Cryptocurrency July 3, 2026 01:37 AM

Bitcoin Climbs Above $61,000 as Softer U.S. Jobs Data and ETF Flows Ease Rate-Fear Pressure

Market sentiment steadies after labor data cools rate-hike expectations and spot Bitcoin ETFs return to net inflows

By Maya Rios
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Bitcoin traded above $61,000 and was positioned for a weekly gain after U.S. employment figures suggested cooling in the labor market, easing bets on an imminent Federal Reserve rate increase. Renewed demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) also helped stabilize prices following a prior stretch of withdrawals.

Bitcoin Climbs Above $61,000 as Softer U.S. Jobs Data and ETF Flows Ease Rate-Fear Pressure
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin rose above $61,000 and was trading 1.9% higher at $61,632.5 by 01:29 ET (05:29 GMT), recovering from a 21-month low under $58,000.
  • U.S. jobs data showed cooling in employment, reducing near-term odds of a Fed interest rate hike and supporting risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $221.7 million in net inflows on July 2, ending 10 consecutive sessions of withdrawals that had pressured prices; broader altcoins also climbed, with Ethereum at $1,707.89 and XRP at $1.09.

Bitcoin rose above $61,000 on Friday and was tracking toward a weekly advance after softer-than-expected U.S. labor market data reduced near-term fears of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Improved demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provided additional support for the largest cryptocurrency.

By 01:29 ET (05:29 GMT), Bitcoin last traded 1.9% higher at $61,632.5, extending a recovery from this week’s 21-month low beneath $58,000. The token had briefly surpassed $62,000 in the prior session and was on course for roughly a 3% gain over the week.

Market participants interpreted the latest U.S. payrolls data as evidence of cooling employment conditions, which in turn strengthened expectations that the Fed may hold off on raising interest rates in the immediate future. Lower short-term borrowing costs are typically conducive to risk-sensitive assets because they can ease liquidity constraints and reduce the discounting of growth-oriented assets.

At the same time, flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs shifted back into positive territory. Data from SoSoValue showed U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $221.7 million on July 2, snapping a run of 10 straight sessions of withdrawals that had placed downward pressure on prices.

That outflow episode contributed to Bitcoin losing more than 30% during the first half of 2026, marking its weakest six-month stretch in years amid waning institutional demand. The combination of reduced rate-hike risk and renewed ETF purchases appears to have steadied sentiment this week, though market participants remain attentive to incoming economic data.

"In the medium term, the biggest question is whether the run of data in the coming months proves strong enough to force the Fed’s hawkish bias into action, especially knowing that single rate hike cycles are extremely rare," an IG analyst said in a recent note.

Altcoins broadly participated in Friday’s rally. Ethereum, the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, rose about 5% to $1,707.89. Ripple’s XRP increased roughly 3.3% to $1.09. Solana gained 3.5%, while Cardano climbed 6%. Meme token Dogecoin added about 2.6%.

From a market-structure perspective, the interplay between macroeconomic data and ETF flow dynamics remains the proximate driver of near-term price direction. Softer employment readings reduce the immediate likelihood of additional Fed tightening, which typically benefits liquidity-sensitive assets, while ETF flows can either amplify or blunt price moves depending on their direction and magnitude.


Market snapshot

  • Bitcoin: $61,632.5, up 1.9% at 01:29 ET (05:29 GMT)
  • Weekly performance: on track for ~3% rise
  • Recent low: below $58,000 (21-month low earlier this week)
  • Spot ETF flows: $221.7 million net inflow on July 2 (SoSoValue)
  • First half 2026: Bitcoin lost more than 30%

As the market looks ahead, price action will likely remain sensitive to incoming U.S. macro prints and the pattern of institutional flows into or out of spot ETFs. Both elements have a material bearing on liquidity conditions and the valuation backdrop for cryptocurrencies.

Risks

  • If upcoming economic data proves sufficiently strong, it could prompt the Fed to reassert a hawkish stance and increase the likelihood of additional rate hikes, which would tighten liquidity and pressure risk-sensitive markets - impacting cryptocurrencies and broader financial markets.
  • Volatility in ETF flows remains a source of uncertainty; a reversal back to sustained withdrawals could reintroduce downward pressure on crypto prices and market liquidity - affecting institutional investors and crypto-focused funds.
  • Weakening institutional demand already contributed to Bitcoin losing over 30% in the first half of 2026, highlighting persistent downside risk tied to investor appetite and capital allocation decisions within financial institutions.

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