Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,114 total articles

Senate Hearing on Warsh Puts Fed Rate Path and Independence in the Spotlight

Senate Hearing on Warsh Puts Fed Rate Path and Independence in the Spotlight

The U.S. Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee has opened confirmation hearings for President Trump's nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh. Senators and markets are watching for signals about the Fed's likely interest-rate trajectory and broader questions about the central bank's independence after a Justice Department pr…

Administration Weighs Currency Swap for UAE as Gulf Energy Disruptions Persist

Administration Weighs Currency Swap for UAE as Gulf Energy Disruptions Persist

President Donald Trump said Tuesday the United States is considering a currency swap with the United Arab Emirates after the UAE sought potential financial support as damage to Gulf energy infrastructure and closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted oil flows. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said the U.S. was open to assistance but…

TSX Futures Tick Up as Markets Weigh Iran Truce Prospects and Warsh Hearing

TSX Futures Tick Up as Markets Weigh Iran Truce Prospects and Warsh Hearing

Futures tied to Canada’s principal stock index rose modestly as markets digested mixed signals over possible U.S.-Iran peace talks and prepared for a high-profile Senate confirmation hearing for Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair. U.S. futures climbed, oil and gold reacted to geopolitical developments, and a slate of m…

D.R. Horton narrows 2026 revenue range but midpoint tops analyst forecasts

D.R. Horton narrows 2026 revenue range but midpoint tops analyst forecasts

D.R. Horton narrowed its 2026 consolidated revenue forecast yet kept the midpoint above analyst expectations, even as quarterly profits and revenue declined amid higher costs and subdued buyer demand. The Arlington, Texas-based builder signaled continued use of sales incentives in fiscal 2026 as interest rates, inflation and tariffs pressure margin…

BIS urges unified global rules for stablecoins to avoid market fragmentation

BIS urges unified global rules for stablecoins to avoid market fragmentation

The Bank for International Settlements reiterated a call for coordinated international regulation of stablecoins, arguing inconsistent frameworks risk fragmenting markets and enabling regulatory arbitrage. BIS General Manager Pablo Hernandez de Cos said stablecoins could undermine monetary and fiscal policy, increase financial market stress and obs…

U.S. Retail Sales Surge 1.7% in March as Gasoline and Refunds Lift Spending

U.S. Retail Sales Surge 1.7% in March as Gasoline and Refunds Lift Spending

U.S. retail sales climbed 1.7% in March, outpacing economist forecasts, driven in part by a sharp rise in gasoline receipts and a boost from tax refunds. The Commerce Department’s Census Bureau said the figures, which reflect nominal sales mostly for goods and are not adjusted for inflation, benefited from higher retail gasoline prices and stronger…

Top Traders Say Iran War Could Double Oil Demand Losses to 5 Million Barrels a Day

Top Traders Say Iran War Could Double Oil Demand Losses to 5 Million Barrels a Day

Major oil trading firms are warning that demand destruction tied to the Iran war may deepen significantly, with losses potentially rising to about 5 million barrels per day in May. Traders say the impact, now concentrated in Asia, will spread as global prices react. Firms cautioned that prolonged disruption to flows through the Strait of Hormuz cou…

Synchrony Reports Higher Q1 Profit Fueled by Steady Consumer Spending

Synchrony Reports Higher Q1 Profit Fueled by Steady Consumer Spending

Synchrony Financial posted higher first-quarter profit as resilient consumer spending, particularly among higher-income households, supported revenue tied to co-branded credit cards and related products. Net interest income rose while provisions for credit losses declined, lifting net income for the quarter. Elevated gasoline prices in March and a …

EU Signals Contingency Measures as Hormuz Blockade Threatens Jet Fuel Supplies

EU Signals Contingency Measures as Hormuz Blockade Threatens Jet Fuel Supplies

European officials will issue guidance on airport slot management, anti-tankering, passenger compensation and public service obligations to prepare for potential jet fuel shortages tied to the Iran conflict. The Commission says there are no shortages at present but warned that a prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have catastrophic eff…

De Guindos urges caution on ECB rate moves amid uncertainty over Iran war

De Guindos urges caution on ECB rate moves amid uncertainty over Iran war

European Central Bank Vice-President Luis de Guindos warned that the bank should proceed cautiously on interest-rate decisions because of the considerable uncertainty created by the war in Iran. He urged officials to assess whether recent rises in oil and gas prices are feeding through to wider inflation, and flagged three financial-stability risks…

BofA Argues for One-Week Repo Increase to Match Turkey's Funding Rate

BofA Argues for One-Week Repo Increase to Match Turkey's Funding Rate

Bank of America expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey to keep its effective funding rate at 40% at the April 22 meeting, but recommends raising the one-week repo rate from 37% to 40% to align policy with actual funding. The bank says such a move would simplify monetary operations, reduce sterilization burdens and preserve scope for dis…

Hong Kong moves to seize HK$127 million from jailed media tycoon Jimmy Lai

Hong Kong moves to seize HK$127 million from jailed media tycoon Jimmy Lai

A High Court writ released on Tuesday shows the Hong Kong government is seeking to seize more than HK$127 million in assets linked to jailed media proprietor Jimmy Lai. The filing enumerates company shareholdings, multiple small factory properties and deposits across more than 50 bank accounts, and relies on implementing rules under the national se…

Frameworks for Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet Take Shape Ahead of Warsh Hearing

Frameworks for Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet Take Shape Ahead of Warsh Hearing

Kevin Warsh has signaled support for significantly reducing the Federal Reserve's bond holdings, but he has not provided detailed proposals ahead of his confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee. In the interim, academics, market analysts and some Fed officials are developing approaches that focus on lowering banks' demand for reserv…

Warsh Faces Senate Banking Panel as Confirmation Path Clouded by Powell Probe

Warsh Faces Senate Banking Panel as Confirmation Path Clouded by Powell Probe

Kevin Warsh appears before the Senate Banking Committee as his nomination to lead the Federal Reserve proceeds amid a dispute tied to a criminal probe of current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Warsh pledges monetary policy independence and a reform-oriented Fed, but the timing and outcome of votes are uncertain as lawmakers contend with legal and politic…

De Guindos Urges ECB Caution on Rates as Iran Conflict Raises Uncertainty

De Guindos Urges ECB Caution on Rates as Iran Conflict Raises Uncertainty

European Central Bank Vice-President Luis de Guindos warned that the bank should act cautiously on interest rates because the war in Iran has introduced significant uncertainty. He urged policymakers to focus on whether higher oil and gas costs are feeding through to other prices and highlighted three financial-stability risks in the euro area as h…