Commodities June 7, 2026 11:20 PM

Gold Falls to 11-Week Low as Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Oil Rally Heighten Fed Rate Concerns

Spot gold retreats as labor-market strength cements higher-for-longer Fed expectations while oil spikes on renewed Gulf hostilities

By Sofia Navarro
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Gold dropped to its lowest level since March 23 after U.S. jobs data reinforced expectations the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer. A simultaneous rebound in oil prices, driven by renewed hostilities in the Gulf, added inflation fears that further weighed on the non-yielding precious metal.

Gold Falls to 11-Week Low as Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Oil Rally Heighten Fed Rate Concerns
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Key Points

  • Strong U.S. jobs data (172,000 payrolls added in May; unemployment 4.3%) reinforced expectations of higher-for-longer Federal Reserve rates, pressuring gold and other non-yielding assets.
  • Spot gold hit an 11-week low, trading at $4,312.08 an ounce by 23:00 ET (03:00 GMT); U.S. August gold futures fell to $4,337.10/oz.
  • Oil prices surged after Iran launched several rounds of missiles toward Israel in response to an Israeli strike on the outskirts of Beirut, with Brent near $96 and U.S. crude above $93, adding inflation concerns and weighing on precious metals.

Gold prices extended losses in Asian trading on Monday, sliding to their weakest level in 11 weeks as firmer U.S. labour-market data supported assumptions that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates. At the same time, a rebound in oil prompted renewed inflation concerns, compounding pressure on bullion.

Spot gold was last down 0.4% at $4,312.08 an ounce by 23:00 ET (03:00 GMT), marking its lowest settlement since March 23. Meanwhile, U.S. Gold Futures for August delivery slipped 0.7% to $4,337.10 per ounce.

The metal suffered a steeper drop on Friday, when it fell more than 3% as investors re-evaluated the outlook for U.S. monetary policy following stronger-than-expected labor market figures. Data released on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 172,000 jobs in May, well above economists' forecasts, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.3%.

That report led traders to pare back expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. The shift boosted Treasury yields and strengthened the U.S. dollar, reducing demand for assets that do not pay interest such as gold.

"Despite the lack of consistent messaging in the labour market data, we now have a rate hike fully priced at the December FOMC meeting," ING analysts said in a recent note.

Adding to downward pressure on bullion, oil prices jumped after Iran launched several rounds of missiles toward Israel in response to an Israeli strike on the outskirts of Beirut, stoking concerns of a wider regional escalation and testing a fragile ceasefire. Brent crude climbed toward $96 a barrel, while U.S. crude traded above $93, intensifying worries that higher energy costs could complicate the global inflation outlook.

Although gold often draws safe-haven demand during episodes of geopolitical tension, the metal was facing stronger headwinds from a firmer dollar amid expectations of Fed policy tightening. The U.S. Dollar Index was largely flat in Asian trade on Monday after surging to a two-month high in the previous session.

Other precious metals were also under pressure. Silver declined 0.8% to $67.32 per ounce, and platinum eased 0.6% to $1,770.58 per ounce.


Market context and implications

With Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar rising on the back of robust labor market data, non-yielding assets like gold have been repriced lower as investors weigh the likelihood of a more prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy. Concurrently, an uptick in oil prompted by renewed hostilities in the Gulf has reintroduced upside risks to the inflation outlook, an additional headwind for bullion.

Risks

  • Persistently strong U.S. labour-market data could keep Treasury yields elevated and the U.S. dollar firm, further reducing demand for non-yielding assets such as gold - this primarily affects commodities and fixed-income markets.
  • Escalation of regional hostilities following missile exchanges could push oil prices higher, elevating inflation risks and complicating monetary policy decisions - impacting energy and broader inflation-sensitive sectors.
  • Reduced expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts may limit liquidity for riskier or non-yielding assets, potentially depressing precious metals and influencing investor allocations across commodities and currencies.

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