Stock Markets April 22, 2026 05:42 AM

Japex to Quadruple Hydrocarbon Output by 2035, Pours Billions into U.S. Assets

Firm outlines 10-year E&P and CCUS push after largest-ever acquisition, targets steep profit and ROE gains

By Maya Rios
Japex to Quadruple Hydrocarbon Output by 2035, Pours Billions into U.S. Assets

Japan Petroleum Exploration (Japex) unveiled a decade-long growth plan to lift oil and gas production fourfold while committing sizable capital to overseas exploration and production, with the United States the largest recipient. The company plans parallel investment in carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) and aims to substantially increase profitability and returns to shareholders by fiscal 2035.

Key Points

  • Japex plans to invest 1.16 trillion yen in exploration and production over the next decade, with more than half of its overseas E&P budget directed to the United States.
  • The company aims to increase oil and gas output to 180,000 boe/d by fiscal 2035 (from 45,000 boe/d now) and to scale carbon dioxide storage to 1.5-2 million metric tons annually by fiscal 2031, targeting at least 8 million tons cumulatively by fiscal 2035.
  • Financial targets include raising net profit to 100 billion yen by fiscal 2035 (from 45 billion yen in fiscal 2025) and boosting return on equity to 12% by fiscal 2035 (from 6.7% in fiscal 2025). Sectors impacted include upstream oil and gas, midstream/CCUS, and energy markets.

Japan Petroleum Exploration (Japex) announced a strategy to multiply its oil and gas output by four over the next ten years, underpinned by a major capital programme focused on exploration and production and an expanded carbon capture business.

The company said it will invest 1.16 trillion yen in E&P activities during the coming decade, directing the majority of that overseas budget to the United States. Japex recently closed its largest-ever acquisition, buying Verdad Resources Intermediate Holdings for $1.3 billion, and said more than half of its 1.1 trillion yen overseas E&P allocation will be channelled to U.S. opportunities.

Company president Michiro Yamashita said the U.S. share of overseas investment will include roughly 200 billion yen earmarked specifically to develop Verdad’s assets, and that Japex is open to pursuing further acquisitions. The remaining overseas E&P funding will be apportioned roughly equally between Norway and Southeast Asia, with an emphasis on Indonesia.

Yamashita highlighted national security considerations in the company’s planning, saying the Iran crisis has reaffirmed the importance of ensuring stable fossil fuel supplies. He framed the new strategy as reflecting a global tilt toward a pragmatic approach that balances rising energy demand with decarbonisation goals. The company also cautioned that its plan does not incorporate potential impacts from the Middle East crisis.

Financial and operational targets accompany the investment plan. Japex aims to grow net profit to 100 billion yen by fiscal 2035, up from 45 billion yen in fiscal 2025, supported by a broader 1.5 trillion yen investment in growth areas over the next decade. That 1.5 trillion yen total will prioritize upstream E&P alongside the company’s carbon capture, utilisation and storage business.

Production and emissions-management ambitions were specified in detail. Japex seeks to raise oil and gas output to 180,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by fiscal 2035, from a current level of 45,000 boe/d. On the CCUS front, the company plans to store 1.5-2 million metric tons of carbon dioxide annually by fiscal 2031 and aims for a cumulative storage volume of 8 million tons or more by fiscal 2035.

Japex is also targeting an improvement in return on equity, aiming for 12% by fiscal 2035 compared with 6.7% in fiscal 2025. The company provided an exchange rate reference of $1 = 159.3300 yen in its disclosures.


Contextual note - All figures, targets and timelines described above are those stated by the company. The plan’s stated metrics do not account for additional effects from the Middle East situation, according to the company’s remarks.

Risks

  • Geopolitical uncertainty - The company’s plan explicitly does not factor in the impact of the Middle East crisis, leaving potential outcomes exposed to geopolitical developments that could affect energy markets and supply chains (impacted sectors: oil and gas, energy security).
  • Concentration and execution risk - More than half of Japex’s overseas E&P budget is slated for the United States, including 200 billion yen for Verdad asset development, which concentrates execution risk geographically and via integration of a large recent acquisition (impacted sectors: upstream E&P, corporate M&A).
  • Delivery of CCUS and production targets - Ambitious outputs and carbon storage milestones through 2031-2035 will require successful project execution and financing; failure to meet these operational targets could affect financial performance and the company’s carbon management objectives (impacted sectors: CCUS, midstream, project finance).

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