Stock Markets April 16, 2026 05:53 AM

Ryanair Shares Slide After Easyjet Issues Profit Warning and Flags Cost Pressures

Budget carrier Easyjet reports a substantial headline loss forecast and softer bookings, denting sentiment across European low-cost airlines

By Jordan Park EZJ
Ryanair Shares Slide After Easyjet Issues Profit Warning and Flags Cost Pressures
EZJ

Ryanair shares fell 4.7% on Thursday after rival Easyjet released a trading update that signalled rising costs, a weaker booking backdrop and an expected headline loss before tax for the first half of fiscal 2026. Easyjet cited additional fuel costs, legal provisions and higher unit costs excluding fuel, while booking progress into peak summer remained below last year.

Key Points

  • Easyjet expects a headline loss before tax of A5540 million to A5560 million for the six months ended March 31, 2026, signalling weaker near-term profitability for the carrier.
  • Unit cost dynamics are mixed: headline CASK rose 5% YoY while fuel CASK fell 5%. Excluding fuel, headline CASK increased 8%, with second-half increases forecast in the low single digits - affecting airline operating margins.
  • Booking momentum into the summer is softer versus last year - third-quarter bookings at 63% sold (down 2 percentage points YoY) and fourth-quarter bookings at 30% sold (down 2 percentage points YoY) - pressuring revenue visibility for airlines and related travel sectors.

Ryanair Plc saw its stock drop 4.7% on Thursday following a trading update from rival Easyjet Plc that highlighted mounting cost pressures and softer booking patterns ahead of the summer travel season.

Easyjet now expects a headline loss before tax of between A5540 million and A5560 million for the six-month period ended March 31, 2026. The carrier disclosed an extra A525 million in fuel costs incurred in March and recorded A530 million in net legal provisions over the reporting period.

The airline reported that headline cost per available seat kilometre - CASK - rose by 5% year-on-year in the first half of fiscal 2026. Fuel CASK moved in the opposite direction, decreasing by 5%. When fuel is excluded, Easyjet said headline CASK increased by 8% compared with the prior year. Management expects CASK excluding fuel to rise further in the second half, but only in the low single-digit range.

On demand, Easyjet described booking trends as softer heading into the peak summer months. For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, bookings were 63% sold, a decline of 2 percentage points versus the same period a year earlier; ticket yield for that quarter was described as marginally down. Fourth-quarter bookings were 30% sold, also down 2 percentage points year-on-year, while ticket yield for that quarter was modestly higher.

Easyjet said it has hedged 70% of its jet fuel requirements for the summer at a price of $706 per metric tonne. The company continues to expect customer growth in fiscal 2026 to be in the low double digits year-on-year.

The trading update underlined the cost pressures confronting European low-cost carriers and weighed on market sentiment across the sector. Because Ryanair competes directly with Easyjet on many European routes, investors reassessed earnings risk and demand assumptions for peers after the weaker trading indicators were disclosed, contributing to RyanairB4s share price decline.


Context and market reaction

EasyjetB4s guidance on a headline loss, the disclosure of additional fuel costs and the posting of legal provisions formed the principal elements of the update. These items, together with the reported increases in CASK excluding fuel, framed a more constrained profit outlook for the first half of fiscal 2026 and prompted market re-evaluation of near-term results for companies operating in the same segment of the airline industry.

Investors will be watching subsequent updates from both Easyjet and its competitors for confirmation on whether the weaker booking trajectory and elevated non-fuel unit costs persist into the remainder of the fiscal year.

Risks

  • Rising unit costs excluding fuel could erode margins for low-cost carriers, impacting airline profitability and investor returns - this directly affects the airline sector and travel-related services.
  • Weaker booking trends ahead of the summer season reduce revenue visibility and increase the risk of lower yields or demand shortfalls - this is a key uncertainty for carriers and consumer discretionary markets reliant on travel.
  • Legal provisions and unexpected fuel cost hits create earnings volatility and raise the potential for further one-off charges, posing downside risk to earnings forecasts and market sentiment for airlines and capital markets participants.

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