Stock Markets May 14, 2026 11:35 AM

Cisco Sees AI-Led 'Networking Supercycle' as Sales and Guidance Surge

Strong demand for AI infrastructure lifts stock while company shifts resources toward silicon and optics, announces workforce reductions and restructuring charges

By Derek Hwang CSCO

Cisco Systems told investors that accelerating demand for artificial intelligence systems is driving an industry-wide uplift it described as a "networking supercycle." The company raised its fiscal-year AI infrastructure and hyperscaler orders forecast to $9 billion from $5 billion, prompting a more than 15% rise in its share price and the largest daily gain in over 20 years. To reallocate resources toward AI-centric products including silicon and optics, Cisco said it will reduce its workforce by about 5%, incur roughly $1 billion in charges and recognize approximately $450 million of those charges in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with the remainder to be booked in fiscal 2027.

Cisco Sees AI-Led 'Networking Supercycle' as Sales and Guidance Surge
CSCO

Key Points

  • Cisco raised its AI infrastructure and hyperscaler orders guidance to $9 billion from $5 billion, signaling stronger-than-expected demand for AI-related networking equipment.
  • The stock jumped more than 15%, producing Cisco's best trading day in over 20 years.
  • Cisco will cut about 5% of its workforce (under 4,000 jobs) and expects roughly $1 billion in restructuring charges, with approximately $450 million recognized in Q4 fiscal 2026 and the remainder in fiscal 2027.

Cisco Systems told CNBC on Thursday that the rapid rise in demand for artificial intelligence software and hardware is propelling the networking industry toward what it called a "networking supercycle." The company reported stronger-than-expected AI infrastructure and hyperscaler orders for the fiscal year and raised its guidance on those orders from $5 billion to $9 billion.

The market reacted sharply. Cisco's shares climbed more than 15%, marking the firm's best trading day in excess of two decades.

As the company pivots more of its operations to AI-related segments, including investments in silicon and optics, Cisco announced plans to reduce its workforce by roughly 5% - a cut that amounts to under 4,000 positions. Management said the restructuring will incur a charge of approximately $1 billion.

Company management outlined the timing of those costs, stating roughly $450 million of the restructuring charges are expected to be recorded in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with the balance to be recognized during fiscal 2027. Cisco characterized these charges as primarily cash-based.

On the pace of change in the AI market, CEO Chuck Robbins told CNBC: "Given the speed at which the market is moving, we need to make a rapid reallocation of resources." He added: "By the way, a lot of the people that are potentially impacted will actually go take those jobs."

Robbins also noted the uncertainties around forward bookings in AI infrastructure, saying the market's character makes it difficult to lock in projections. He explained that Cisco has opted out of certain projects with hyperscalers even as the company continues to pursue other opportunities. "We don't have visibility completely yet, but we have enough understanding of our relationship and the design wins and what their capital commitments are that we feel good about where we're headed," he said.

The CEO addressed an AI model known as Mythos, which has drawn meetings at the White House with senior technology executives. Robbins reported that Cisco is now discussing that AI model with every customer it talks with.

Cisco is participating in Anthropic's Project Glasswing, which provided a select set of companies access last month to test the model and assess cybersecurity implications. Robbins emphasized the need for agility in responding to the evolving market, saying: "You have to be agile, and you have to be ready to move."


This reshaping of priorities and the financial adjustments tied to workforce reductions underscore Cisco's strategy to concentrate on AI-driven product lines while accepting short-term restructuring costs. The company is positioning itself to capture increased demand from hyperscalers and other large customers even as it manages visibility and booking challenges in the AI infrastructure market.

Risks

  • Limited visibility into forward bookings for AI infrastructure, making it difficult for Cisco to project future orders - this affects capital equipment suppliers and networking vendors.
  • Opting out of some hyperscaler projects could reduce near-term revenue opportunities even as Cisco seeks higher-value AI engagements - this impacts enterprise networking and cloud infrastructure markets.
  • Workforce reductions and restructuring charges create near-term cash and execution risks as the company reallocates resources toward silicon and optics.

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