Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
In testimony delivered during his nomination process, Kevin Warsh laid out a clear view of monetary policy rooted in the idea that inflation is a policy choice. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s post-crisis balance sheet expansion, rejected forward guidance as a practice, and argued for a more robust and rapid correction when policy errors occur.…
Global equity funds experienced their first weekly net outflow in nine weeks during the period ending May 20, as investors reacted to higher long-term borrowing costs and renewed inflation worries tied to uncertainty over the Middle East. Data covering 28,926 funds show money rotated into bond funds and gold, while flows varied across regions and s…
The Reserve Bank of India’s board has authorized a transfer of 2.87 trillion rupees to the federal government for the fiscal year that ended in March. The amount matches the prior year's record transfer and falls short of the broader budget assumption for dividends from state-owned financial institutions and the central bank combined.
Germany plans to spend more than 4% of its gross domestic product on defense this year and is aiming toward a 5% ceiling. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul said Berlin will propose closer defense-industrial cooperation with Ukraine to accelerate production and called on European NATO partners and Canada to help fund Ukraine's needs. He also addresse…
Turkey's central bank reports that it is using active monetary-policy measures along with liquidity and reserve management to manage the effects of geopolitical risks on domestic financial markets. The report notes loan and deposit rates are tracking the bank's funding costs, that corporate and household indebtedness remains below long-run averages…
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told delegates ahead of a NATO gathering in Helsingborg, Sweden, that the alliance must provide tangible benefits to every member and have clearly articulated expectations. He said the meeting will help set the groundwork for a leaders summit in Ankara later this year, acknowledged limited progress on Iran, and w…
The European Union is reviewing a request from Italy to loosen fiscal rules to help cover rising energy-related costs triggered by the Iran war. EU economy chief Valdis Dombrovskis said options are being considered after euro-area finance ministers met in Nicosia, and officials stressed any support must be temporary and targeted.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda met with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to outline the central bank's policy approach and reaffirm coordination with the government. The pair discussed economic conditions, inflation trends, market movements and the Middle East conflict. Ueda said the meeting did not include a specific discussion of market expectati…
Morocco's year-on-year inflation accelerated to 1.7% in April from 0.9% in March. Non-food prices led gains while transport costs spiked amid higher fuel prices tied to conflict in the Middle East. The government will boost the 2026 budget by 20 billion dirhams to fund subsidies for public transport, cooking gas and electricity.
The United Arab Emirates cautions that any further military engagement between the United States and Iran would complicate an already fragile regional environment. Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE president, told reporters the potential for Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz would set a dangerous precedent with broad implications f…
Kevin Warsh will be sworn in as Federal Reserve chair at the White House on Friday amid mounting inflationary pressures, elevated long-term interest rates, and economic changes tied to artificial intelligence that Fed officials say will be difficult to gauge in real time. His early choices - including whether to signal policymakers' year-end intere…
U.S. equities that rallied on an unusually strong earnings season may encounter renewed volatility as the reporting window closes and attention shifts back to macro risks. Persistent inflation worries, a jump in long-term Treasury yields and energy price spikes tied to conflict concerns are elevating the chance that interest rates expectations coul…
Bank of America expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to keep the official cash rate at 2.25% at its May 27 meeting, while revising the near-term OCR track upward to reflect upside inflation risks. The bank forecasts a terminal rate around 3.2%, notably below current market hawkishness, and says the RBNZ is likely to discuss pre-emptive tightenin…
Pakistan’s interior minister met with Iran’s foreign minister as Islamabad relayed the latest U.S. message and pressed to bridge remaining gaps in talks aimed at ending a two-month-old war. Officials on both sides described some progress, but disputes over enriched uranium and the status of the Strait of Hormuz have complicated prospects. Oil price…
European finance ministers warn the bloc is experiencing stagflationary dynamics driven by a surge in energy prices tied to the Iran war. The European Commission forecasts slower growth and rising inflation for the euro zone, and ministers urged governments to limit support to targeted, temporary measures to protect vulnerable households without tr…
Global financial markets are being driven by geopolitical developments as the Iran war nears the end of its third month without resolution. Central banks from Israel to South Africa prepare for policy meetings, while inflation readings place extra scrutiny on U.S. and Japanese policymakers. At the same time, the growing role of artificial intellige…
U.S. equity futures were modestly firmer as traders parsed conflicting updates on negotiations between Washington and Tehran. Rising oil prices and higher Treasury yields reflected concerns that the Iran conflict could turn into an energy shock, while major corporate and technology developments - including reports of an impending confidential OpenA…
Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces mounting public dissatisfaction as the cost of living remains a central concern for households. Despite a large parliamentary majority won in 2024, Labour’s popularity has slumped and economic sentiment has deteriorated amid persistent inflation, higher interest rates and recent energy-driven price pressures. Gover…
Britain recorded a £24.3 billion public sector deficit in April, the second-highest April borrowing on record and larger than economists had expected. Official figures show the month marked the start of the financial year with borrowing above a poll-based forecast. Fiscal forecasters had projected a reduction in borrowing by 2026/27, but recent geo…
Multiple sources close to India’s central bank report that policymakers do not view interest rate increases as the most effective instrument to defend the rupee. With inflation still subdued, the Reserve Bank of India is weighing non-rate measures coordinated with the government even as markets price in significant tightening and the currency slide…
The conflict in the Middle East is disrupting two long-standing sources of livelihoods for millions of Indians: employment in the Gulf and global demand for labour-intensive manufactured goods. Returning migrant workers face sharply lower incomes and local manufacturers report falling orders, rising costs and reduced capacity, a combination that ri…
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) faces an evolving economic landscape as it prepares for its upcoming monetary policy decision on Wednesday. According to a recent survey of economists conducted between May 18 and May 22, the consensus is that policymakers will maintain the official cash rate at 2.25% on May 27. However, this period of stabili…
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is evaluating the possibility of implementing an interest rate increase outside of its standard policy calendar. Speaking in an interview with One News, Governor Eli Remolona suggested that the central bank may act before the next scheduled meeting on June 18. This potential move comes as policymakers grapple with si…
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama indicated on Friday that the government intends to prioritize fiscal restraint by avoiding an excessive dependence on new debt if a supplementary budget is implemented. This stance comes following instructions from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who recently directed her cabinet to evaluate the necessity o…
In a significant diplomatic engagement, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Moldovan Deputy Prime Minister Mihai Popsoi to discuss strengthening relations between Beijing and Chisinau. The meeting occurred at a complex geopolitical juncture, following a high-profile 24-hour visit by Russian President Vladimir Putin to China for talks with Pre…
