Stock Markets July 15, 2026 01:11 AM

Japan IT Stocks Drop as IBM Says AI Hardware Demand Is Squeezing Software Budgets

Tokyo-listed IT names fall after IBM warns customers are prioritizing servers, storage and memory for AI infrastructure over software purchases

By Priya Menon
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Japan's information technology sector declined after IBM issued a downbeat revenue outlook and said customers are reallocating spending toward servers, storage and memory to secure AI infrastructure, delaying software purchases. The warning knocked IBM shares down about 25% overnight and pressured Japanese IT services and software-related stocks, with several Tokyo-listed firms falling between roughly 5% and nearly 7%. IBM also projected second-quarter revenue near $17.2 billion, a level described as the weakest sales growth in over a year.

Japan IT Stocks Drop as IBM Says AI Hardware Demand Is Squeezing Software Budgets
IBM
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Key Points

  • IBM shares plunged about 25% after the company warned customers are shifting spend toward servers, storage and memory to secure AI infrastructure, with software purchases being deferred.
  • IBM expects second-quarter revenue of roughly $17.2 billion, below analysts' estimates, which the company described as the weakest sales growth in over a year.
  • Tokyo-listed IT names including NEC (TYO:6701), Fujitsu (TYO:6702), BayCurrent Consulting (TYO:6532) and Nomura Research Institute (TYO:4307) fell between about 5% and nearly 7% as investors reassessed exposure to corporate technology spending.

Japan's technology-related equities moved lower on Wednesday after a sharp drop in IBM shares and a company warning about shifting enterprise spending patterns tied to artificial intelligence deployment.

IBM sank roughly 25% in overnight trading after telling investors that many customers are diverting budgets toward servers, storage and memory to establish AI infrastructure. The company said firms are rushing to secure hardware that faces supply constraints and, as a result, are postponing software purchases.

IBM also provided a second-quarter revenue projection of about $17.2 billion, a figure that sits below analysts' expectations and represents its weakest sales growth in more than a year.


In Tokyo, investors reacted by marking down a range of IT stocks. NEC Corp (TYO:6701) retreated about 5% and Fujitsu (TYO:6702) slipped approximately 5.5%, both underperforming the broader market as participants reassessed demand for IT services tied to corporate technology budgets. BayCurrent Consulting (TYO:6532) saw shares drop nearly 7%, while Nomura Research Institute (TYO:4307) declined around 5%.

The market reaction reflected heightened concern that the current AI spending surge - while lifting demand for chips and data-center infrastructure - could exert downward pressure on software vendors as enterprises reallocate limited technology budgets toward hardware necessary to run AI workloads.

Traders and analysts watching the sector noted the tension between accelerating purchases of supply-constrained equipment and delayed enterprise software spending. That dynamic was cited by IBM as a factor behind its weaker near-term revenue outlook.


Market context

  • IBM's hardware-focused commentary and guidance drove a sharp move in its own shares and spillover losses in Japan's IT sector.
  • Companies tied to IT services and corporate software in Tokyo underperformed as investors digested the possibility of budget reallocation within enterprise IT spending.
  • The development underscores an uneven impact from AI investment - boosting demand for chips and data-center equipment while creating headwinds for software vendors.

Risks

  • Enterprises reallocating budgets toward AI-capable hardware could reduce near-term demand for enterprise software, posing revenue risk for software vendors and IT services firms.
  • Supply-constrained hardware demand may prompt companies to prioritize securing servers, storage and memory, which could prolong delays in software purchases and affect software-sector cash flows.
  • Weakening revenue guidance from a major technology vendor - in this case IBM's projected Q2 revenue of about $17.2 billion - can trigger broader sector sell-offs and reassessment of earnings prospects for related firms.

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