Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,071 total articles
A European Central Bank analysis finds that tariff actions abroad - notably US tariffs on European goods - tend to lower consumer prices and reduce industrial production in the euro area over the medium term. The researchers identify tariff-related trade surprises, document an initial modest uptick in prices, and show a subsequent decline in consum…
A blog post by European Central Bank economists finds that U.S. tariffs imposed last year have reduced euro zone exports to the United States and exerted downward pressure on inflation. The study concludes demand losses dominate any supply-side inflation boost, with the largest effects in machinery, autos and chemicals - sectors that are also highl…
Bank of America has reaffirmed its projection that Mexico's central bank will cut its policy rate to 6.00% by the end of 2026. The bank anticipates 25 basis point reductions every other meeting, starting on March 26, and points to below-potential growth, a negative output gap and supportive fiscal policy as the rationale for an easing cycle. Howeve…
Indonesia’s new administration is pressing forward with large-scale social and rural spending programs intended to accelerate growth to 8%, even after market disruptions triggered by MSCI and a negative outlook from Moody’s. Officials say core programmes are politically entrenched and unlikely to be cut, while investors warn the strategy raises fis…
U.S. equity futures were largely unchanged as markets digested a technology-driven rebound from the prior session and prepared for a packed calendar of corporate earnings and influential economic data. Investors are watching results from major companies including CVS Health and Coca-Cola, while December U.S. retail sales and core retail sales estim…
Net foreign selling across a basket of Asian stock markets accelerated sharply in the first week of February, driven by a global decline in high-growth technology shares amid worries about elevated AI-related capital expenditures. South Korea and Taiwan recorded the largest weekly outflows, while India saw fresh inflows tied to tariff relief optimi…
India is engaged in confidential discussions with Brazil, Canada, France and the Netherlands to pursue cooperative agreements on exploration, extraction, processing and recycling of critical minerals, with a focus on lithium and rare earths. The Ministry of Mines is leading the effort as India looks to replicate aspects of a recent pact with German…
Global equity indexes hit fresh highs driven by technology shares, even as the U.S. government signals a major change to climate regulation by preparing to overturn the EPA’s endangerment finding. The dollar has weakened heading into a busy U.S. data week that includes retail sales, delayed payrolls and inflation readings. Fed funds futures show tr…
A White House fact sheet published Monday states that India has agreed to eliminate its digital services tax and to buy around $500 billion worth of American goods as part of a recent trade arrangement. The document also says India will reduce or remove tariffs on U.S. industrial products and a range of agricultural imports, negotiate new bilateral…
Singapore has revised upward its 2026 growth forecast after a stronger finish to 2025 and continued global economic momentum. The trade ministry now expects growth in a higher range, citing sustained AI investment as a supporting factor for manufacturing and trade-related services. Central bank officials signalled confidence in inflation moving tow…
The U.S. dollar gave back ground on Tuesday ahead of a busy U.S. data calendar that could influence the path of interest rates, while the Japanese yen maintained recent gains after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's decisive electoral victory. Sterling and the euro traded with modest moves as investors digested political pressure in the U.K. and shift…
A National Australia Bank survey showed Australian business conditions softened slightly in January with sales and profits dipping, while measures of labour and input costs fell to levels not seen since 2021. Employment remained steady and quarterly retail price growth slowed, even as the Reserve Bank of Australia prepared a quarter-point rate incr…
Singapore's economy expanded 6.9% year-on-year in Q4 2025, outperforming an earlier estimate of 5.7%, with seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter growth at 2.1%. Full-year 2025 growth was recorded at 5.0%. The trade ministry and Enterprise Singapore have both upgraded growth outlooks for 2026 and non-oil domestic exports, citing stronger-than-expec…
Global stock markets climbed on Monday following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's decisive election victory and a rebound in technology shares. The dollar weakened after reports that China instructed financial institutions to limit exposure to U.S. government debt. Markets are parsing how Japan will finance proposed tax cuts and spending, w…
The United Nations is seeking concrete details from Washington on when and how much it will pay toward its substantial unpaid contributions after U.S. officials pledged an initial payment in the coming weeks. U.N. officials say the bulk of arrears are owed by the United States, which faces questions over allocation between past and current budget y…
Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF) will unveil a five-year strategy this week that reorients investment priorities toward industrial sectors, minerals, artificial intelligence and tourism, while pulling back on costly mega projects such as The Line. The $925 billion fund soft-launched its 2026-2030 framework with key investors and partners…
A French government advisory report says Europe faces a marked rise in Chinese competitive pressure and recommends dramatic options - a 30% across-the-board tariff on Chinese goods or a 30% depreciation of the euro versus the renminbi - to prevent further erosion of industrial activity. The analysis highlights exposed sectors, substantial cost adva…
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said the European Central Bank's policy rate is at the correct level, arguing that a recent fall in inflation to 1.7% is a brief deviation and that medium-term inflation will settle at the 2% target. Nagel said the ECB would only change course if medium-term inflation expectations moved "sustainably and noticeably…
The surprise announcement that Francois Villeroy de Galhau will leave his post as Banque de France governor in June is not expected to disrupt the European Central Bank’s current policy trajectory. His early departure hands President Emmanuel Macron the opportunity to appoint a successor ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, yet recent shifts in cen…
The New York Fed's January Survey of Consumer Expectations shows U.S. households trimmed near-term inflation expectations and reported improved hiring prospects, even as they anticipate tougher credit conditions and a higher unemployment rate a year ahead. Policymakers cite steady longer-run inflation expectations as a factor in confidence that inf…
A monthly Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey showed Americans grew less worried about inflation over the next 12 months in January and reported better prospects in the labor market, even as longer-term inflation expectations held steady and respondents expressed mixed views on credit and personal finances.
A Reuters poll of economists indicates Egypt's Monetary Policy Committee is likely to cut overnight interest rates by 100 basis points on Thursday, bringing the deposit rate to 19.0% and the lending rate to 20.0%. The expected move continues an easing cycle that began last April amid retreating inflation and an improved external position for the co…
Slovak central bank governor Peter Kazimir said the European Central Bank would need a significant deviation in economic or inflation trajectories before considering a change in policy, reiterating views days after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and signalled steady policy while expecting inflation to remain near its 2% goal.
Peter Kazimir, governor of Slovakia's central bank and an ECB policymaker, said on Monday that only a sizeable departure from the ECB's baseline economic and inflation outlook would justify a change to the current monetary policy stance. He reiterated that inflation risks are balanced but conditional on favorable energy prices, and warned that unce…
Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, told viewers that Americans should expect somewhat smaller monthly job creation figures in the months ahead. He attributed the anticipated decline to slowing population growth combined with accelerating productivity, and emphasized that such a pattern does not indicate overall economic weakn…
