Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
The Bank of Japan has increased its short-term policy rate to 1.0%, marking the first hike since December and bringing monetary conditions to their tightest level in 31 years. The decision reflects the central bank's priority of managing inflationary risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. Governor Kazuo Ueda was absent due to med…
China's economic landscape in May revealed a stark divergence between robust industrial output and weakening domestic consumption. Retail sales fell by 0.6%, marking the first monthly decline since December 2022, while industrial production accelerated to a 4.5% year-on-year increase. This two-speed growth pattern highlights the ongoing challenges …
Asian equity markets advanced cautiously on Tuesday, tempering earlier enthusiasm following the announcement of a preliminary peace agreement between the United States and Iran. While diplomatic progress initially buoyed risk sentiment, the initial optimism has given way to a more measured approach as market participants shift their focus toward im…
The U.S. dollar traded near 10-day lows on Tuesday, supported by a tentative Middle East peace agreement that improved risk sentiment and pushed oil prices lower. However, currency gains were tempered as investors awaited key central bank announcements from Japan and Australia, which will provide insights into near-term inflation and interest rate …
The Bank of Japan is widely anticipated to finalize a monetary policy shift on Tuesday that will elevate its short-term interest rate to a 31-year high. This move represents a decisive break from the radical stimulus era and aligns the central bank with global peers fighting inflation. The decision will be driven by heightened price pressures from …
U.S. Treasury yields dropped to the lowest levels in a month following an announcement of a preliminary agreement to end hostilities between the U.S. and Iran. The 10-year yield fell to 4.4197% before settling slightly higher, while the two-year yield retreated to 4.031%. The Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen and oil prices fell sharply, reflecting…
A weekend agreement to end hostilities between the U.S. and Iran and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices down and lifted U.S. equities, raising the prospect that cyclical and consumer-exposed stocks, small caps and non-U.S. markets could catch up to tech-driven gains. Strategists caution that interest-rate expectations and the ongoing do…
California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that President Donald Trump directed the Department of Justice to open an investigation into him and his wife. Newsom said investigators have not found criminal activity but are searching for wrongdoing, and he described the move as politically motivated and tied to his potential presidential plans.
Euro zone sovereign yields fell on Monday after U.S. and Iranian officials said they reached a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The move pushed oil prices lower and eased immediate inflationary pressure, driving German 10-year and two-year yields to multi-week lows and prompting declines in bond markets glob…
Syrian state-owned telecom operator reported damage to an international undersea cable linking Tartous, Syria, to Alexandria, Egypt. The operator described the incident as sabotage near the coast of Tartous and said the outage affected internet service for a large number of subscribers across Syria. Restoring full service will require time, and the…
The International Monetary Fund says it remains on high alert for lingering economic fallout from the Middle East conflict even after a US-Iran interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted that energy supplies will need time to recover, that commodity prices and inflation expectations have…
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the world economy is managing the fallout from the Middle East war so far, despite higher commodity prices, rising inflation and tighter financial conditions. She welcomed a U.S.-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz but cautioned that an escalation or supply disruptions wo…
US homebuilder sentiment fell in June, with the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropping two points to 35. The index has remained below 40 for 14 months, the longest stretch since the 2011-2012 foreclosure crisis. Industry pressure reflects higher mortgage rates, rising building-material costs and ongoing affordability challenges; residential…
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz told reporters that a negotiated settlement between the United States and Iran has the potential to bring stability to the global economy, and that any such arrangement should also extend to Lebanon. Speaking ahead of a Group of Seven meeting in France, Merz said a diplomatic opening has emerged on the Ukraine war a…
A senior member of Poland’s central bank, Ludwik Kotecki, said the Monetary Policy Council is unlikely to alter its key interest rate until at least the end of the year and possibly into March of next year, despite an interim US-Iran deal that reduces some geopolitical threats to inflation and growth. The Bank left its policy rate at 3.75% in June …
Preliminary figures from the Reserve Bank of India show a $6.6 billion overall balance of payments deficit in April, reversing a $500 million surplus in the same month a year earlier. The central bank will shift from quarterly to monthly BoP releases with a delay of 45 days or less. A current account surplus was recorded in April, while the capital…
Canada's manufacturing sales advanced 4.2% to C$77.1 billion in April, driven by a strong rebound in petroleum and coal products and gains in food manufacturing. Sales rose in 17 of 21 subsectors, with petroleum and coal products and food products reaching record highs. Inventories rose modestly while the inventory-to-sales ratio fell and unfilled …
Wholesale sales in Canada, excluding petroleum products and oilseed, increased 0.6% to $89.3 billion in April 2026. Year-over-year sales were up 6.3%. Gains were concentrated in the building material and supplies subsector, driven by strong metal product and mineral sales, while machinery, equipment and supplies eased back. Inventories rose modestl…
Brazil's Finance Minister Dario Durigan said the government will press its strongest legal and diplomatic arguments against a U.S. proposal to impose a 25% tariff on a broad range of Brazilian imports, and expressed hope the measure will not be enacted. Durigan described potential direct engagement between Presidents Lula and Trump and confirmed co…
U.S. and Iranian officials announced a preliminary memorandum of understanding that they say will halt military operations and set the stage for talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions, and regional security. The agreement includes a 60-day ceasefire, a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz toll-free, and a proposed end to the U.S. naval blockade.…
A Reuters poll of 19 economists shows Sweden's central bank is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged when it announces its decision on Wednesday, but several economists anticipate the Riksbank will adopt an explicit tightening bias and raise the possibility of a rate hike later this year as inflationary pressures build.
Prediction market trading surged to a record $4.8 billion in daily volume on June 12 as the World Cup group stages got under way, after opening-day activity of $2.2 billion on June 11. The jump in volume followed the United States match against Paraguay and already surpasses last season's Super Bowl total of $1.4 billion. Polymarket's U.S. platform…
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party is focusing its internal discussions on removing the sales tax on food entirely rather than adopting a 1% rate. Party officials and lawmakers are debating how to implement a two-year suspension promised during the February general election, while concerns remain about retail systems, support for affected indu…
A sharp rise in problematic rural loans and the growing frequency of extreme weather have driven a marked increase in farm seizures and auctions across Brazil. Central bank figures, auction-aggregator data and industry officials point to weakened commodity prices, elevated interest rates, higher input costs and climate-related damage as converging …
Citi reiterated a path of four 25 basis point increases in the Bank of Korea's policy rate across July 2026, October 2026, January 2027 and April 2027, taking the terminal rate to 3.5%. The bank warned the balance of risks favors more rapid tightening, including consecutive hikes in the second half of 2026 and a potential terminal rate up to 4.0%. …
