Buy Carlyle (CG) — Valuation Disconnect, Diversification and Limited Credit Fragility
Carlyle trades near its 52-week low while key fundamentals - $1.48B in free cash flow, a 14% ROE and an EV/EBITDA of 8.8 - argue for upside. Limited direct exposure to the stressed parts of the private credit market, ongoing strategic M&A and securitization activity, plus a 3.1% yield make CG a pragmatic long over the next 180 trading days.