Trade Ideas

Actionable trade ideas with defined risk and time horizons.

Curated trade ideas across equities, options, and other instruments, featuring clear directional bias, time horizon, and risk considerations. Trade ideas are designed to align market context, technical structure, and risk management principles.

Articles

8,708 total articles

Marti: An Early-Stage, Event-Driven Long with Asymmetric Upside

Marti: An Early-Stage, Event-Driven Long with Asymmetric Upside

Marti presents a classic early-stage setup: limited public disclosure, thin float and liquidity, and the potential for outsized re-rating if operational or partnership milestones land. This is a high-risk, event-driven trade: enter a starter position at $1.20, protect capital with a tight stop at $0.80, and let a successful catalyst push a larger t…

Don’t Buy the Merger Hype: Short United on Regulatory Rejection Risk

Don’t Buy the Merger Hype: Short United on Regulatory Rejection Risk

United stock has priced in an outsized merger premium after reports on 04/14/2026 that CEO Scott Kirby discussed combining with American Airlines. The idea of a supercarrier is headline-grabbing, but filing and approval risk, high leverage, and weak liquidity make that premium fragile. This trade targets a pullback if the deal stalls or is blocked.

Pagaya: Conviction Buy on Deep Value With Improving Unit Economics

Pagaya: Conviction Buy on Deep Value With Improving Unit Economics

Pagaya is an AI-first credit infrastructure company trading at an attractive multiple after a strategic pivot to an asset-light model. At roughly $13.10 today and a market cap near $1.07B, the company shows strong free cash flow generation, improving profitability and sensible valuation metrics. This is a long-biased trade idea with defined entry, …

Oracle Is Rallying — But the Market Still Treats It Like Dead Money

Oracle Is Rallying — But the Market Still Treats It Like Dead Money

Oracle has caught a bid after AI infrastructure headlines and a Bloom Energy power deal, but the market's skepticism persists: valuation metrics, negative free cash flow, and elevated debt ratios keep expectations muted. I see asymmetric upside into $235 over the next 180 trading days if execution on data-center spending and RPO converts to cash fl…

Amazon's Zoox Push and Jassy's Growth Narrative: A Tactical Long on AMZN

Amazon's Zoox Push and Jassy's Growth Narrative: A Tactical Long on AMZN

Amazon's renewed focus on Zoox and its cloud/AI partnerships creates a visible asymmetric opportunity. With enterprise AI adoption accelerating and semiconductor demand still strong, AMZN looks poised for a re-rating if management can translate mobility and Anthropic-related AI investments into clearer revenue paths. This trade sets a disciplined l…

ASML: Underappreciated Upside From an AI-Led Capacity Cycle

ASML: Underappreciated Upside From an AI-Led Capacity Cycle

ASML reported better-than-expected Q1 results, raised full-year guidance and stepped up capital returns. The company's duopoly in extreme ultraviolet lithography and strong AI-driven capex by hyperscalers underpin defendable growth. Valuation is rich but not disconnected from the profit pool ASML controls. This trade idea offers a precise entry, st…

Vertiv's $15B Backlog and Liquid-Cooling Edge: A Mid-Term Long Setup

Vertiv's $15B Backlog and Liquid-Cooling Edge: A Mid-Term Long Setup

Vertiv (VRT) sits at the center of the AI infrastructure surge: a reported $15 billion backlog, accelerating order growth, and dominant liquid-cooling positions that hyperscalers need. The shares have run, but fundamentals and cash generation justify a mid-term long trade with defined risk. This note lays out the thesis, supporting numbers, catalys…

SolarEdge (SEDG): 200% Runback Has Legs — Tactical Long as Oil-Driven Demand and Inventory Rebalancing Align

SolarEdge (SEDG): 200% Runback Has Legs — Tactical Long as Oil-Driven Demand and Inventory Rebalancing Align

SolarEdge's shares have more than doubled over the last 12 months. The company's scale in inverters, a meaningful free cash flow runway, and renewed demand signals tied to oil-market volatility create a high-probability swing trade. Entry at $43, stop at $38, target $52 over a mid-term (45 trading days) horizon balances upside potential and event r…

Buy ONEOK on Stable Fee-Income and Near-Term Growth Kickoff

Buy ONEOK on Stable Fee-Income and Near-Term Growth Kickoff

ONEOK (OKE) is a cash-flowing midstream operator trading at ~15.8x earnings with a 4.8-5.1% yield, funded expansion projects coming online through 2028, and a balance sheet that supports steady distributions. This trade targets a rebound to the 52-week high as projects de-risk and natural gas/NGL fundamentals firm.