Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
6,527 total articles
The U.S. Supreme Court's rejection of emergency tariffs has prompted a sharp reaction from President Trump and left trade partners seeking clarity on previously negotiated terms. Asian governments, notably Japan and Taiwan, are pressing Washington for assurances. Meanwhile, China imposed export restrictions on certain Japanese entities, and regiona…
President Donald Trump is set to use his State of the Union address to highlight perceived economic gains and to announce measures intended to ease living expenses. The speech will carry the official theme 'America at 250: Strong, Prosperous and Respected,' and is expected to underscore tax cuts and efforts to lower prescription drug bills. The tim…
Gold reversed an earlier three-week high and fell as the U.S. dollar strengthened, a move that made dollar-priced bullion costlier for holders of other currencies. Comments on U.S. tariff policy and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials added to market unease, while other precious metals and Asian equities also moved lower.
The dollar softened as Asian markets resumed trading following holidays, with renewed uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy weighing on global trade prospects. Market participants parsed Supreme Court pushback on emergency tariffs, fresh presidential threats to raise duties, reports of U.S. rate checks in currency markets and signals from Federal R…
China left its benchmark loan prime rates unchanged for a ninth consecutive month, keeping the one-year LPR at 3.00% and the five-year LPR at 3.50%. Authorities have signalled a preference for targeted policy measures and structural-tool adjustments - including a 25 basis-point cut last month - to shore up domestic demand amid an export-driven 2025…
A Reuters poll of economists forecasts the Bank of Korea will leave its policy rate at 2.50% at its February meeting and keep it unchanged through 2026. The unanimous view reflects concerns over currency weakness, rising housing prices and financial stability risks, even as consumer inflation sits at the central bank’s 2.0% target.
The White House is considering imposing a fresh set of national security tariffs across about six industrial categories following a Supreme Court decision that struck down much of earlier tariff authority. The proposed duties would be issued under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and are planned to be separate from recently announced …
USD1, a stablecoin tied to the Trump family-backed World Liberty Financial, slipped to roughly $0.994 on Monday before regaining value and trading near $0.9994. World Liberty said its teams repelled a coordinated attack and that no smart contracts or wallets supporting USD1 or WLFI were hacked, though some co-founders' X accounts were accessed with…
U.S. equities tumbled on renewed tariff uncertainty after a U.S. court decision and an immediate presidential response introducing a temporary 15% global levy. Concurrent concerns about stress in the software and private credit sectors amplified risk aversion, sending money into Treasuries, gold and safe-haven currencies while oil rose to six-month…
A senior Reserve Bank of Australia official said the central bank is analysing underlying inflation measures built from new monthly consumer price data to determine whether a monthly-based gauge might eventually replace the quarterly measure it currently favours. The RBA will continue to prioritise the quarterly trimmed mean for now, and any change…
Rating firm Morningstar DBRS reports a deterioration in private credit quality, with downgrades reaching 3.3 times upgrades in February and defaults rising to 4%. The agency cites margin compression across sectors and rising debt levels as reasons for a negative outlook for 2026, while noting limited current impact from AI disruption on rated softw…
Senior Pentagon officials have cautioned President Trump that plans for military operations against Iran carry significant risks. Military leaders, including Gen. Dan Caine, told officials that options ranging from limited strikes to multi-day aerial campaigns could result in U.S. and allied casualties, heavy use of scarce air-defense munitions, an…
The average U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate retreated to 5.99% on Monday, the lowest level since 2022, as investors moved into bonds following a stock market sell-off. Cooling inflation, tariff uncertainty and signs of economic weakness in recent GDP data contributed to the decline in yields. Refinancing activity has risen sharply year-over-year a…
A New York Federal Reserve measure of underlying inflation rose in December, driven by stronger services (excluding housing) and goods prices. The increase to 2.8% from 2.4% complicates the Federal Reserve's effort to return inflation to its 2% target, amid debates over the impact of large-scale import tariffs and evolving signals from other trimme…
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde told an audience in Washington that Europe does not need to lead in frontier AI model development to reap economic rewards. Instead, she argued the region can capture significant gains by embedding AI across manufacturing and industrial processes — areas where European firms already show relative st…
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down the legal basis for President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs that had been justified on national emergency grounds. In response, the administration has set a temporary 15% global tariff as a new baseline. That shift eases the burden on some nations such as China and Brazil compared with prior U.S. tariff rates, whil…
The U.S. Supreme Court on Feb. 23 declined to revive a National Rifle Association lawsuit accusing Maria Vullo, the former superintendent of New York’s Department of Financial Services, of pressuring banks and insurers to cut ties with the gun rights group. The dispute traces back to a 2018 mass shooting in Parkland, Florida, and centers on whether…
The UK government does not expect U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced 15% global tariff to affect the majority of trade covered by last year’s UK-U.S. economic agreement, Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s spokesman said. British and U.S. officials are set to continue discussions this week after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down previous tari…
The World Bank plans to deliver $6 billion of largely concessional financing to Mozambique over the coming five years, combining about $3 billion on its own balance sheet with a further $3 billion it expects to mobilise. The announcement comes as the IMF warns of worsening public debt dynamics, even as the country benefits from renewed momentum aro…
A joint assessment by the World Bank, United Nations, European Commission and the Ukrainian government estimates Ukraine will need $588 billion to rebuild over the next ten years. The figure, covering damage and reconstruction needs from Feb. 24, 2022 through Dec. 31, 2025, marks a 12% increase from last year, driven in part by a 21% rise in harm t…
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would consider holding interest rates steady at the Fed's March meeting if February's employment report shows continued strength following an unexpectedly robust January jobs print. Waller emphasized that his March policy decision is contingent on the February payrolls reading and reiterated that …
Analysts at Raymond James warn that companies seeking reimbursement for import duties imposed under President Trump's emergency tariffs face a difficult process. The Supreme Court found the use of a 1977 emergency powers law unlawful, while U.S. Customs and Border Protection has stopped collecting the invalidated levies but has not clarified refund…
Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor said high U.S. import tariffs appear set to remain and that the full economic effects will likely take many years to materialize. He noted recent U.S. actions that imposed a global levy after the Supreme Court voided earlier tariffs, observed signs of Chinese export diversion to other markets with potential d…
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Alan Taylor told a Deutsche Bank event that services inflation has not fallen as quickly as expected, despite a modest slowdown to 4.4% in January. He cited slower wage growth and a weakening labour market, but warned of both an undershoot risk and the danger that absent productivity gains, forecasts…
A Bank of England policymaker warned that higher U.S. import tariffs are likely to remain at materially elevated levels compared with two years ago, and that the full consequences of the policy shift will emerge only over an extended period. Speaking at a Deutsche Bank event, Alan Taylor called the tariffs a meaningful change and said the trade sho…
