Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.
Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.
2,960 total articles
Goldman Sachs increased its average price forecasts for Brent and WTI crude in the second quarter of 2026, citing expectations that constrained flows through the Strait of Hormuz will sharply reduce OECD inventories and curtail Middle East oil output in March. The bank also adjusted later-quarter and 2027 forecasts and highlighted both upside risks…
J.P. Morgan analysts say a sustained shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz would force Iraq and Kuwait to begin shutting in crude exports within days, with cumulative losses potentially reaching 3.3 million barrels per day by day eight and rising to 4.7 million bpd by day 18. Iraqi officials warned of an imminent production halt if tankers cannot reach …
A Suezmax oil tanker, identified as Pola, transited the Strait of Hormuz this week and is proceeding to the United Arab Emirates port of Jebel Dhanna to load Abu Dhabi Murban crude for delivery to Thailand, industry sources and shiptracking data show. The vessel switched off its AIS tracker late on March 2 and re-appeared off Abu Dhabi on March 3, …
Summary: U.S. Central Command says operations against Iran are progressing faster than planned after coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes reached deep into Iranian territory and Tehran responded with strikes across the Gulf. The five-day conflict has disrupted global travel with more than 20,000 flight cancellations, prompted large-scale troop depl…
Oil futures climbed in Asian trading as an intensifying conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran heightened concerns about supply disruptions. Brent and WTI both rose following multi-day gains, with Tehran's actions in the Gulf and reported Iraqi production shutdowns injecting a significant geopolitical premium into prices. Announcements of U.S…
An Israeli strike on a four-storey residential building in eastern Lebanon's Baalbek has left at least four people dead and six injured, state media reported on March 4. Rescue teams were working to extract families from the debris as the incident formed part of a wider surge in cross-border hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, which has respo…
Global crude benchmarks rose more than $1 as military strikes involving U.S. and Israeli forces and retaliatory Iranian attacks on energy infrastructure and ships disrupted output and shipping in a region that supplies a substantial share of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas. Supply interruptions, containerized export limits and closed ship…
A sudden escalation in regional hostilities propelled oil prices higher and drove unprecedented hedging activity on the Intercontinental Exchange. Traders and U.S. crude producers moved quickly to fix prices, driving record volumes in energy futures and options and pushing diesel particularly sharply higher amid tight inventories and supply concern…
President Donald Trump said the U.S. Development Finance Corporation will immediately provide political risk insurance and guarantees for maritime trade through the Gulf, and that the U.S. Navy stands ready to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. The moves come amid conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran that has severely disrupted sh…
The Trump administration is evaluating plans to provide military protection for oil and gas tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz and to possibly support insurance for those voyages. The moves come as energy prices have risen sharply amid threats to vessels and ongoing fighting in the region, raising concerns about disruptions to natural gas and …
The White House is set to review a package of measures aimed at limiting energy price increases after strikes on Iran disrupted tanker movements in the Middle East. Options include government assistance to help oil tankers obtain insurance, with senior administration officials scheduled to brief the president and finalise a response. Rising war-ris…
China has publicly opposed recent military strikes by Israel and the United States against Iran and has demanded an immediate cessation of hostilities. Foreign Minister Wang Yi conveyed the position in a phone call with Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar, reiterated China’s preference for dialogue and negotiation, and signalled Beijing will act t…
Front-month Dutch TTF contracts climbed sharply as QatarEnergy suspended liquefied natural gas output following strikes on two gas facilities. Additional concerns about the Strait of Hormuz and already-low European storage levels added upward pressure, while Asian buyers signal a shift toward spot markets if the disruption persists.
Global oil benchmarks climbed to their strongest levels since July 2024 after U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran, but the uptick does not make up for steep discounts on Russian crude nor the heavy fiscal strains from elevated defence and security spending. Calculations show that Russian Urals prices and the rouble would need to move substantiall…
Wolfe Research analysts contend that Iran’s current capability to significantly interrupt crude shipments looks limited and may weaken further over time. Their assessment comes as military exchanges spread across the Middle East, with strikes and retaliations touching Iran, Lebanon, Israel, and Gulf states. Oil benchmarks rallied sharply on the hei…
A series of Iranian missile and drone strikes across six U.S.-allied Gulf states has sharpened regional fault lines and may be driving the Gulf Cooperation Council toward closer alignment with Washington. Analysts and Gulf officials say Tehran’s aim to compel U.S. restraint appears to have backfired, strengthening Gulf unity, prompting emergency de…
Gold retreated on Tuesday after a sharp rally the previous day, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar that offset safe-haven buying tied to an intensifying U.S.-Israeli air campaign against Iran. Spot bullion fell to $5,191 an ounce while futures eased, even as shipping disruptions and energy risk kept geopolitical uncertainty elevated. Analysts say th…
Britain has not yet decided whether to dispatch a Royal Navy warship to protect its RAF Akrotiri base in Cyprus after an Iranian-made drone strike damaged the base runway. The report that ministers had discussed deploying HMS Duncan follows confirmation that UK assets were targeted. France has indicated plans to send anti-missile and anti-drone sys…
A spike in attacks on shipping and energy facilities linked to the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran has shut navigation through the Strait of Hormuz for days, prompted major producer shutdowns across the Gulf and sent oil, gas and commodity prices sharply higher, raising the risk of renewed inflation pressures in Europe, Asia and the United States.
United Nations agencies report that at least 30,000 people have been registered in collective shelters across Lebanon since hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah escalated. The number of displaced is expected to grow, 21 government-run shelters are open, and aid agencies are preparing contingency plans as some Syrian refugees return to Syria. UN…
A widening Middle East conflict has driven energy prices sharply higher, prompting volatile moves in global equities, sovereign bonds and currencies. Market participants are weighing the fallout for inflation and central bank policy as regional attacks target shipping and energy infrastructure, with natural gas prices and crude benchmarks at multi-…
Carlyle analysts say oil markets will need to factor in a persistent "security premium" amid heightened risks stemming from the Iran conflict and threats to the Strait of Hormuz. While a recent surplus in supply may blunt the immediate impact of any shipping disruption, the firm expects prices to remain high and volatile due to broader structural c…
The Kremlin announced that President Vladimir Putin intends to convey Arab leaders' concerns to Iranian officials regarding strikes on regional oil infrastructure. After holding calls with four Gulf state leaders, Putin offered to leverage Russia's dialogue with Tehran to help ease rising tensions. The exchange comes amid a series of Iranian strike…
Crude oil futures have surged roughly 15% since last Friday after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran heightened concerns of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, including Iranian threats to close the route and warnings about attacks on vessels, have pushed prices to their highest level since June of …
The U.N. human rights office has called on the forces responsible for an attack on a girls' school in Iran to carry out a prompt, impartial and thorough investigation and to share findings. The office did not name those it held responsible. A U.N. spokesperson described the incident as "horrific." Separately, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said U.S…
