Ares Capital: Three Converging Headwinds Make a Mid-Term Short Worth Considering
Ares Capital (ARCC) looks vulnerable. High exposure to software & services, signs of lingering credit deterioration, and an environment of falling rates that erodes BDC yield economics create a trifecta that can pressure the stock and the dividend. Valuation (P/B ~0.97, P/E ~10.7, market cap ~$13.9B) discounts some risk, but not all. Trade idea: sh…