cooled after a Micron-led surge the previous session. Renewed selling hit memory and AI-sensitive chip names, while megacap movements were mixed. Investors also tracked signals from inflation data, Fed commentary and prospective index reclassifications amid choppy trading.
Bank of America found that consumer spending in cities hosting FIFA World Cup 2026 matches increased 6.3% year-over-year during the tournament's group stage, driven largely by a 16.7% rise in in-person transactions from non-local visitors. The bank's analysis used aggregated credit and debit card data to track both transaction volumes and total spe…
Global equity fund inflows dropped sharply to a net $7.51 billion in the week to June 24, driven by investor caution over debt-financed technology spending and lingering interest rate concerns after higher-than-expected PCE inflation data. Bond funds continued to attract cash for a 12th straight week while money market withdrawals hit their largest…
A European Central Bank survey in May found consumers trimmed their one-year inflation expectations to 3.5% from 4.0% in April, while three- and five-year outlooks held at 2.9% and 2.4% respectively. The results suggest reduced short-term inflation pressure on the ECB even as markets price additional rate hikes and policymakers remain split on timi…
The first half of the year ends after a turbulent six months and market attention shifts toward central bank action and a slate of economic data. Key near-term catalysts include the U.S. June payrolls report, the European Central Bank’s Sintra gathering where the new Federal Reserve chair will appear, euro zone inflation data, Britain’s political t…
U.S. futures moved unevenly as investors digested weak technology sentiment and reports that OpenAI may push its IPO to 2027 while seeking a $1 trillion valuation. Concerns over rising component costs after Apple’s price increases added pressure. Meanwhile, SpaceX is reportedly exploring a Starlink-branded mobile phone service in the U.S., South Ko…
Goldman Sachs calculates that the United Kingdom’s economy is roughly 6% smaller than it would have been if the country had remained in the European Union, up from a 5% shortfall estimated two years ago. Using a synthetic 'Doppelgänger' comparator built from peer countries, the bank attributes the loss to weaker goods and services trade, stalled bu…
A government proposal to introduce a funded pension component and link retirement age to life expectancy aims to relieve long-term pressure on Germany’s pay-as-you-go system. While the measures could reduce future burdens on younger cohorts, analysts warn the transition will still leave those under 45 carrying a significant share of pension costs a…
Rising memory and storage costs tied to growth in AI data centres are forcing consumer electronics makers to pass through higher prices, a development highlighted by Apple’s decision to raise prices on iPads and MacBooks while keeping iPhone pricing intact. Micron’s strong results and $22 billion of customer supply commitments underline tightening …
The U.S. dollar has strengthened entering the second half of 2026, rising about 3% in the first half as investors bet on further Federal Reserve rate hikes and flock to American assets tied to the AI-led economic upswing. The move has pushed the dollar to multi-decade highs versus some currencies, encouraged record inflows into U.S. equities, and f…
The Japanese yen held steady near a 40-year low against the U.S. dollar on Friday, halting a sharp upward move in the greenback. Market participants recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes after U.S. inflation figures met forecasts and central bank officials offered conflicting views on future policy direction. While the dollar ind…
South Korea is initiating a historic transition to continuous, 24-hour currency trading starting July 6, prompting a massive operational overhaul for its banking sector. To secure coveted developed-market status and attract global capital, regulators are removing longstanding currency controls, including permits for offshore investors to hold won a…
Annual core inflation in Tokyo accelerated to 1.6% in June, maintaining a trajectory beneath the Bank of Japan’s target threshold. The data underscores mounting price pressures, largely attributed to elevated energy costs stemming from Middle East conflict. This metrics serve as critical inputs for the BOJ’s impending policy deliberations, where po…
Global markets experienced a day of modest reversals on Thursday, as the dollar's recent rally and a slump in oil prices paused for consolidation. Equity performance varied significantly by region and sector, with Asian and European markets posting gains while Wall Street faced headwinds from weakness in megacap technology stocks. Despite the turbu…
The White House is preparing to nominate Adam Candeub, currently general counsel at the Federal Communications Commission, to head the Justice Department's antitrust division. The move follows internal notifications to Justice Department staff and a recent meeting between Candeub and President Donald Trump. The nomination will require Senate confir…
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said inflation remains too high and moved back his projection for achieving the Fed's 2% inflation goal from 2027 to 2028. He expects inflation to ease to 3.5% this year, described monetary policy as "well positioned," and forecast U.S. growth of 2.25% with unemployment falling to 4% in 2028.…
Mexico's central bank left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.50%, a move that matched economists' expectations. The board voted unanimously, and the bank slightly lowered its inflation forecast for the second quarter of 2026 while maintaining its projection that inflation will reach the 3% target in the second quarter of 2027.
The Bank of Canada reported broad public support for retaining its 2% inflation target after consultations, while many participants said the consumer price index does not reflect the prices they encounter in daily life. That gap has eroded confidence in the CPI figure and in the central bank. Canada’s headline inflation climbed to 3.2% in May, driv…
