Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,192 total articles
The Czech Finance Ministry presented a fiscal plan forecasting the budget deficit will widen to 2.8% of GDP in 2027 from 2.6% in 2026, then fall in the following years. The projections are higher than those prepared by the prior administration and keep the deficit below the EU 3% limit. The plan also projects gross government debt to peak at 46.8% …
Mexico recorded an annual inflation rate of 3.94% in May, down from 4.45% in April and below an economist poll forecast of 4.2%. The reading places inflation back inside the central bank's acceptable range around its 3% target. On a month-to-month basis, consumer prices fell 0.21% in May in non-seasonally adjusted terms. Banxico expects inflation t…
Canada posted a trade surplus of C$2.72 billion in April, up from C$1.75 billion in March and the largest monthly surplus since January 2025. Total merchandise exports reached a record C$75.2 billion, supported by a near 10% jump in energy exports and notable strength in farm and food shipments. Imports increased more modestly, with sizeable monthl…
Mexico's annual consumer price inflation slowed for a second consecutive month in May to 3.94%, bringing it back within the higher end of the central bank's 3% plus or minus 1 percentage point target range. Monthly prices declined 0.21% in May, beating expectations, while the core index rose 0.22% for the month and eased to 4.19% year-on-year.
A CrowdStrike report covering April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026 identifies China-linked threat actors as the most significant espionage risk to technology companies, driven by strategic interest in AI and related intellectual property. The technology sector remained the most targeted industry overall, while North Korean, Russian, Iran-linked and fina…
A government official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said India has introduced bond-related steps aimed at achieving inclusion in the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index. Measures include ramped-up asset sales, a confirmed stake divestment in IDBI Bank, a request for increased fertilizer funding, a planned review of spending priorities in October-…
JPMorgan’s weekly client survey, published Monday, found a modest rise in the net percentage of investors holding long positions in Treasury notes to 20% from 18% a week earlier. While a greater share of the full client base expects prices to rise, active clients are more divided and their net long exposure has fallen materially from the prior week…
The European Commission has unveiled a proposed 21st package of sanctions against Russia that targets the energy sector, financial institutions, maritime operations, certain metals and alloys, cryptocurrency services, and fish imports. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the measures at a Brussels press conference, saying the packag…
A wide plurality of economists now anticipate the Federal Reserve will keep its policy rate in the current 3.50%-3.75% range for the remainder of 2026 as inflation pushed higher by war-related energy shocks shows little sign of a rapid decline. A robust May jobs report and market pricing that implies at least one hike by the end of 2026 have dimini…
Bulgaria's recently formed government has declared it will stop sending arms to Ukraine. Defense Minister Dimitar Stoyanov framed the move as a preference for bolstering personnel and pursuing a negotiated settlement that includes both sides. The stance mirrors Prime Minister Rumen Radev's long-held opposition to resolving the conflict by force and…
Kuwait is offering crude oil cargoes to refiners in Asia for the first time since the Iran war began, with at least 4 million barrels of its main export grade being shipped on two very large crude carriers. The move signals a partial return of flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid stepped-up U.S. transit coordination and parallel sales from other…
Tata Consultancy Services intends to slow recruitment as it moves toward a workforce composition in which each human employee is matched by an AI agent, Chairman N Chandrasekaran said at the company AGM. The firm does not plan fresh staff reductions, but it has already reduced headcount through prior cuts and net attrition. Management says automati…
BASF Chief Executive Markus Kamieth said rising inflation and the US-Israeli conflict with Iran are increasing the likelihood of material shortages that could interrupt tightly scheduled automotive supply chains. Speaking to journalists in Frankfurt, he singled out inputs such as sulfur and helium and warned the risk could materialize in the second…
U.S. stock index futures moved higher on Tuesday as semiconductor shares continued to rebound and reports of reduced hostilities in the Middle East softened market jitters. Early trading saw Nasdaq futures outpace peers, with notable premarket gains for major chipmakers. Oil prices pulled back more than 2%, and several high-profile corporate and IP…
U.S. seaports processed 2,428,758 TEUs in May, an 11.5% year-over-year increase driven by a 28.1% surge in Chinese-origin imports. Retailers and manufacturers accelerated shipments ahead of proposed U.S. tariffs, while concerns tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted precautionary inventory builds. Year-to-date volumes through May remain 1.…
SpaceX’s planned public offering, which would value the company at $1.75 trillion and carry an estimated price-to-revenue multiple of 56, presents an intuitive short candidate on valuation and governance grounds. Yet market dynamics - limited public float, significant retail and institutional interest, likely index-driven demand, and lessons from p…
Morgan Stanley has reduced its growth projection for Saudi Arabia, citing a continued contraction in real oil activity that extends into the third quarter of 2026. The bank points to diminished oil export volumes and trade disruptions as the main drags on real GDP, while noting that elevated oil prices are bolstering government revenue and spending…
U.S. equity futures pointed higher on Tuesday as investors parsed signs of de-escalation in the Iran conflict and a renewed bid for artificial intelligence-related chip stocks. President Donald Trump said the U.S. could achieve a "total victory" over Iran "over the next two weeks" while also describing a productive conversation with Israeli leaders…
Citi forecasts the Bank of Japan will raise its policy rate by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting, pointing to renewed yen weakness and external factors that could further depress the currency. The bank expects subsequent increases at roughly six-month intervals and projects a terminal rate of 1.5% in June 2027. Citi will monitor the voting be…
Citi has raised its 2026 nominal GDP projection for South Korea to 15.3% from 10.6%, attributing the change to a much stronger-than-expected first quarter and a higher GDP deflator tied to memory chip prices. The bank kept its real GDP forecast at 3.0% while increasing its GDP deflator assumption to 11.9% from 7.4%. South Korea's central bank revis…
Bank Indonesia convened an unscheduled meeting on Tuesday, lifting its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% in an emergency move intended to steady the rupiah. The decision comes ahead of a scheduled June 17 meeting and follows a 50 basis-point increase at the May policy meeting. Officials said the step targets recent pressure on the c…
European government bond yields were largely unchanged as reports that Israel and Iran would halt military operations eased near-term concerns about oil flow disruptions. Investors are now awaiting the European Central Bank’s policy decision on Thursday, when the ECB is expected to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, with markets fo…
European equities opened marginally higher on growing investor focus on developments in the Middle East and shifts in oil prices after Iran and Israel halted strikes on each other. The STOXX 600 inched up, while commodity and monetary policy risks kept traders cautious. Sector rotation was visible, with healthcare lagging and technology, led by glo…
The Bank of Japan is considering pausing a planned reduction in its monthly government bond purchases beyond the next fiscal year, keeping the current pace of roughly 2.1 trillion yen per month. The decision is expected to be contentious among the nine board members who are split between prioritizing market stability and pursuing steady balance she…
Prime Minister Mark Carney has mounted an active campaign to broaden Canada’s trade and investment ties beyond the United States, leading multiple trade missions and signing new pacts. Yet interviews with officials and business leaders show that preferential access to the U.S. market via the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) continues to be the …
