Commodities June 25, 2026 09:12 PM

Oil Prices Slip as Strait of Hormuz Shipments Resume After Attack Near Oman

Despite a strike on a cargo vessel, increased tanker traffic through the Strait eases supply worries; Venezuela earthquakes add fresh uncertainty for output

By Ajmal Hussain
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Oil futures fell on Friday morning and are tracking substantial weekly declines after more tankers left the Strait of Hormuz following a temporary disruption caused by a cargo ship being hit near Oman. While shipments through the strait rose to their highest level since the February conflict began, overall traffic remains well below pre-conflict averages. Separately, earthquakes in Venezuela raised questions about sustaining the country’s near 1.2 million barrels per day output.

Oil Prices Slip as Strait of Hormuz Shipments Resume After Attack Near Oman
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Key Points

  • Brent fell 19 cents to $75.07 a barrel and WTI fell 13 cents to $71.79 a barrel as of 0055 GMT, reflecting risk-off trading despite recent supply disruptions.
  • Crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz rose to their highest weekly level since the February conflict began after a ceasefire reopened the waterway, but traffic is still far below the roughly 125 ships a day average before February 28.
  • Earthquakes in Venezuela prompted preliminary checks that showed limited damage to major oil and refining infrastructure, yet power outages raise doubts about sustaining pre-earthquake output near 1.2 million barrels per day.

Oil benchmarks opened lower on Friday morning as easing supply concerns driven by a resumption of tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz weighed on prices, even after a cargo vessel was struck near Oman on Thursday.

Brent crude futures were down 19 cents, or 0.25%, at $75.07 a barrel as of 0055 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate slipped 13 cents, or 0.18%, to $71.79 a barrel over the same time frame.

Both contracts had rallied by more than 2% on Thursday following the incident in which a cargo ship was hit by an unknown projectile near Oman. The attack prompted the U.N.'s shipping agency to suspend its voluntary evacuation scheme for the area.

Two U.S. officials told Reuters that Iran fired on the cargo ship as it attempted to pass through the strait. Iranian authorities, in turn, cautioned that the security of vessels traveling outside designated Hormuz routes is not guaranteed.

Market participants are watching tanker movements closely. "With the geopolitical risk premium once again creeping back into prices, markets will be watching intently to see if tanker traffic resumes or if these latest hurdles force producers to tap the brakes on planned production increases," said IG analyst Tony Sycamore.

Despite the Thursday spike, Brent and WTI are both on track for weekly losses of close to 7%.

Data released on Thursday showed crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz increased this week to their highest level since the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran began in February, after a ceasefire deal reopened the waterway. That reopening and the prospect of continued passage helped reduce some earlier supply concerns and supported increased trade activity.

However, the data also underscored that overall traffic through the strait remains a fraction of the roughly 125 ships that used the corridor on an average day before the conflict that began on February 28. The disparity between the current flow of vessels and the pre-conflict daily average highlights how much shipping patterns have yet to recover.

Adding to the supply-side uncertainties, earthquakes that struck Venezuela on Thursday prompted preliminary on-site assessments of the country's oil, gas and refining infrastructure. Workers conducting early checks reported limited damage to major facilities, as most of the nation's largest output regions, refineries, pipelines and terminals are located away from the hardest-hit zones.

Nevertheless, sources said a lack of power following the seismic events has called into question whether Venezuela can sustain output at its pre-earthquake level of close to 1.2 million barrels per day.


Market context

Price moves this week have been driven by a mix of geopolitical developments affecting shipping lanes in the Middle East and natural hazard risks in a major producing country. The combination has produced a volatile backdrop in which even temporary disruptions or reassurances can push futures higher or lower by a few percentage points.

Traders and oil market watchers will remain attentive to any further reports about vessel security in the Strait of Hormuz, follow-up assessments from Venezuelan infrastructure teams, and any producer decisions related to planned production changes.

Risks

  • Security risk for vessels in and around the Strait of Hormuz - a renewed threat to tanker traffic could pressure shipping insurance, logistics, and crude supply routes, impacting oil markets and energy-intensive sectors.
  • Power and infrastructure disruptions in Venezuela - potential reductions in Venezuelan crude output could influence global supply balances and refining operations that rely on that oil.
  • Uncertainty over producers' responses - if tanker security concerns persist, producers might delay planned production increases, affecting crude supply outlook and related markets.

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