Stock Markets July 8, 2026 10:36 AM

Kirby Shares Climb After BofA Lifts Target to $182, Citing Power Gen Momentum

Analyst upgrade and fresh coverage lift sentiment as management points to a growing Power Gen backlog and rising inland rates

By Derek Hwang
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KEX

Kirby Corporation stock surged about 7.2% on Wednesday after BofA Securities increased its price target to $182 from $169 while keeping a Buy rating. BofA highlighted upside in Kirby’s Marine Transportation and Power Generation businesses, with Power Gen singled out as an expanding growth engine driven by behind-the-meter demand. Company executives reported rising inland rates and a Power Gen backlog exceeding $1 billion, while the analyst raised 2026 EPS estimates and noted near-term delivery timing issues tied to engine supply.

Kirby Shares Climb After BofA Lifts Target to $182, Citing Power Gen Momentum
KEX
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Key Points

  • BofA raised its price target on Kirby to $182 from $169 and kept a Buy rating, prompting a 7.2% jump in the stock - impacts equity markets and investor sentiment toward transportation and energy service providers.
  • Management said inland rates are climbing and Power Gen revenues are expected to double the installed base within 18 months, with a Power Gen backlog exceeding $1 billion - impacts marine transportation, power services, and industrial power supply chains.
  • BofA increased its 2026 EPS estimate to $7.15 from $7.00 and noted Kirby’s role as Kawasaki’s exclusive U.S. dealer; Stephens started coverage with an Overweight rating, reinforcing positive analyst interest - impacts capital markets and coverage of industrial equipment suppliers.

Shares of Kirby Corporation (NYSE: KEX) rallied 7.2% on Wednesday after BofA Securities lifted its price target on the stock to $182 from $169 and kept a Buy recommendation.

BofA analyst Ken Hoexter pointed to continued revenue upside across Kirby’s Marine Transportation and Power Generation divisions. In particular, Hoexter emphasized Power Gen as an emerging growth driver, driven by behind-the-meter demand from data centers and industrial customers.

During a recent conference call, management provided detail on operational momentum. CEO David Grzebinski and CFO Raj Kumar reported that inland freight rates continue to trend higher and that Power Gen revenues are on pace to double the company’s installed base within the next 18 months. Management also stated that Power Gen’s backlog has expanded to more than $1 billion.

The company described the Power Gen business as an annuity-like source of service revenues. Management quantified the segment as accounting for roughly 18% of total revenues and 9% of EBIT. They noted that around 50% of the current backlog is tied to higher-margin natural gas solutions, which the company expects to shift the revenue mix and help lift margins toward double-digit levels over time from approximately 6% reported in the first quarter of 2026.

Reflecting these developments, Hoexter raised his 2026 EPS projection to $7.15 from $7.00 and characterized the move as part of a broader view that Kirby benefits from its position as Kawasaki’s exclusive U.S. dealer. The analyst also remarked that growth in beyond-the-meter power demand is accelerating.

BofA did warn that near-term revenue recognition will be uneven because of engine supply constraints, which have forced some second-quarter deliveries to shift into the second half of the year. Despite that timing disruption, the firm said execution remains intact. Hoexter views Power Gen as an important contributor to getting the company toward the upper end of its 5% to 15% 2026 EPS growth target.

Adding to the positive analyst sentiment, Stephens initiated coverage on Kirby with an Overweight rating, bringing additional institutional interest to the equity.


Market context - The move in Kirby’s shares reflects investor focus on durable service revenues from Power Gen, rising inland transportation rates and the interplay between supply-chain timing and revenue recognition. Analysts have adjusted models to account for Power Gen's faster expansion and the impact of higher-margin natural gas solutions on future profitability.

Risks

  • Engine supply constraints have caused uneven near-term revenue timing, with some second-quarter deliveries pushed into the second half - a risk for manufacturing, marine transportation and power equipment revenues.
  • Future margin improvement depends on a mix shift toward higher-margin natural gas solutions, with roughly 50% of backlog tied to those solutions - a risk for achieving projected margin expansion in the energy services sector.
  • Achievement of the upper end of the company’s 5%-15% 2026 EPS growth target relies materially on Power Gen execution and backlog conversion - a risk to investor returns in the industrial and power generation segments if conversion stalls.

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