Stock Markets July 14, 2026 07:14 AM

Macquarie Points to Hyatt as U.S. Hotel RevPAR Accelerates to 8.7% in June

Leisure travel and World Cup demand lift luxury and upper-upscale segments; Hyatt benefits from highest exposure among major chains

By Caleb Monroe
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Preliminary data compiled by Macquarie shows U.S. revenue per available room (RevPAR) rose 8.7% in June 2026, driven by a mix of leisure travel and World Cup-related demand. The increase reflected gains in both average daily rate and occupancy, with luxury and upper-upscale hotels outperforming lower chainscales. Macquarie favors Hyatt Hotels based on its concentrated exposure to luxury and upper-upscale rooms.

Macquarie Points to Hyatt as U.S. Hotel RevPAR Accelerates to 8.7% in June
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Key Points

  • U.S. RevPAR grew 8.7% in June 2026, driven by a 6.8% ADR increase and 1.7% occupancy gain.
  • Luxury and upper-upscale hotels led performance, with luxury at approximately 16% RevPAR growth and upper-upscale near 9%; FIFA host cities outperformed non-host cities among top markets.
  • Macquarie favors Hyatt based on an estimated 68% exposure to luxury and upper-upscale rooms, versus 52% for Marriott and 28% for Hilton; second-quarter RevPAR growth estimated at about 5.7% year-over-year.

Preliminary figures from Macquarie indicate U.S. RevPAR grew 8.7% in June 2026, a monthly acceleration fueled by World Cup-related travel and broader leisure demand. The month-on-month advance combined higher room rates with more occupied rooms, according to the investment bank's data.

Macquarie's breakdown shows the June RevPAR increase comprised a 6.8% rise in average daily rate (ADR) and a 1.7% increase in occupancy. The 8.7% result represents a step up from growth rates recorded in April and May, which were 4.4% and 4.0% respectively.

Across chainscales, every segment posted growth in June. Luxury properties led the gains with roughly 16% RevPAR growth, followed by upper-upscale properties at about 9%. Performance tapered progressively down the chainscales, with midscale and economy segments registering smaller improvements.

Macquarie also compared market-level performance across the top 25 U.S. hotel markets. Cities that hosted FIFA matches recorded approximately 13% RevPAR growth, compared with roughly 7% in non-host cities among the top 25 markets.

For the second quarter of 2026 overall, Macquarie estimates U.S. RevPAR rose about 5.7% year-over-year. That quarter result represents an acceleration from the roughly 3.8% growth recorded in the first quarter of 2026 and exceeds prior systemwide guidance of 2% to 3% given by Marriott International and Hilton Worldwide.

Within the quarter, the luxury chainscale led with about 10.6% RevPAR growth. Properties in the upper-upscale through midscale segments delivered mid- to low-single-digit growth over the period, per Macquarie's estimates.

Company commentary cited in earnings indicates the World Cup had a measurable, if modest, impact on global RevPAR expectations. At first quarter 2026 earnings, Marriott estimated the World Cup would add 30 to 35 basis points to global RevPAR growth for the year, while Host Hotels & Resorts projected roughly 60 basis points of full-year RevPAR benefit from the tournament.

Macquarie highlights Hyatt as its favored hotel company, estimating that Hyatt's room inventory comprises about 68% luxury and upper-upscale exposure. For comparison, the bank estimates Marriott's exposure to those segments at 52% and Hilton's at 28%, on a room-count basis.

The data points and chain-level exposures underpin Macquarie's preference for Hyatt given the current demand environment concentrated in higher-end lodging. The investment bank's preliminary June figures, the quarter estimate, and the cited company guidance together paint a picture of accelerating RevPAR driven by rate and occupancy in the luxury and upper-upscale tiers.


Methodology note: Figures cited are Macquarie's preliminary estimates and company comments referenced from first quarter 2026 earnings. The report attributes the June uptick to World Cup demand and leisure travel, without additional causal claims beyond those stated by Macquarie and the companies mentioned.

Risks

  • Data are preliminary estimates from Macquarie and subject to revision; actual RevPAR outcomes for June and the quarter could change, affecting sector projections - impacts hospitality and travel sectors.
  • Company guidance cited (Marriott and Host Hotels & Resorts) quantifies modest World Cup benefit; if global demand shifts differently than anticipated, RevPAR growth could underperform estimates - impacts hotel operators and REITs.
  • Performance varied by chainscale and market; lower-tier segments showed weaker growth, so companies with heavier exposure to midscale and economy rooms may not benefit equally - impacts companies with varied brand mixes.

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