United Fire Group: Value Recovery Trade After Strong Q1 Results and Buyback Bolster
United Fire Group (UFCS) looks like a pragmatic value recovery. The stock trades at depressed multiples (P/E ~9.5, P/B ~1.3) while free cash flow and a beefed-up buyback program create a margin of safety. This trade targets a mid-term rebound into the mid-$50s, with a clear stop below recent support and thesis-driven catalysts.