Commodities November 9, 2026 10:42 PM

China's October Rare Earth Shipments Rise Month-on-Month; Year-to-Date Exports Still Down

Customs data show October shipments increased 2.7% from September to 4,386 tonnes, while January-October exports fell 8.7% year-on-year

By Avery Klein
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China's exports of 17 rare earth minerals climbed 2.7% in October versus the prior month, reaching 4,386 metric tons, according to data from the General Administration of Customs. The October total was 1% higher than the same month in 2025. Despite the monthly uptick, exports across the first ten months of 2026 totaled 48,097 tons, an 8.7% decline compared with the same period a year earlier, although that rate of decline narrowed from a 9.6% fall recorded over January-September.

China's October Rare Earth Shipments Rise Month-on-Month; Year-to-Date Exports Still Down
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Key Points

  • October exports rose 2.7% month-on-month to 4,386 metric tons, up from 4,269.8 tons in September.
  • October volumes were 1% higher than October 2025's 4,343.5 tons.
  • January-October 2026 exports totaled 48,097 tons, an 8.7% annual decline, narrowing from a 9.6% fall over January-September.

New customs figures show China exported 4,386 metric tons of rare earths in October, a 2.7% increase from the 4,269.8 tons reported for September. The data, published by the General Administration of Customs, also indicate the October volume was up marginally - by 1% - from the 4,343.5 tons exported in the same month of 2025.

The rare earths referenced are the group of 17 minerals that the customs data describe as essential inputs for electric vehicles, wind turbines and defence technology. While October registered a month-on-month rise, the broader picture for 2026 through October remains one of lower exports year-on-year.

Across the first ten months of 2026, cumulative exports amounted to 48,097 tons. That figure represents an annual decline of 8.7% compared with the same ten-month period in 2025. The data note that this year-on-year drop has narrowed slightly relative to the year-to-date change reported through the first nine months of the year - a 9.6% annual decline recorded over January-September.

The customs totals provide a snapshot of cross-border shipments of these 17 minerals, with the October figures marking a modest rebound from September's level while the year-to-date aggregate remains below last year's pace.


Key points

  • October exports increased 2.7% month-on-month to 4,386 metric tons, up from 4,269.8 tons in September.
  • October 2026 shipments were 1% higher than October 2025, which recorded 4,343.5 tons.
  • January-October 2026 exports totaled 48,097 tons, an 8.7% year-on-year decline, narrowing from a 9.6% fall over January-September.
  • Sectors directly referenced as linked to these minerals include electric vehicles, wind turbines and defence technology.

Risks and uncertainties

  • Ongoing annual declines in exports - the year-to-date drop of 8.7% - introduce uncertainty for industries cited as reliant on these minerals, including electric vehicles, wind power and defence technology.
  • Month-to-month variability in shipments is evident - October rose 2.7% from September - indicating near-term volatility in export flows.
  • The customs figures capture export volumes but do not, in the published data, detail other factors such as domestic consumption or stockpiles, which constrains the ability to assess broader supply dynamics from the export numbers alone.

These customs statistics offer a measure of export activity for the 17 designated rare earth minerals, showing a modest monthly recovery in October set against a continuing year-to-date decline in 2026.

Risks

  • The year-to-date decline of 8.7% in exports creates uncertainty for sectors that rely on these minerals, including electric vehicles, wind turbines and defence technology.
  • Monthly shipment variability - exemplified by a 2.7% increase from September to October - points to potential near-term volatility in export flows.
  • The customs export data do not provide information on domestic consumption or inventories, limiting the ability to fully assess supply-side conditions from exports alone.

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