Cryptocurrency November 11, 2026 01:31 AM

Bitcoin Slides Below $74K as Inflation Data Fuels Rate Hike Expectations

Hotter-than-expected CPI and hawkish Fed commentary drive crypto selloff; regulatory jitters add to pressure after Democratic midterm sweep

By Caleb Monroe
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Bitcoin dropped 1.2% to $73,935 on Wednesday, hitting a three-month low, as markets priced in an 89% chance of a December rate hike following hot October CPI data and hawkish remarks from two Fed officials. The broader crypto market also retreated, with Ether falling 2.4% and XRP dropping 3.8%, amid uncertainty over the U.S. regulatory outlook after Democrats won both chambers of Congress. Outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and a stronger dollar added to the downward pressure.

Bitcoin Slides Below $74K as Inflation Data Fuels Rate Hike Expectations
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin fell 1.2% to $73,935, a three-month low, as markets priced in an 89% chance of a December rate hike following hot October CPI data and hawkish Fed comments.
  • The crypto market faced additional pressure from continued outflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs, a stronger dollar, and rising yields, with Ether dropping 2.4% and XRP falling 3.8%.
  • Democratic victories in both chambers of Congress heightened regulatory uncertainty, weighing on sentiment across the digital asset sector, particularly altcoins and meme tokens.

Bitcoin fell below the $74,000 mark on Wednesday, weighed down by growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again in the coming months to combat persistent inflation.

The largest cryptocurrency by market value slipped 1.2% to $73,935.0 by 00:56 ET (05:56 GMT), touching a three-month low in overnight trading. The move came as a stronger dollar and rising bond yields sapped appetite for riskier assets, while continued outflows from spot exchange-traded funds added further selling pressure.

Rate hike bets surge after CPI

Markets sharply increased their bets on a December rate hike after consumer price index data for October showed inflation running hotter than economists had expected. The print was accompanied by hawkish comments from two Federal Reserve officials, who advocated for higher rates to bring inflation under control.

According to CME Fedwatch, markets are now pricing in a nearly 89% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in December, with a small probability of a larger 50 basis point increase. The tool indicated that traders have largely reversed earlier wagers that the central bank would hold steady in December.

Higher interest rates tend to weigh on speculative assets like cryptocurrencies because they increase the opportunity cost of holding such investments relative to debt. Bitcoin has historically underperformed during periods of rising rates, as seen during the Fed's hiking cycle in 2022-2023.

Regulatory overhang adds to woes

The prospect of higher rates compounded Bitcoin's existing losses from last week, when Democrats secured majorities in both chambers of Congress during the midterm elections. Market participants fear that Democratic control will lead to greater regulatory scrutiny of the crypto industry, given the party's history of pushing for tighter anti-money laundering and risk management practices.

Uncertainty over the U.S. regulatory outlook has kept broader cryptocurrency markets on the back foot.

Altcoins retreat in tandem

Major altcoins largely followed Bitcoin lower on Wednesday. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, dropped 2.4% to $2,066.29, while XRP fell 3.8%. Solana and Cardano declined 3.5% and 2.3%, respectively, and BNB slipped 1.4%.

Among meme-based tokens, Dogecoin lost 2.8%, while $TRUMP gained 0.4%.

The broad retreat underscores how macroeconomic factors and regulatory sentiment continue to drive price action across the digital asset space, with little sign of decoupling among major tokens.

Risks

  • A larger-than-expected rate hike or more aggressive Fed tightening could accelerate outflows from crypto assets and deepen the selloff.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny under a Democratic Congress could lead to new compliance burdens or enforcement actions, dampening institutional participation.
  • Persistent inflation and rising yields may continue to draw capital away from speculative assets, prolonging the downtrend in cryptocurrencies.

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