Economy July 2, 2026 05:11 AM

Merz Unveils Broad Economic Reform Package as Berlin Seeks to Revive Growth

Measures include €10 billion in annual tax relief for lower- and middle-income earners, pension adjustments, and steps to expand affordable housing

By Ajmal Hussain
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Germany's ruling coalition announced a comprehensive reform package aimed at jump-starting growth, delivering targeted tax relief for lower-income households and implementing structural changes across pensions, housing and public administration. The plan will be funded in part by raising the top income tax rate for the highest earners and includes measures to curb benefit fraud and digitize federal ministries.

Merz Unveils Broad Economic Reform Package as Berlin Seeks to Revive Growth
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Key Points

  • The package includes €10 billion per year in tax relief for lower- and middle-income earners.
  • The top income tax rate will rise to 47 percent from 45 percent for annual incomes of €280,000 or more to largely fund the relief.
  • Measures also cover pension adjustments, expanded affordable housing initiatives, an action plan to fight benefit fraud, elimination of phone-issued sick notes and an 8 percent staffing reduction target in federal ministries through digitization.
  • Deutsche Bank economist Marion Mühlberger says the package signals coalition compromise and expects growth to pick up in the second half of the year.

Germany's governing coalition has presented a sweeping set of economic reforms intended to bolster growth and address a range of structural issues facing the economy. The package, unveiled on Thursday, includes roughly €10 billion annually in tax relief for lower- and middle-income earners, changes to the pension system and initiatives intended to increase the supply of affordable housing.

Officials described the measures as an effort to accelerate growth and to strengthen the resilience of German companies amid mounting international competition. The government has been operating under pressure to revive expansion in Europe’s largest economy, after internal coalition disagreements slowed progress on its agenda.

The reform bundle covers a broad slate of policies. It sets out an action plan to combat benefit fraud, ends the practice of issuing sick notes by telephone and sets an administrative target to reduce staffing levels in federal ministries by 8 percent through increased digitization. The package also features structural pension adjustments and greater flexibility in labour rules.

Funding for the tax relief is planned to come largely from an increase in the highest marginal income tax rate. The top rate would rise to 47 percent from 45 percent for taxpayers with annual incomes of €280,000 or more, offsetting the cost of the €10 billion in relief aimed at lower-income households.

Deutsche Bank senior economist Marion Mühlberger said the government had achieved two objectives: delivering a core campaign promise on tax relief for low- and middle-income earners and reaching agreement on significant structural reforms. "The government has not only delivered on one of its key electoral promises - tax relief for low- and middle-income earners - but has also demonstrated its ability to agree on important structural reforms, including adjustments to the pension system and more flexibility in labour laws," she said.

On the economic outlook, Mühlberger added that the package indicated coalition partners were willing to compromise and that the government intended to implement these structural reforms by year-end. She said this alignment should strengthen sentiment and is consistent with Deutsche Bank's forecast that growth will pick up in the second half of the year.

Policy makers framed the reforms as necessary against a backdrop of sustained pressure on the German economy since the pandemic. That pressure has been driven by intensifying competition from China and higher energy costs - initially linked to the war in Ukraine and more recently compounded by the conflict involving Iran - which have strained Germany's export-reliant model.

Earlier this year, the government significantly revised down its near-term growth expectations. It halved its 2026 growth forecast to 0.5 percent and reduced its 2027 projection to 0.9 percent, down from a prior estimate of 1.3 percent. At the same time, officials raised inflation forecasts as energy prices continued to climb.


The reforms are intended to address multiple policy areas simultaneously: fiscal relief for households, pension system adjustments, measures to support housing affordability and public sector efficiency gains through digitization. Implementation details and the pace of rollout will determine how quickly the government can translate the package into tangible economic momentum.

Risks

  • Internal coalition disputes have previously hampered the government's reform momentum, creating uncertainty about full and timely implementation - this affects political stability and policy execution.
  • Rising energy costs and intensifying competition from China continue to weigh on Germany's export-dependent economy, which could limit the near-term effectiveness of the reforms - this impacts exporters and energy-intensive sectors.
  • Downward revisions to growth forecasts (2026: 0.5 percent; 2027: 0.9 percent from 1.3 percent) and higher inflation projections mean macro conditions may remain challenging even after reforms are enacted - this affects financial markets and overall economic sentiment.

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