Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
Airbus on Tuesday published its 2026-2045 Global Market Forecast, projecting that annual passenger volumes will climb to roughly 10 billion by 2045. The plan anticipates 3.9% yearly passenger traffic growth, driven by global GDP expansion, urban population increases and a swelling middle class. Over the next two decades Airbus estimates a requireme…
Hungary reported a 424 billion forint budget surplus in June, the biggest monthly surplus since December 2010, while the cash-flow based deficit for January-June reached 3.38 trillion forint. The new government has taken measures including a spending freeze as it prepares a revised deficit target and a budget amendment ahead of next year’s planning…
The European Commission has called on the United States to abide by the terms of a joint EU-U.S. statement after President Donald Trump instructed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to sever trade ties with Spain. Trump made the directive during remarks in Ankara, criticizing Madrid’s role in NATO while expressing frustration with allies over support…
The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has directed carriers to avoid flying through the airspace of Iran, Iraq and Lebanon, citing elevated tensions and the risk of further military action following a new round of strikes between the U.S. and Iran. The advisory is in force until August 31 and replaces a prior cautionary notice covering s…
The Philippines' budget planning committee has established a GDP growth target range of 5.0% to 6.0% for 2027-2030. The committee flagged elevated inflation this year as a potential drag on household consumption and investment, set a stepped-down inflation path from 2026 through 2030, and outlined an exchange rate assumption and a multi-year defici…
The Federal Reserve’s minutes for the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be released Wednesday and could reveal more about the internal debate at the first policy session led by Chairman Kevin Warsh. Key uncertainties include whether Warsh will curtail the level of detail in the minutes after having removed forward guidance and t…
A wave of foreign investor selling has driven record turnover in India's five-year overnight index swap (OIS) market, as positions anticipating aggressive, front-loaded rate hikes are being reversed. The flurry of activity pushed five-year OIS notional volume to 253 billion rupees on Wednesday, and coincided with a drop in the five-year OIS rate an…
President Trump directed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to cut off all trade with Spain while standing beside NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte ahead of the Ankara summit, prompting a sharp drop in Spain's IBEX 35 index. The episode highlights widening transatlantic strains, fresh defence procurement commitments and diplomatic uncertainty ahead o…
Iranian military authorities announced strikes on U.S. military locations in Kuwait and Bahrain and said they had downed a U.S. MQ-9 drone, describing the actions as retaliation for recent American strikes on sites in southern Iran and the U.S. decision to revoke a sanctions waiver on Iranian oil. U.S. Central Command reported strikes on more than …
U.S. stock futures fell as fresh exchanges of strikes between the U.S. and Iran in the Persian Gulf raised doubts over a recently signed interim peace framework and the recovery of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The flare-up pushed Brent and WTI prices higher and lifted government bond yields. Investors are also awaiting minutes from …
A study by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) indicates that planned U.S. port fees targeting ships built in China could raise Germany's exports to the United States by roughly 2% versus a scenario without the fees. The projected gain stems from Germany's freight fleet relying less on China-built vessels than some competitors, enablin…
Marine Le Pen announced a fourth presidential campaign hours after a Paris appeals court reduced a five-year ban that had threatened her political future. The ruling upheld her conviction for embezzling European Parliament funds but allowed her to stand in the 2027 election provided she complies with restrictions tied to an electronic tag. Le Pen s…
Fresh tit-for-tat strikes between the U.S. and Iran have ruptured a fragile ceasefire, refocusing attention on the Strait of Hormuz and pushing Brent futures higher. While global equities mostly paused after an AI-driven rally, bond yields ticked up amid inflation worries. Traders will parse Federal Reserve minutes later in the day for policy clues…
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party is preparing proposals to tighten enforcement of shareholder disclosure rules targeting activist investors, including calls to bolster the Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission with additional staff and digital tools. The move follows a surge in activist activity in Japan and includes proposals to clari…
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has moved to increase its official cash rate (OCR) by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark rate to 2.50%. This decision, aligned with market forecasts, underscores the central bank's commitment to bringing inflation back to its 1% to 3% target range. Policymakers indicated that monetary stimulus may need to…
The U.S. dollar maintained its position near the highest levels of the week against major currencies on Wednesday morning, driven by renewed geopolitical friction following U.S. military actions against Iran. The escalation has heightened safe-haven demand for the dollar while simultaneously pushing oil prices upward amid concerns over supply stabi…
Oil prices surged and bond futures declined on Wednesday following U.S. military strikes on Iran and the reimposition of trade sanctions. The geopolitical escalation, prompted by attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, has introduced fresh volatility into global financial markets. While commodity prices reacted sharply, equity indices experienc…
Japanese asset management firms are aggressively expanding their bond fund offerings to capitalize on a surge in international demand for yen-denominated debt. Driven by the Bank of Japan's policy normalization and rising yields, domestic players like Mizuho and Nomura are restructuring their operations to attract overseas institutional investors. …
Global equity markets retreated on Tuesday, mirroring European declines, as a broad-based sell-off in semiconductor stocks weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Concurrently, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East propelled crude oil prices upward, with traders closely monitoring developments in the Strait of Hormuz. Amidst this volat…
The International Monetary Fund has appointed Silvana Tenreyro as its next chief economist, a strategic move to guide the institution through a period of intensified global economic turbulence. Tenreyro, who brings extensive academic and policy experience, will replace Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas on August 10. Her background in network economics, mon…
Aaron Szabo, the EPA's top official for air pollution, plans to leave his post as assistant administrator for the Office of Air and Radiation later this month. He informed staff on Tuesday, and the agency confirmed his upcoming departure. Szabo, who served in the role for about one year, led the agency through significant policy rollbacks including…
Oil futures climbed more than 3% midday on Tuesday after the United States revoked a general license that had permitted sales of Iranian crude. The decision followed recent strikes on three tankers in and near the Strait of Hormuz, an essential global energy transit lane, and comes amid ongoing but fragile negotiations between Washington and Tehran…
Marine Le Pen told broadcaster TF1 that she will stand in France's 2027 presidential election after an appeals court upheld her conviction for misusing EU funds but left her eligible to run. She said she will appeal the court ruling and asserted that voters will decide her fate, adding she will campaign "without electronic bracelet." This will be h…
The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects national electricity consumption will set a second straight record in 2025 and continue increasing in 2026 and 2027. Growth is tied to data centers supporting artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency activity, together with broader electrification. The EIA also forecasts changes in sectoral cons…
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that global crude production is projected to return to pre-war volumes by the end of 2026, with most production suspended by the conflict resuming by the first quarter of 2027. The EIA's forecast reflects a faster recovery than earlier expectations and includes revised Brent price estimates for 20…
