Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
A poll of 15 analysts published on Monday suggests Mexico’s annual inflation rate likely eased in May to roughly 4.03% from April’s 4.45%. The median projection shows a small monthly drop in headline prices, driven by seasonal electricity subsidies and lower fruit and vegetable costs, while core inflation is expected to keep easing toward 4.20% yea…
A Reuters poll of economists indicates Mexico's annual headline inflation likely slowed in May to roughly 4.03% from April's 4.45%, marking a second consecutive monthly drop but still sitting above the central bank's 3% target range. Monthly headline prices are expected to have fallen 0.12%, while core inflation is projected to ease to 4.20% year-o…
U.S. military forces disabled an empty, Palau-flagged oil tanker, the M/T Marivex, in the Gulf of Oman after the vessel attempted to proceed to an Iranian port in violation of a maritime blockade. An F/A-18 Super Hornet originating from USS Abraham Lincoln fired a precision munition into the ship’s engineering and steering spaces when the crew did …
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has abandoned a plan to relocate staff into the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s downtown Washington offices and will instead renew its current headquarters lease for another five years, according to a public procurement notice and sources familiar with the decision. The CFTC had explored co-locatin…
Citadel Securities warns that the Federal Reserve may need to lift interest rates in the near term to counter mounting inflationary forces. The firm cites a strong US jobs backdrop, persistent energy price pressures tied to inventory rebuilding and supply-chain diversification, and large-scale investment in artificial intelligence as the principal …
Britain's Financial Conduct Authority has launched a lawsuit against former fund manager Neil Woodford and the subscription service W4.0, alleging they offered regulated investment advice and issued financial promotions without proper authorisation. The FCA is seeking an injunction to stop what it describes as "the potentially unlawful activities."…
The New York Federal Reserve's May survey found the public's inflation expectations broadly unchanged from April, with one-year expectations at 3.5% and longer-run expectations near 3.0-3.1%. At the same time, respondents reported growing uncertainty about near-term inflation and increased anxiety about current and future personal finances amid dis…
The federal finance ministry announced a new loan program to provide repayable liquidity to Canadian airlines coping with elevated fuel costs. Eligible carriers can access up to C$150 million, but must agree to limits on executive compensation and to retain Canadian operations as a condition of participation.
U.S. Treasury yields moved in opposite directions on Monday following a stronger-than-expected jobs report that pushed up market expectations for a Fed rate increase later this year. Two-year yields eased from a 15-month peak hit on Friday, while 10-year yields inched higher. Elevated oil prices tied to disruptions from the Iran war have intensifie…
The administration plans to seek denaturalization for 17 U.S. citizens accused of obtaining citizenship through immigration fraud, a step the Justice Department says represents the largest use of its denaturalization powers in U.S. history. The cases follow expanded priorities for denaturalization set in 2025 and come after a recent announcement of…
India's current account deficit for the fiscal year ending March stood at 0.6% of GDP, equivalent to $25.2 billion, unchanged from 2024-25 and smaller than economists' forecasts. Robust services receipts and higher remittances helped counteract disruptions linked to the Iran war. The January-March quarter posted a $7.1 billion surplus, outperformin…
Analysts at Wolfe Research say upcoming U.S. inflation figures are pivotal for market direction. With the consumer price index for May due Wednesday and oil prices sensitive to Middle East developments, hotter-than-expected inflation could trigger volatility in equities and influence central bank policy expectations.
Statnett has announced the Skagerrak 2 undersea power cable linking Norway and Denmark will be unavailable for roughly three months while repairs are carried out. The fault, found about 30 kilometres off Denmark's coast, has taken 245 megawatts of transmission capacity offline since June 2. Repairs are scheduled to conclude by September 2, accordin…
India is pressing the United States for preferential tariff treatment as the two countries work to finalize an interim trade agreement. Negotiations, which produced an initial understanding in February, have slowed after a US Supreme Court decision affected prior tariff measures. Washington has floated a 12.5% tariff on imports from India and other…
The UK government has unveiled a £1.1 billion package to expand national AI computing resources, combining a commitment to buy specialist chips with a multi-year programme to build a national supercomputer and an investment vehicle to support domestic hardware companies. Funding includes direct procurement of next-generation chips and British Busin…
Leading investment banks overwhelmingly project the S&P 500 will climb through 2026, leaning on AI momentum and robust corporate earnings to counteract economic disruption from a months-long Middle East conflict. Forecasters also flag the downside risk that sustained higher oil prices could elevate recession odds even as many lift index targets.
Border czar Tom Homan said the Trump administration has prepared an operational plan to send more Immigration and Customs Enforcement personnel to New York City. Homan said he informed Governor Kathy Hochul of the plan before she enacted state legislation limiting ICE activities and banning masked agents. He declined to give a timetable but said th…
Chile's consumer price index rose 0.2% in May from April, below the 0.4% rise economists had expected and down from a 1.3% gain in April. Nine of 13 sectors recorded price declines, led by food and non-alcoholic beverages, while housing, basic services and transportation posted increases. Annual inflation slipped to 3.9% in May, slightly below Apri…
A Reuters poll of housing analysts conducted May 26-June 8 shows British house prices are now forecast to rise 1.8% this year, down from a 2.5% projection three months ago, while London is expected to record a small decline. Rising mortgage rates and persistent inflation are cited as key constraints on demand, with deposits and elevated prices also…
Bank of America says oil price increases tied to Middle East tensions are likely to push Japan's core consumer price inflation back above 3% in early 2027. The bank outlines three transmission channels from oil to consumer prices, notes current near-term moderating forces for headline inflation, and flags the risk that second-round effects could pr…
Arcmont Asset Management Chief Executive Anthony Fobel told attendees at the SuperReturn private capital conference in Berlin that private credit portfolios continue to exhibit low default rates despite recent retail-driven withdrawal requests. Fobel described the asset class as largely institutionally backed, questioned the push to open it to reta…
Hungary reported a 43.5 billion forint surplus in May, reducing the budget shortfall for the first five months of the year to 3.806 trillion forints, or 90.2% of the full-year target. The centre-right government led by Prime Minister Peter Magyar has inherited a widening deficit after the April election, and Fitch Ratings warns of continued fiscal …
The European Council has approved a new regulatory framework designed to shield the EU steel sector from the effects of structural global overcapacity. The rules, adopted on Monday, replace the current safeguard measure set to lapse on June 30 and introduce a revised tariff-rate quota system with lower import quotas and steeper duties on imports ab…
U.S. President Donald Trump called on Israel and Iran to immediately stop exchanging strikes after renewed hostilities extended into Monday, undermining momentum toward a potential peace agreement. The latest round of attacks followed an Israeli strike on Beirut and included Iranian strikes and Israeli retaliation reported to have hit targets in ce…
This week features a packed calendar for investors: a potentially record-breaking SpaceX initial public offering, U.S. consumer price index data that may influence Federal Reserve thinking, a European Central Bank rate decision against a backdrop of elevated oil prices, and quarterly reports from Oracle and Adobe that will be read as barometers for…
