Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

6,527 total articles

Treasury Yields Retreat Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Report

Treasury Yields Retreat Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Report

U.S. Treasury yields moved lower Tuesday as investors awaited the Consumer Price Index for May, due Wednesday. The May jobs report, which topped expectations on Friday, had pushed up the chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase later this year, but signs of easing tensions with Iran and demand for government debt weighed on yields. Economists expe…

House Clears Path for $70 Billion Immigration Enforcement Funding Measure

House Clears Path for $70 Billion Immigration Enforcement Funding Measure

The U.S. House voted along party lines to open debate on a $70 billion immigration enforcement bill, moving the measure closer to final approval and delivery to the White House. The Senate approved the package earlier in the week, also with party-line votes. The legislation would fund U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol for t…

EIA Sees U.S. Natural Gas Production, Domestic Use Reaching New Peaks in 2026

EIA Sees U.S. Natural Gas Production, Domestic Use Reaching New Peaks in 2026

The U.S. Energy Information Administration's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects record-high dry natural gas production and domestic consumption in 2026, with continued growth into 2027. The June forecast raised its 2026 estimates versus May for both production and demand, and foresees rising liquefied natural gas exports even as coal production and…

Saudi Shipments of Jet Fuel to Europe Surge via Red Sea Port

Saudi Shipments of Jet Fuel to Europe Surge via Red Sea Port

Ship-tracking data show Saudi Arabia is routing larger volumes of jet fuel to Europe through its Red Sea port at Yanbu this month, reaching levels higher than previous shipments transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Independent datasets from Kpler and Vortexa report elevated first-week flows, while Europe has simultaneously increased imports from the Un…

Why the BOJ’s June Decision Could Matter More for the Path Than the Size

Why the BOJ’s June Decision Could Matter More for the Path Than the Size

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to lift its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1% at the June 15-16 meeting. With that move largely priced in, market focus has shifted to signals about the timing and magnitude of subsequent rate rises, the future pace of government bond purchase reductions, and potential effects on the yen.

Czech government projects deficit to peak in 2027 before gradual decline

Czech government projects deficit to peak in 2027 before gradual decline

The Czech Finance Ministry presented a fiscal plan forecasting the budget deficit will widen to 2.8% of GDP in 2027 from 2.6% in 2026, then fall in the following years. The projections are higher than those prepared by the prior administration and keep the deficit below the EU 3% limit. The plan also projects gross government debt to peak at 46.8% …

Mexico's inflation retreats to 3.94% in May, re-entering Banxico's target band

Mexico's inflation retreats to 3.94% in May, re-entering Banxico's target band

Mexico recorded an annual inflation rate of 3.94% in May, down from 4.45% in April and below an economist poll forecast of 4.2%. The reading places inflation back inside the central bank's acceptable range around its 3% target. On a month-to-month basis, consumer prices fell 0.21% in May in non-seasonally adjusted terms. Banxico expects inflation t…

Mexico's Inflation Eases in May, Returns to Upper Bound of Banxico Target Range

Mexico's Inflation Eases in May, Returns to Upper Bound of Banxico Target Range

Mexico's annual consumer price inflation slowed for a second consecutive month in May to 3.94%, bringing it back within the higher end of the central bank's 3% plus or minus 1 percentage point target range. Monthly prices declined 0.21% in May, beating expectations, while the core index rose 0.22% for the month and eased to 4.19% year-on-year.

CrowdStrike: China-Linked Actors Top Threat to Tech Firms Amid AI Investment Surge

CrowdStrike: China-Linked Actors Top Threat to Tech Firms Amid AI Investment Surge

A CrowdStrike report covering April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026 identifies China-linked threat actors as the most significant espionage risk to technology companies, driven by strategic interest in AI and related intellectual property. The technology sector remained the most targeted industry overall, while North Korean, Russian, Iran-linked and fina…

India Advances Measures to Secure Spot in Global Bond Benchmark

India Advances Measures to Secure Spot in Global Bond Benchmark

A government official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said India has introduced bond-related steps aimed at achieving inclusion in the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index. Measures include ramped-up asset sales, a confirmed stake divestment in IDBI Bank, a request for increased fertilizer funding, a planned review of spending priorities in October-…

JPMorgan Poll Shows Slight Uptick in Treasury Note Bullishness

JPMorgan Poll Shows Slight Uptick in Treasury Note Bullishness

JPMorgan’s weekly client survey, published Monday, found a modest rise in the net percentage of investors holding long positions in Treasury notes to 20% from 18% a week earlier. While a greater share of the full client base expects prices to rise, active clients are more divided and their net long exposure has fallen materially from the prior week…

Economists See Fed Holding Rates Through 2026 as War-Driven Inflation Persists

Economists See Fed Holding Rates Through 2026 as War-Driven Inflation Persists

A wide plurality of economists now anticipate the Federal Reserve will keep its policy rate in the current 3.50%-3.75% range for the remainder of 2026 as inflation pushed higher by war-related energy shocks shows little sign of a rapid decline. A robust May jobs report and market pricing that implies at least one hike by the end of 2026 have dimini…

Bulgaria Will Halt Weapons Shipments to Ukraine, Says New Defense Minister

Bulgaria Will Halt Weapons Shipments to Ukraine, Says New Defense Minister

Bulgaria's recently formed government has declared it will stop sending arms to Ukraine. Defense Minister Dimitar Stoyanov framed the move as a preference for bolstering personnel and pursuing a negotiated settlement that includes both sides. The stance mirrors Prime Minister Rumen Radev's long-held opposition to resolving the conflict by force and…

Kuwait Resumes Exports to Asian Refiners as Hormuz Transits Appear to Reopen

Kuwait Resumes Exports to Asian Refiners as Hormuz Transits Appear to Reopen

Kuwait is offering crude oil cargoes to refiners in Asia for the first time since the Iran war began, with at least 4 million barrels of its main export grade being shipped on two very large crude carriers. The move signals a partial return of flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid stepped-up U.S. transit coordination and parallel sales from other…

U.S. May container imports rise 11.5% as China shipments rebound

U.S. May container imports rise 11.5% as China shipments rebound

U.S. seaports processed 2,428,758 TEUs in May, an 11.5% year-over-year increase driven by a 28.1% surge in Chinese-origin imports. Retailers and manufacturers accelerated shipments ahead of proposed U.S. tariffs, while concerns tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted precautionary inventory builds. Year-to-date volumes through May remain 1.…