Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

2,383 total articles

Global Oil System Weathered Iran War Disruption but Faces New Vulnerabilities

Global Oil System Weathered Iran War Disruption but Faces New Vulnerabilities

The global oil market has so far absorbed more than a billion barrels of lost supply since the Iran war began, aided by alternative exports, demand adjustments and large emergency stock releases. But with strategic inventories depleted, critical infrastructure damaged and ceasefire progress uncertain, the world now operates with a diminished safety…

Silver tests 38.2% Fibonacci at $62.13 as short-term momentum falters

Silver tests 38.2% Fibonacci at $62.13 as short-term momentum falters

Silver (SI) is trading at $62.08 on the 4-hour chart, confronting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $62.13. Short-term indicators show an uptrend that is losing momentum near this resistance, creating a clear decision zone that could produce either a bullish continuation to $64.11 and beyond or a rapid retracement toward the $59-$60 support area.

Gold Edges Higher as Softer Dollar Reflects Cooling Rate-Hike Expectations

Gold Edges Higher as Softer Dollar Reflects Cooling Rate-Hike Expectations

Gold climbed in Asian trading as a weaker dollar and reduced market expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes this year supported the metal. Spot gold traded higher after recovering from eight-month lows last week, while futures posted larger gains. Market attention remains on U.S. inflation and labor data, and the Fed's June meeting minutes due …

OPEC+ Output Increase Weighs on Oil Prices as Hormuz Shipments Recover

OPEC+ Output Increase Weighs on Oil Prices as Hormuz Shipments Recover

Oil prices drifted lower after OPEC+ agreed to lift production targets for August, reinforcing expectations of a better-supplied market. Traders are paring back the geopolitical risk premium that built during the Iran conflict as exports through the Strait of Hormuz recover, while analysts point to a bearish futures curve and growing prospects of a…

Oil prices retreat as OPEC+ raises targets and Gulf exports recover

Oil prices retreat as OPEC+ raises targets and Gulf exports recover

Oil slipped modestly after OPEC+ agreed to a further lift in production targets for August, even as exports from major Gulf producers show signs of recovery. Market reaction was muted given ongoing shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and uneven restoration of output among key members, while Russian shipments reached record levels in J…

Iran Enters Talks With Japanese Buyers Under Temporary U.S. Sanctions Waiver

Iran Enters Talks With Japanese Buyers Under Temporary U.S. Sanctions Waiver

Iran has initiated discussions with Japanese companies about resuming crude oil sales under a U.S. sanctions waiver issued June 22 as part of a 60-day peace process. The waiver runs until August 21, and potential Japanese buyers are pressing for an extended waiver and guarantees related to vessel security and insurance. Shipping hazards in the Stra…

OPEC+ Poised to Add More Oil to Market with August Quota Rise

OPEC+ Poised to Add More Oil to Market with August Quota Rise

OPEC+ members are set to approve another rise in output targets beginning in August, with an increase of 188,000 barrels per day on the table. The incremental boost follows similar monthly increases in June and July, but a full return of supply remains constrained by disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and the recent exit of the UA…

Intense Heat Disrupts July 4 Celebrations Across Central and Eastern U.S.

Intense Heat Disrupts July 4 Celebrations Across Central and Eastern U.S.

A severe heat wave forced cancellations and postponements of dozens of public Independence Day events across much of the central and eastern United States, including a temporary closure of the Great American State Fair on the National Mall in Washington. Authorities issued broad heat alerts and urged caution as temperatures and heat indices climbed…

Keiko Fujimori Confirmed as Peru’s President in Narrow, Contentious Result

Keiko Fujimori Confirmed as Peru’s President in Narrow, Contentious Result

Peru’s electoral office declared conservative Keiko Fujimori the winner of the June 7 runoff after an extended review of contested ballots. Fujimori captured 50.135% of the vote versus leftist Senator Roberto Sanchez’s 49.865%, a gap of roughly 50,000 votes out of about 18 million cast. The result caps a fraught process marked by protests, allegati…

Holiday Travel Intact as U.S. Drivers Face High Pump Prices

Holiday Travel Intact as U.S. Drivers Face High Pump Prices

Americans are proceeding with Independence Day travel plans even as gasoline prices stay well above last year’s levels. Price relief from reduced geopolitical risk has moderated fears of supply shocks, but U.S. gasoline inventories - particularly on the Gulf Coast - remain low and could keep upward pressure on pump prices.

Gulf crude shipments surge in June as UAE leads rebound through Hormuz

Gulf crude shipments surge in June as UAE leads rebound through Hormuz

Gulf oil shipments climbed sharply in June, rising by more than 3 million barrels per day from May to top 10 million bpd, driven largely by a record rebound in United Arab Emirates exports and increased movement through the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. military assistance and a June 17 agreement between Washington and Tehran to halt hostilities accelerat…

Tehran Enters Talks with Japanese Buyers as They Press for Longer U.S. Sanctions Waiver and Shipping Guarantees

Tehran Enters Talks with Japanese Buyers as They Press for Longer U.S. Sanctions Waiver and Shipping Guarantees

Iran has started negotiations to sell crude to Japanese companies, but potential buyers are requesting a longer U.S. sanctions waiver and guarantees about safe shipping in the Gulf, according to three Iranian and Western sources. The United States authorised limited Iranian oil sales in June as part of diplomatic efforts tied to nuclear inspections…

Oil prices steady as US-Iran peace efforts temper supply fears

Oil prices steady as US-Iran peace efforts temper supply fears

Global oil benchmarks were largely unchanged on Friday as market participants weighed fragile US-Iran negotiations aimed at easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz against recent military exchanges. Brent inched higher while WTI was effectively flat; weekly moves were muted. Renewed shipping through the strait and rising Gulf output have reduced ne…

Oil drifts lower as supply outlook brightens and geopolitical premium ebbs

Oil drifts lower as supply outlook brightens and geopolitical premium ebbs

Oil prices slipped as signs of ample near-term supply and recovering Gulf crude flows reduced the geopolitical premium, even as market participants watched U.S.-Iran negotiations and pared some short positions before a U.S. holiday. U.S. WTI futures were down modestly, with market structure and Chinese buying by independents influencing near-term b…

Gold Holds Ground After Softer U.S. Payrolls; Weekly Gain in Sight

Gold Holds Ground After Softer U.S. Payrolls; Weekly Gain in Sight

Gold steadied on Friday following weaker-than-anticipated U.S. nonfarm payrolls for June, a development that trimmed bets on further interest-rate increases and helped the metal recover from earlier losses. Spot and futures gold moved higher, while other precious metals and the U.S. dollar reacted to the data. Trading volumes were subdued ahead of …

Appeals Court Upholds South Coast Zero-Emissions Appliance Rule

Appeals Court Upholds South Coast Zero-Emissions Appliance Rule

A divided 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals panel upheld a South Coast Air Quality Management District rule that prohibits manufacture, sale and installation of certain nitrous oxide-emitting appliances in four Los Angeles-area counties. The June 2024 zero-emissions regulation, aimed at cutting smog and meeting federal ozone standards, survived cla…

Kuwait Restores Crude Output to 1.65 Million bpd in June

Kuwait Restores Crude Output to 1.65 Million bpd in June

Kuwait's crude oil production climbed to 1.65 million barrels per day in June, supported by a late-month surge that pushed daily output to as high as 1.9 million bpd in the last 10 days of the month. May output had been roughly 580,000 bpd, significantly below pre-war levels of about 2.5 million bpd. The recovery has enabled Kuwait to ramp up shipm…