Stock Markets August 18, 2026 07:30 AM

Citi Lifts Bath & Body Works to Buy Ahead of Q2 Results, Cites Earnings Upside

Analysts point to a likely earnings beat, product strength and potential cost tailwinds as reasons for the upgrade

By Sofia Navarro
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Citi upgraded Bath & Body Works from Neutral to Buy ahead of the retailer's upcoming second-quarter report, forecasting an earnings-per-share beat and highlighting a depressed share price, recent product momentum and possible upside from lower energy costs and tariff refunds as drivers of a favorable risk/reward profile.

Citi Lifts Bath & Body Works to Buy Ahead of Q2 Results, Cites Earnings Upside
BBWI
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Key Points

  • Citi upgraded Bath & Body Works to Buy from Neutral ahead of Q2 results, citing an attractive risk/reward profile.
  • Citi models Q2 EPS of $0.26, above the $0.24 consensus and the company's guidance range of $0.20 to $0.25; the Fruit Fusion collection is expected to support momentum.
  • Full-year 2026 estimates were left unchanged, but Citi flagged upside from lower energy prices and potential tariff refunds; price target remains $25 and the stock trades at 5.1 times forecast 2026 EBITDA.

Citi has raised its rating on Bath & Body Works to Buy from Neutral ahead of the company’s second-quarter earnings release next week, citing a combination of factors the bank says create "a very attractive risk/reward" heading into the print.

In premarket trading on Tuesday, Bath & Body Works shares rose more than 2% on the upgrade.

The brokerage models second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $0.26 for the company, which is above the consensus analyst estimate of $0.24 and also higher than the company’s own guidance range of $0.20 to $0.25. Citi’s analysts highlighted the retailer’s recent Fruit Fusion product collection as a probable success, saying that the collection should bolster management’s confidence as it introduces additional new products and marketing initiatives into the second half of the year.

Citi said it is keeping its full-year 2026 estimates unchanged, but it flagged potential upside that could materialize from two cost-related sources. First, lower energy prices since the company last reiterated guidance in the first quarter could improve margins. Second, the firm noted the possibility of tariff refunds as another source of incremental upside. At the same time, Citi does not anticipate any revisions to Bath & Body Works’ second-half revenue outlook.

The bank maintained a price target of $25 for the retailer and observed that the stock is trading at 5.1 times its forecast 2026 EBITDA. Citi described the stock’s risk/reward as attractive both into the upcoming second-quarter results and over the next 12 months.


Market context and outlook

Citi’s upgrade reflects a view that a combination of an expected quarterly earnings beat, a depressed share valuation and potential cost recoveries could lead to near-term upside for the stock. The firm’s unchanged full-year estimates suggest it is not assuming material changes to the company’s operating plan for 2026, while the callouts for energy prices and tariff refunds indicate sources of possible incremental earnings improvement rather than confirmed gains.

Investors will be watching the upcoming quarterly report for confirmation of Citi’s forecast and for management commentary on product reception, marketing plans and any updates on cost-related items cited by the bank.

Risks

  • Earnings and guidance may fall short of Citi’s modeled EPS of $0.26, which would weigh on the near-term outlook for the stock - impacts equity markets and retail sector sentiment.
  • Any absence of material tariff refunds or sustained lower energy prices would limit the upside Citi identifies, affecting retailer margin dynamics and earnings power.
  • Management could maintain its second-half revenue outlook with no upside, leaving a gap between Citi’s bullish risk/reward view and actual company results - relevant for investors focused on retail earnings and valuation.

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