Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,114 total articles
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said on April 17 that Kevin Warsh, the nominee for Federal Reserve chair, will arrive with policy intentions but ultimately must respond to economic surprises. Speaking at UC Berkeley’s Fisher Center for Real Estate & Urban Economics’ Spring 2026 Policy Advisory Board meeting, Daly emphasized that e…
European Central Bank supervisor Claudia Buch told a forum that the balance sheets of euro zone banks have not yet fully incorporated elevated geopolitical tensions. She said it may take two to three years for corporate stress to surface and for banks' loan books to show the effects. Buch also highlighted cyber threats as part of the geopolitical r…
Summary: The Republic of Congo has privately informed investors that it has formally requested a new financing arrangement from the International Monetary Fund, according to three sources. The country completed its prior IMF programme in March 2025, which provided about 324 million SDRs (roughly $430 million at the time) over three years. Governmen…
DeepSeek, until now funded solely by its parent High-Flyer Capital Management, has started conversations with outside investors to raise at least $300 million at a valuation of at least $10 billion, according to people familiar with the matter. The move follows previous decisions to decline funding offers from major Chinese venture firms and techno…
Ebanx, the Brazilian payments company that enables global merchants to accept local payment methods in emerging markets, said it is broadening its international reach with immediate launches in Thailand, Indonesia and Turkey and scheduled moves into Malaysia and Vietnam in the coming quarter. The company has shifted a larger share of gross profit o…
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stopped short of committing to a rate rise at the April policy meeting as uncertainty from the Iran war complicates the outlook, yet he signalled enough hawkishness during IMF-related talks to leave a hike in play for June if not April. Markets pared back bets for an April move, but many observers and market prices…
Iran's announcement that it would reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid a regional ceasefire and the resulting plunge in oil prices have prompted markets to price in the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve starting interest-rate cuts as early as December. Fed officials, however, confront unresolved questions about the economic impact of a seven-week…
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said risks to euro area inflation are skewed to the upside amid the Iran conflict, with uncertainty rising and officials gathering data on the pass-through from higher energy prices. The ECB is assessing whether policy action is required, but appears unlikely to move at this month’s meeting as it wa…
Global equities and government bonds rose sharply while oil and the dollar fell after Iran’s foreign minister declared that all commercial vessels may transit the Strait of Hormuz during the remainder of a ceasefire tied to Lebanon. Markets interpreted the statement as reducing a major supply-side risk, prompting a swift revaluation of commodity pr…
The Russell 2000 recorded its first intraday record high on Friday since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict, joining other major U.S. indexes at all-time highs. The gain follows a correction confirmed less than a month earlier and comes as oil prices fell after reports the Strait of Hormuz reopened, reducing near-term inflation concerns and imp…
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill said the central bank should prioritise returning inflation to its 2% target above other competing policy trade-offs. He argued that recent shocks stemming from the Middle East conflict and higher energy prices represent a real economic shock that monetary policy cannot absorb fully, and noted the need for a…
U.S. and Iranian negotiators are working on a concise agreement to end the conflict as it nears 50 days, centered on a U.S. proposal to release $20 billion in frozen Iranian assets in return for Iran relinquishing portions of its enriched uranium stockpile and agreeing to a voluntary halt on enrichment for a limited period.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer confirmed that the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office granted security clearance to Peter Mandelson last year despite objections from vetting officials. The disclosure, tied to Mandelson's appointment as ambassador to the United States, has prompted opposition demands for Starmer's resignation and renewed scrut…
A Goldman Sachs note published late Thursday reports that systematic hedge funds increased their equity exposure by $86 billion over the last five trading sessions. The buying - concentrated among trend-following CTAs - coincided with world stocks hovering near record levels and set markets up for a third consecutive week of gains as investors awai…
The European Union's trade surplus narrowed by 60% in February as exports to the United States sank 26.4% year-on-year, Eurostat data released Friday show. Overall EU exports fell 9.3% while imports declined 3.5%. The fall in U.S.-bound shipments follows earlier front-loading in anticipation of tariffs, and comes amid recent changes to U.S. tariff …
U.S. equity markets have recovered to fresh record levels as investors shift focus from conflict-related volatility to corporate earnings. A heavy slate of first-quarter results, led this week by Tesla and including Boeing, Intel and Procter & Gamble, will test whether profit growth can sustain the rally. Elevated oil prices and upcoming economic d…
Global equity funds logged a fourth consecutive week of net inflows in the week through April 15, receiving $31.26 billion as positive corporate results and hopes for a swift resolution to the Iran conflict supported risk appetite. Bond and commodity flows showed mixed signals, while money market funds registered the largest weekly outflow on recor…
U.S. equity futures were largely subdued as investors awaited potential renewed U.S.-Iran negotiations this weekend and monitored a fragile truce between Israel and Lebanon. The calm in the Middle East helped risk appetite but left traders focused on tech and energy-sensitive sectors. Oil prices slipped below $100 a barrel amid hopes for a longer-t…
Financial markets enter the week buoyed by hopes that the conflict in Iran may be nearing an end, yet investors will weigh that optimism against upcoming data showing softer business activity and higher input costs. A confirmation hearing for Kevin Warsh, picked by the U.S. president to lead the Federal Reserve, will test policy direction amid elev…
A Reuters poll of 16 economists points to a small rise in Japan's nationwide core consumer price index in March to 1.8% year-on-year, driven primarily by higher energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict. The rate would be up from February's 1.6% but would remain short of the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation goal for a second month. Officials and …
A Reuters survey of market participants shows China is expected to hold its one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.00% and 3.50% respectively, extending an 11-month pause. Strong first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% and the first positive reading in factory-gate prices in over three years have weakened the case for additional rate cuts, wh…
Deutsche Bank now expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged through 2026, pointing to oil-related inflationary pressures tied to the Middle East conflict, persistent economic growth and a still-tight labour market. The bank had previously forecast a 25-basis-point cut in September but says rate reductions would require soft…
A new wave of Indian apps is expanding low-cost, on-demand domestic help with services priced at about 99 rupees an hour. Startups including Pronto and Snabbit, and listed rival Urban Company, are training thousands of women and scaling bookings rapidly. The model offers pay that can exceed national per capita income levels for some workers but rai…
The International Monetary Fund's European Department head said on the sidelines of the IMF and World Bank spring meetings that IMF models point to the European Central Bank raising policy rates by about 50 basis points in 2026 to maintain a neutral monetary stance, with a potential easing in 2027. The recommendation is model-based and not a firm p…
Global markets took a cautious turn as traders priced in the prospect of weekend diplomacy between the U.S. and Iran, sending oil under $100 a barrel and easing some safe-haven flows. Despite the short-term relief, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed and the possibility of renewed fighting keeps downside risks alive. European equities opene…
