Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,192 total articles
Bolivia's economy minister said the government is days away from finalizing an IMF financing arrangement worth between $2.5 billion and $2.8 billion, with more than half of the funds expected by early September to shore up the central bank's foreign-exchange reserves. Authorities expect the IMF accord to pave the way for additional multilateral sup…
UK consumer price inflation eased to 2.6% year-on-year in June, down from 2.8% in May and slightly below consensus. Economists say the fall provides the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) extra time to assess policy, but caution that a pickup in energy and food prices could push inflation back above 3% toward the end of 2026.
PulteGroup reported a drop in second-quarter earnings as incentives to offset high mortgage rates and escalating costs reduced profitability. While new orders rose, completed home sales and average selling prices fell, driving lower home sale revenues and a decline in overall quarterly revenue that nonetheless beat street estimates.
The World Bank's chief economist cautioned that an intensification of conflict between the United States and Iran could propel global headline inflation toward 4.5%, drive policy rates higher and depress worldwide growth to as little as 1.3% in 2026. In a late-July interview, he said the bank's downside scenario - with fighting lasting six months o…
Over an 18-month span beginning in January 2025, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation disciplined eight employees after investigations found allegations of sexual harassment credible. Actions included four firings, two suspensions, and two resignations submitted before proposed dismissals. The moves follow a 2023 workplace misconduct scandal a…
President Donald Trump attended a dignified transfer at Dover Air Force Base for four U.S. service members who were returned in flag-draped transfer cases after being killed in Iranian attacks in the Middle East. The ceremony underscored the rising human and fiscal costs of the conflict - at least $37.5 billion to U.S. taxpayers and 18 U.S. militar…
Bank Indonesia maintained its benchmark interest rate at 5.75%, a move that matched the expectations of 13 out of 33 analysts surveyed. The decision follows a cumulative 100 basis points of tightening earlier this year and comes as the rupiah has been trading around 18,000 per dollar. Headline inflation in June stood at 3.3% year-over-year, inside …
Insiders say the Bank of Japan is closely monitoring upside inflation pressures that could force a quicker tightening cycle than markets expect. While the policy rate is likely to remain at 1% at the next meeting, officials warn that persistent pass-through of higher import costs and robust demand in certain sectors could make September and October…
South Africa's annual headline inflation climbed to 5.0% in June from 4.5% in May, above economists' expectations of 4.7%. The transport category - lifted by higher fuel prices linked to the Iran war - was the largest contributor to both monthly and annual CPI increases. Core inflation rose to 4.1%, exceeding forecasts. The data reinforces market e…
U.S. stock futures were modestly lower ahead of major technology earnings from Alphabet, Texas Instruments and Tesla, with investors weighing the durability of AI-driven capital expenditures. Semiconductor stocks have driven recent gains, while oil prices rallied to near six-week peaks after U.S. forces carried out additional strikes on Iranian tar…
China's finance ministry reported a 4.7% year-on-year increase in fiscal revenue for January-June 2026, driven by tax receipts, as fiscal spending rose modestly. At the same time, revenue from government land sales fell sharply, underscoring ongoing strain on local government finances amid a sluggish consumption backdrop.
Britain's annual consumer price inflation slowed to 2.6% in June from 2.8% in May, slightly below a Reuters poll median forecast. Easing pressure from a spike in energy costs linked to the Iran war and a ceasefire contributed to the decline. The Bank of England has signalled inflation could reach 3% in the third quarter, while investors expect the …
Asian equities led regional gains as chipmakers advanced on rising export demand, pushing MSCI's Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index higher. The surge coincides with fresh AI-related security concerns and elevated oil prices after threats in the Red Sea. Market participants are also watching major U.S. earnings and a softening yen that has strained Japan's…
Japanese finance officials said they stand ready to take decisive steps in currency markets as the yen slid to levels not seen in about 40 years. Officials stressed the government can act at any time if necessary, as the slide in the yen raises import bills and broader inflation. The currency’s decline has been attributed to a broad-based dollar ad…
The U.S. has warned that it will target bridges and power plants in Iran in retaliation if Tehran fires on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a move announced by the president on social media. Diplomacy remains active but has not yet halted hostilities, as the U.S. completed an 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iranian targets and Iran has…
House Republicans on Thursday approved a $95 billion budget resolution that would create a pathway for legislation funding military operations in Iran, intelligence and agriculture assistance, and a decade-long push to enact a federal voter ID regime. The measure, passed on a party-line vote in a House budget committee, is intended to be brought to…
Marex Solutions CEO Nilesh Jethwa cautioned that global markets may not be fully accounting for the potential consequences of a very strong El Nino. He told clients that attention in financial markets has been drawn to the Middle East conflict and technology sector valuations, limiting proper assessment of weather-driven disruption. Jethwa warned t…
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid warned that inflation remains widespread across goods and services and should not be assumed temporary. Speaking at an economics forum in Nebraska, Schmid said current inflation running at about twice the Fed's 2% target is troubling, noted recent oil-driven softness in data may be fleeting, and def…
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid said inflation remains elevated across many categories and is the central concern for monetary policy given a steady labor market. Speaking at an economics forum in Nebraska, Schmid warned against assuming recent inflationary bursts are temporary, noted the uncertain persistence of energy price reli…
A White House technical assistant who has operated President Trump's teleprompter since 2016 is in discussions with federal regulators over more than $100,000 in alleged gains on the prediction market Kalshi, according to reports. The staffer, Gabriel Perez, is accused of wagering on the very words he loaded into the teleprompter and exploiting pri…
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan publicly called for a modest rise in short-term interest rates, saying inflation remains too high and the outlook for a return to the Fed's 2% goal is uncertain. Speaking from Houston, Logan warned that current monetary policy appears insufficient to restrain the economy and highlighted risks from renewe…
German 10-year bond yields edged up to 3.135% on Thursday, the highest level since May 20, narrowing the spread with U.S. 10-year Treasuries to its tightest in a month. The uptick in euro zone yields this week coincided with intensified fighting in the Gulf and higher energy prices, even as cooler U.S. inflation data restrained movement in Treasury…
The Federal Reserve's internal watchdog found that the central bank's protections for proprietary economic information are insufficient, citing weaknesses in risk identification, insider controls, training and information sharing. The Office of Inspector General urged the Board to adopt nine recommendations to better define critical assets and eval…
Central Bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso said Nigeria's prolonged slowdown in inflation supports the case for eventual interest-rate reductions, but he warned that recent external shocks have unsettled that progress and prompted policymakers to take a cautious approach ahead of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on July 20-21.
Germany's chemical industry reported falling output and revenue in the first half of 2026 and faces a downgraded full-year outlook, with the VCI warning that recent inventory-driven relief linked to Middle East tensions will not reverse deeper structural problems such as high costs, falling sales and strong global competition.
