Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,195 total articles
High-profile short seller Andrew Left faces a criminal trial in Los Angeles this week after federal prosecutors charged him with manipulating stock prices and defrauding investors through misleading public statements about his trading positions. Authorities allege Left made at least $16 million by promoting positions in companies including Nvidia a…
Four private-sector members of Japan's economic advisory panel told policymakers to weigh the risk that prolonged Middle East tensions could strain financing for small and midsize firms. Their proposals, sent to the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy, emphasize careful monitoring of inflation and funding conditions and call for broader fiscal in…
This week’s market calendar is dominated by a breakdown in U.S.-Iran diplomacy, fresh U.S. consumer price index data for April, President Trump’s long-awaited trip to China for talks with Xi Jinping, the scheduled end of Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chair, and Cerebras Systems’ planned initial public offering under the ticker CBRS. Each …
European equities were largely flat on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations pushed oil prices higher and damped investor risk appetite. The STOXX 600 traded unchanged, while defence and luxury stocks led regional declines. Telecom names and select company-specific movers saw gains. Markets also weighed comments from an ECB official that signall…
U.S. equity futures edged lower after President Trump dismissed an Iranian response to a U.S. proposal to end the more-than-two-month conflict as "I don’t like it - TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE." Oil climbed as hopes for an immediate end to fighting dimmed. Traders are also watching an upcoming Trump visit to China and key U.S. consumer price data later in…
An outgoing member of South Korea's monetary policy board said the central bank should place primary emphasis on controlling inflation after the war in Iran pushed up oil prices. Shin Sung-hwan warned the bank must act to minimise spillovers from elevated crude costs, even if that imposes economic pain, and highlighted risks from a growth boost con…
Statistics Norway reported that core inflation - which excludes volatile energy prices and tax changes - climbed to 3.2% year-on-year in April from 3.0% in March, matching analyst expectations and the central bank's own projection. The result underlines continued inflationary pressure and follows a recent policy rate increase by Norges Bank to 4.25…
Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for when the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates, moving expected cuts from later this year to December 2026 and March 2027. The firm says elevated energy prices tied to the ongoing Middle East war will keep core inflation nearer 3% year-over-year, and that only a combination of fading oil s…
Hopes that the Iran-U.S. confrontation would de-escalate faded after U.S. President Donald Trump called Iran's weekend peace proposal "totally unacceptable." Markets reacted with higher oil and a stronger dollar, while equities were led by gains in the artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors, notably in South Korea. Economic and corporate…
European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos, who leaves office at the end of May, advised colleagues to exercise prudence when considering an anticipated interest rate hike at the June meeting, citing a weakening growth outlook and the need for more clarity on the conflict in Iran. Markets expect a rate increase on June 10-11 and possibly …
As the Australian government prepares to deliver its upcoming budget, Treasurer Jim Chalmers is navigating a complex economic landscape defined by high commodity prices, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and a central bank focused on curbing inflation. While revenue windfalls from elevated commodity prices are expected to reduce the project…
In a recent interview with Japan's Nikkei, Pablo Hernandez de Cos, the general manager of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), emphasized the necessity for nations to adopt disciplined fiscal policies. He warned that if government spending shifts from being targeted and temporary to becoming broad-based and persistent, it could significant…
The U.S. dollar climbed against a basket of major currencies during early Asian trading on Monday, fueled by a combination of robust domestic employment statistics and escalating geopolitical friction in the Middle East. Following President Donald Trump's dismissal of an Iranian peace offer, investors sought refuge in the greenback, while oil marke…
The Australian Labor government is preparing to introduce significant reforms to capital gains tax discounts and negative gearing provisions in the upcoming federal budget. According to reports from the Australian Financial Review, these adjustments are designed to tackle intergenerational inequality by altering how investment properties are taxed.…
Japanese authorities are implementing a multi-pronged strategy to combat the yen's continued decline, relying on a coordinated approach between the Ministry of Finance, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), and the United States. By aligning the central bank's hawkish policy direction with potential diplomatic support from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent,…
U.S. headline consumer inflation moved higher in March 2026, propelled by a surge in retail gasoline prices tied to the Iran conflict. The pickup in energy costs pushed the year-over-year CPI to 3.3% and intensified a K-shaped pattern in household sentiment and spending. Lower-income consumers are bearing a larger share of the burden, even as some …
A Morgan Stanley survey of roughly 2,000 Americans finds 44% view artificial intelligence favorably while 28% hold negative views and 25% are neutral. Attitudes vary markedly by age, income, gender, political affiliation and how often respondents use AI, with weekly users the most positive and older Americans the most skeptical.
Iran’s deputy foreign minister for legal and international affairs issued a public warning to France and Britain that their warships would face "a decisive and immediate response" if they entered the Strait of Hormuz in company with U.S. forces. The statement followed Paris’ announcement that the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle had been sent to …
Pakistan has engaged in discussions with Iranian officials to secure permission for a limited number of Qatari liquefied natural gas shipments to transit the Strait of Hormuz, using a northern route close to the Iranian coast. The move responds to immediate domestic demand after Islamabad declined higher-priced spot purchases and follows recent voy…
HSBC Global Investment Research mapped how artificial intelligence could reshape corporate revenues across markets. Under a moderate disruption scenario Taiwan and South Korea register the largest net AI-enabled revenue shares, while India shows the highest net disruption. In a larger disruption outcome, several European markets turn negative drive…
U.S. equities, buoyed by a robust corporate earnings season and easing concerns over the Iran conflict, head into a week dominated by April inflation readings, consumer spending data and a meeting between U.S. and Chinese leaders that could touch on rare earths and technology access. Market participants will watch the consumer price index, producer…
An approach focused on companies that deliver sustained returns on equity, strong cash generation and mid-teens earnings growth has outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets Index over the past decade. Rob Brewis of Aubrey Capital Management finds that only a small share of the thousands of firms in the emerging markets universe meet a roughly 15% ROE…
Bank of America strategists argue the U.S. dollar’s failure to rally reflects market reluctance to price additional Fed hikes. With April payrolls due and BofA forecasting 80,000 jobs, the bank says a strong print would widen the distribution of possible Fed moves and likely lift the dollar. However, perceived restraint under incoming Fed Chair War…
A federal trade court has ruled that the 10% universal tariff imposed under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 is unlawful, voiding the duties that took effect as a 150-day stopgap on February 24. The decision, issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in a 2-1 ruling, concluded the administration did not satisfy the statute's requirement f…
The 2026 FIFA World Cup, to be staged across the United States, Canada and Mexico, is forecast to be the largest sporting event in history and a significant economic catalyst. Bank of America Global Research estimates the tournament will contribute roughly $41 billion to global GDP and support more than 800,000 jobs. With 48 teams competing in 104 …
