Stock Markets April 24, 2026 03:51 AM

Nomura posts back-to-back record profit, says Middle East war has not derailed domestic structural trends

Tokyo firm reports stronger annual and quarterly net income as it leans into fee-based revenue amid market volatility

By Ajmal Hussain
Nomura posts back-to-back record profit, says Middle East war has not derailed domestic structural trends

Nomura, Japan's largest investment bank and brokerage, reported a second consecutive year of record annual profit and said the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has not yet changed the structural growth drivers in Japan. The firm continues to pivot toward stable fee-based revenue streams, saw a small quarterly net income rise, and recorded its wholesale division's best annual revenue since 2010.

Key Points

  • Nomura reported a record annual profit for the second consecutive year and reported a 3% rise in net income for the January-March quarter to 73.9 billion yen.
  • The firm has been shifting toward stable fee-based revenues and benefits from recurring wealth management fees and flow fees tied to market volatility.
  • Nomura's wholesale division recorded its highest annual revenue since its establishment in April 2010, supporting the firm's overall earnings performance.

Nomura, the largest investment bank and brokerage in Japan, announced on Friday that it has delivered a record annual profit for the second year running and that, so far, the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has not altered the structural growth drivers in its domestic market.

The bank has pursued a multi-year strategy to shift its revenue mix toward fees that are steadier and less exposed to swings in market activity. That approach supported results for the fiscal year and the latest quarter, executives said.

Quarter and year results

For the January-to-March quarter, Nomura's net income increased 3% from a year earlier to 73.9 billion yen, which is equivalent to $462.60 million using the company-reported exchange rate of $1 = 159.7500 yen. On a full-year basis, net income rose to 362.1 billion yen from 340.7 billion yen in the prior year.

The wholesale division, which covers the firm's investment banking and trading operations, posted its highest annual revenue since it was created in April 2010. The firm also benefited from flow fees produced by market volatility during the quarter.

Management view on geopolitical risk

Chief Financial Officer Hiroyuki Moriuchi cautioned that markets have generally been favourable to date but acknowledged a range of present risks. He noted that while some decisions in M&A and equity capital markets could be delayed, the mid- to long-term structural issues confronting Japanese companies - including a declining population and ambitions to expand overseas - remain unchanged by developments in the Middle East.

Business positioning

Nomura retains a dominant position in Japan's wealth management market and draws on a strong base of recurring fee revenues. Management described the firm's emphasis on fee-based income as a deliberate effort to create revenue streams less vulnerable to sharp market fluctuations.


Contextual note

The company and its executives framed the results as evidence that their strategy to prioritise stable fee income is yielding resilience, even as geopolitical tensions create short-term uncertainties for deal activity and capital markets timing.

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Risks

  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could delay decision-making in M&A and equity capital markets, affecting deal flow and timing in investment banking - impacting the wholesale and capital markets sectors.
  • Broader market risk factors, which management acknowledged are present, could reduce fee generation tied to market activity despite the firm's push for more stable revenue streams - potentially affecting trading and flow-fee income.

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