Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

7,195 total articles

U.S. Dollar Stabilizes Amid Renewed Middle East Geopolitical Tension

U.S. Dollar Stabilizes Amid Renewed Middle East Geopolitical Tension

The U.S. dollar maintained its position during Tuesday's trading as prospects for a lasting peace in the Middle East diminished. Heightened uncertainty regarding the continuation of a ceasefire has pressured global markets, driving oil prices upward and fueling concerns that persistent inflationary pressures may necessitate prolonged high interest …

Kevin Warsh Advances Toward Senate Confirmation for Federal Reserve Leadership

Kevin Warsh Advances Toward Senate Confirmation for Federal Reserve Leadership

Kevin Warsh, the individual selected by President Donald Trump to lead the Federal Reserve, successfully passed a critical procedural milestone in the Senate on Monday. This cloture vote brings his nomination significantly closer to formal confirmation and sets the stage for a leadership transition from current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose tenure…

AI Optimism Drives Global Equities to New Heights Amid Geopolitical Tension

AI Optimism Drives Global Equities to New Heights Amid Geopolitical Tension

Global stock markets reached unprecedented levels on Monday, propelled by a continued surge in artificial intelligence-related optimism. This rally occurred despite significant headwinds, including a fragile ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, rising oil prices, and increasing bond yields. Major indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs…

Los Angeles Port Sees 5.7% Yearly Rise in April Container Throughput

Los Angeles Port Sees 5.7% Yearly Rise in April Container Throughput

The Port of Los Angeles recorded 890,861 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in April 2026, a 5.7% increase from April 2025. Loaded containers rose to 587,551 TEUs, with inbound loaded boxes up 4.7% and outbound loaded boxes down 0.5%. Empty container moves grew 10.2%. The monthly results follow a recovery from earlier 2026 declines and come after …

U.S. Expands Sanctions Targeting Networks That Shipped Iranian Oil to China

U.S. Expands Sanctions Targeting Networks That Shipped Iranian Oil to China

On May 11 in Washington, the U.S. Treasury announced sanctions on three individuals and nine companies accused of facilitating Iran's shipment of crude to China. The Office of Foreign Assets Control said the designated parties helped the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps move oil to China through front companies located in permissive jurisdictions.…

Congo Seeks IMF Program as Debt Stays Near Record Levels and Growth Slows

Congo Seeks IMF Program as Debt Stays Near Record Levels and Growth Slows

The Republic of Congo has formally asked the International Monetary Fund to open discussions on a new financing arrangement after several years of very high public debt and weakening GDP growth. An IMF mission is due in Brazzaville in the coming weeks to design a framework for potential support, while official data point to a debt burden among the …

Treasury Yields Tick Up Across the Curve; 10-Year Posts Largest Rise

Treasury Yields Tick Up Across the Curve; 10-Year Posts Largest Rise

US Treasury yields moved higher across the curve during Monday afternoon trading. The 10-year Treasury yield registered the largest increase, while the 30-year and 1-year yields also rose. The spread between 5-year and 30-year Treasuries tightened, the S&P 500 inched up modestly, and US 5-year credit default swaps were unchanged.

Weak 3-Year Note Auction Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

Weak 3-Year Note Auction Pushes Treasury Yields Higher

Treasury prices fell on Monday as yields climbed roughly 5 to 6 basis points after a 3-year note auction showed weaker-than-expected demand. Key bidding metrics disappointed and primary dealers took a larger share, while indirect participation dipped. Markets reacted with a selloff in the belly of the curve as investors prepared for upcoming 10-yea…

Canadian Government Yields Rise Across the Curve; 10-Year Sees Largest Gain

Canadian Government Yields Rise Across the Curve; 10-Year Sees Largest Gain

Canada's sovereign bond yields moved higher across maturities on Monday afternoon, with the 10-year note recording the largest increase. The 1-year yield rose to 2.649%, the 10-year reached 3.54%, and the 30-year climbed to 3.906%. The gap between the 1-year and 30-year yields widened slightly, while credit default swaps for the five-year tenor wer…

Czech tax authority clarifies individual income exemptions for crypto transfers

Czech tax authority clarifies individual income exemptions for crypto transfers

The Czech Financial Administration issued guidance on April 30 interpreting recent amendments under Law No. 32/2025 for individual income tax exemptions on crypto-asset transfers. The guidance applies rules tied to the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (2023/1114/EU), sets a value-based exemption limit of 100,000 koruna for 2025, excludes el…

Two-Thirds of Americans Say President Has Not Explained Iran War Objectives

Two-Thirds of Americans Say President Has Not Explained Iran War Objectives

A recent four-day national poll shows 66% of respondents believe President Donald Trump has not clearly explained the objectives of U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran. The survey also finds growing household financial strain from higher gasoline prices and places the president's approval rating at 36%. The results indicate potentia…

Goldman Sachs and BofA Push Out Rate-Cut Timelines as Jobs, Inflation Stay Firm

Goldman Sachs and BofA Push Out Rate-Cut Timelines as Jobs, Inflation Stay Firm

Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have revised their forecasts for Federal Reserve interest-rate reductions, moving expected cuts out of 2026 as robust labor-market data and elevated inflation readings argue for rates to remain unchanged through at least the end of 2026. Market positioning has shifted after disruptions to oil markets and hawkish co…

BTG: Lula's Consumer Debt Renegotiation Did Not Expand Credit for Beneficiaries

BTG: Lula's Consumer Debt Renegotiation Did Not Expand Credit for Beneficiaries

A BTG Pactual analysis concludes that the initial 2023 consumer debt renegotiation program launched under President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva did not lead to greater access to credit for those who benefited. The finding, drawn from an assessment of the program's first iteration by BTG economists Tiago Berriel and Bruno Martins, may help explain why…

Trump lauds federal response as hantavirus outbreak on cruise ship kills three

Trump lauds federal response as hantavirus outbreak on cruise ship kills three

President Donald Trump expressed satisfaction with the federal response to a hantavirus outbreak aboard the Hondius cruise ship that resulted in three deaths. He said the virus is "not easy to spread" and that the United States was in "very good shape." Seventeen U.S. citizens from the vessel were airlifted to Nebraska for evaluation, with two pass…

BTG Pactual Finds Lula’s Consumer Debt Program Did Not Expand Credit Access

BTG Pactual Finds Lula’s Consumer Debt Program Did Not Expand Credit Access

A BTG Pactual report concludes that the first phase of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's consumer debt renegotiation program did not translate into greater credit access for participating households. Economists Tiago Berriel and Bruno Martins link the lack of a consumption uptick to a process of financial adjustment among borrowers, a…

Hudson River Trading Posts Record Q1 Revenue of $6.4 Billion

Hudson River Trading Posts Record Q1 Revenue of $6.4 Billion

Hudson River Trading reported $6.4 billion in trading revenue for the first quarter, a 135% increase from the same period a year earlier, according to people familiar with the matter. The firm said this quarterly haul accounts for more than half of its total trading revenue for all of 2025, while profit and earnings metrics also rose sharply. Net t…