Stock Markets May 16, 2026 01:49 PM

KB Securities' Target Lift Puts SK Hynix on Cusp of $1 Trillion Valuation

Broker raises price target to 3 million won, citing steep DRAM and NAND price gains driven by AI demand

By Jordan Park

KB Securities increased its target price for SK Hynix to 3 million Korean won and kept a Buy rating, a move that implies a market value near $1 trillion. The upgrade rests on steep projected rises in DRAM and NAND average selling prices in 2026 as AI data centre demand intensifies, while the broker also raised near-term operating profit estimates.

KB Securities' Target Lift Puts SK Hynix on Cusp of $1 Trillion Valuation

Key Points

  • KB Securities raised SK Hynix's target price to 3 million won and kept a Buy rating, implying a market value near $1 trillion - impacts equities and semiconductor sectors.
  • Broker forecasts sharp 2026 ASP increases for DRAM and NAND (194% and 244%), driven by AI data centre demand - affects memory suppliers and cloud/AI infrastructure markets.
  • KB projects a de facto zero-supply era with no new memory production lines before 2027 and notes long-term contracts through 2028-2030 that may stabilize earnings - relevant to capital expenditure planning and hardware supply chains.

Summary

KB Securities has lifted its target price for SK Hynix to 3 million Korean won and retained a Buy recommendation, a revision that points to a market capitalisation in the vicinity of $1 trillion. The broker’s move is based on sharply higher price forecasts for DRAM and NAND memory and on upgraded operating profit estimates for the second quarter and the year.


Valuation and market position

As of May 16, SK Hynix Inc (KS:000660) carried a market capitalisation of 1.276 trillion won, equivalent to $852 billion. With KB Securities’ new target, the memory chipmaker would become only the second South Korean company to approach a $1 trillion valuation, following rival Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (KS:005930).

The broker sustained its Buy rating while lifting operating profit projections for both the second quarter and the full year, reflecting a more optimistic earnings outlook tied to the memory cycle.


Drivers behind the upgrade

KB Securities attributed the target-price increase to much higher expected average selling prices for memory products. The broker projected that average selling prices for DRAM and NAND would climb by 194 percent and 244 percent respectively in 2026, driven by strong demand from artificial intelligence data centres.

According to the broker’s estimates, AI operators are responsible for roughly 70 percent of total memory shipments. That concentration of demand has been a major factor in the recent run-up in memory pricing, benefiting both SK Hynix and Samsung during the past year.


Supply dynamics and contract structure

KB Securities described the market as entering a de facto zero-supply era, noting that no new memory production lines are expected to come online before 2027. The firm also highlighted the growing prevalence of long-term supply contracts that extend through 2028 to 2030, saying these deals resemble a foundry model and may reduce earnings volatility while supporting a re-rating of the stock.

Commenting on usage trends, Kim said token usage at four major technology companies rose three times in six months and seven times year on year, as agentic AI applications increased memory consumption.


Relative margins and capital spending outlook

For 2026, KB Securities ranked SK Hynix first globally by operating margin at 78.1 percent, ahead of peers named in the broker’s comparison. The broker also forecast sizable increases in capital expenditure by major technology firms, projecting that capital spending by the four largest technology companies would rise 77 percent to $725 billion in 2026 and exceed $1 trillion in 2027.

The broker characterized AI investment as a survival requirement rather than a discretionary expense, concluding that demand for memory shows no foreseeable ceiling under current assumptions.


Bottom line

KB Securities’ upgraded target and profit revisions rest on steep projected price gains for DRAM and NAND, concentrated AI-driven demand for memory, limited near-term additions to capacity, and an evolving contract landscape that the broker says will reduce earnings volatility.

Risks

  • Concentration risk: AI operators are estimated to account for 70 percent of memory shipments, creating dependency on a narrow set of customers - affects memory suppliers and data centre operators.
  • Supply-timing uncertainty: No new memory production lines are expected before 2027, making near-term supply tight; any change to that timing could affect pricing dynamics - impacts semiconductor manufacturing and component markets.
  • Contract and earnings uncertainty: Widespread long-term contracts running through 2028-2030 alter revenue recognition and exposure; while they may reduce volatility, their terms introduce uncertainties about future margin profiles - affects corporate earnings predictability and investor valuation models.

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